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Posts by Chatham House Asia-Pacific Programme

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A Taiwan crisis would cause far more global economic damage than Strait of Hormuz disruption As China ramps up its pressure on Taiwan, the Strait of Hormuz closure must serve as a wake-up call for European policymakers.

As the world scrambles to respond to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the Iran war should prompt preparations for a crisis over Taiwan — which would have far more devastating consequences.

4 hours ago 6 5 0 0
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We were delighted to host General Anil Chauhan, India's Chief of Defence Staff, for a closed-door discussion today to discuss the emerging priorities facing India's Armed Forces in the evolving geopolitical landscape. Chaired by @chietigj.bsky.social.

22 hours ago 1 1 0 1
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A Taiwan crisis would cause far more global economic damage than Strait of Hormuz disruption As China ramps up its pressure on Taiwan, the Strait of Hormuz closure must serve as a wake-up call for European policymakers.

'The global consequences of the #IranWar‌ should remind policymakers just how far-reaching the impact of further escalations over Taiwan could be.'

In his latest analysis, Ben Bland warns that a Taiwan crisis would cause far more global economic damage than the Strait of Hormuz disruption 👇

1 day ago 15 9 0 0
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What does Pakistan gain from its Iran–US diplomacy? Islamabad has an obvious interest in ending the war, to ease energy problems and cool tensions on its border with Iran. But any hopes for economic benefits from the Trump administration may be misplac...

Pakistan has an obvious interest in ending the #IranWar. But any hopes for economic benefits from the Trump administration may be misplaced, writes our Associate Fellow Farzana Shaikh.

1 day ago 1 3 0 0
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What does Pakistan gain from its Iran–US diplomacy? Islamabad has an obvious interest in ending the war, to ease energy problems and cool tensions on its border with Iran. But any hopes for economic benefits from the Trump administration may be misplac...

Pakistan has an obvious interest in ending the #IranWar. But any hopes for economic benefits from the Trump administration may be misplaced, writes our Associate Fellow Farzana Shaikh.

1 day ago 1 3 0 0
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Weekend - Iran says Hormuz won't stay open if US blockade continues - BBC Sounds Trump says the blockade will continue until a peace deal is reached

A pleasure joining the BBC Weekend programme with Gary O'Donoghue (Chief North America correspondent). Over 2+ hours we discussed the #MiddleEast conflict‌, #Hungarian election and frictions between Trump and the Pope. Listen to it here (from 26:30 minutes) www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...

5 days ago 0 1 0 0
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Despite the Iran War, 'China's focus will remain on its home turf'.

Our Senior Research Fellow Yu Jie discuss the implications of the Iran War for Beijing ⬇️

🔗 youtube.com/shorts/oE9k9iW6DYk?feature=share

6 days ago 1 0 1 0
What lessons will China, India and other Asian nations draw from the Iran war? Independent Thinking Podcast Whatever the eventual outcome of the US-Israel war on Iran, the geopolitical aftershocks will reverberate across Asia for years, and perhaps decades, to come.

As talks are underway in #Pakistan on bringing an end to the #Iran conflict, my colleagues and I in the @chasiapacific.bsky.social discuss the broader implications of the conflict for #Asia in the @chathamhouse.org ‘Independent Thinking’ podcast: www.chathamhouse.org/2026/04/what...

1 week ago 0 1 0 0
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The Iran War Mediation and Pakistan’s ‘Reverse Bismarck’ Despite the positive optics of punching above its weight in diplomacy, Pakistan has become weaker over time.

Pakistan’s stature has been on the rise following its mediating role in the Iran conflict. But, despite the positive optics of punching above its weight in diplomacy, Pakistan has become weaker over time, writes @chietigj.bsky.social for @thediplomat.com.

2 weeks ago 1 1 0 0
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Elections in Bangladesh and Nepal offer tips for democracy in Global South After Gen Z-led overthrows, Dhaka and Kathmandu make opposite choices

Developments in #SouthAsia show there is no one-size-fits-all approach in the trajectory of Gen Z-led overthrows. While the catalysts for change may be similar, the endpoints are not the same, writes @chietigj.bsky.social for @asia.nikkei.com.

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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"I think Xi Jinping feels vindicated in terms of his economic plan that gives greater priority to [China's] economic and energy security."

Yu Jie (@chasiapacific.bsky.social) on China's response to the US-Israel war with Iran, via BBC Radio 4⤵️

3 weeks ago 2 3 0 0
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Opinion | Look East? South Asia’s fate is far more intertwined with Middle East Beyond oil, remittances and cultural ties, trade and defence pacts in recent years have added to strategic and security interconnectedness.

Beyond oil, remittances and cultural ties, recent trade and defence pacts have added to the strategic and security interconnectedness between #SouthAsia & the #MiddleEast.

In his op-ed for SCMP, @chietigj.bsky.social explains why Middle East volatility presents an enhanced risk for South Asia.

4 weeks ago 1 1 0 0
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Last week, our Senior Research Fellow Yu Jie discussed #USChina relations and the emerging multipolar world order at the 8th International Strategy and Security Forum organised by CISS Tsinghua University. Huge thanks to Prof Da Wei for inviting us.

1 month ago 0 1 0 0
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Opinion | Look East? South Asia’s fate is far more intertwined with Middle East Beyond oil, remittances and cultural ties, trade and defence pacts in recent years have added to strategic and security interconnectedness.

Beyond oil, remittances and cultural ties, recent trade and defence pacts have added to the strategic and security interconnectedness between #SouthAsia & the #MiddleEast.

In his op-ed for SCMP, @chietigj.bsky.social explains why Middle East volatility presents an enhanced risk for South Asia.

4 weeks ago 1 1 0 0
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Opinion | Why Middle East volatility presents an enhanced risk for South Asia Beyond oil, remittances and cultural ties, trade and defence pacts in recent years have added to strategic and security interconnectedness.

Amid reports that #Pakistan is seeking to mediate between #Iran and the US, my article in @scmpnews.bsky.social argues the ongoing conflict in the #MiddleEast reaffirms the growing interconnectedness of #SouthAsia and #WestAsia. @chasiapacific.bsky.social www.scmp.com/opinion/asia...

4 weeks ago 1 2 0 0
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Last week, our Senior Research Fellow Yu Jie discussed #USChina relations and the emerging multipolar world order at the 8th International Strategy and Security Forum organised by CISS Tsinghua University. Huge thanks to Prof Da Wei for inviting us.

1 month ago 0 1 0 0
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Elections in Bangladesh and Nepal offer tips for democracy in Global South After Gen Z-led overthrows, Dhaka and Kathmandu make opposite choices

Developments in South Asia show there is no one-size-fits-all approach in the trajectory of Gen Z-led overthrows. While the catalysts for change may be similar, the endpoints are not the same, writes @chietigj.bsky.social for @asia.nikkei.com.

1 month ago 1 2 0 0
Preview
Elections in Bangladesh and Nepal offer tips for democracy in Global South After Gen Z-led overthrows, Dhaka and Kathmandu make opposite choices

Developments in South Asia show there is no one-size-fits-all approach in the trajectory of Gen Z-led overthrows. While the catalysts for change may be similar, the endpoints are not the same, writes @chietigj.bsky.social for @asia.nikkei.com.

1 month ago 1 2 0 0
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Takaichi takes on Trump Iran adds a new layer of difficulty to an increasingly unstable US–Japan relationship, as the Japanese prime minister prepares to visit Washington.

If Donald Trump is expecting praise for his war on Iran when Japan’s Sanae Takaichi arrives in Washington this week, he is likely to be disappointed.

1 month ago 15 3 0 0
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China’s Five Year Plan commits to economic resilience – as the Iran war exposes the fragility of global supply Beijing is striving for tech self-reliance, aiming to embed intelligent technologies in its economy. But there is a tension in the strategy that could define China’s next decade.

This week, China concluded its National People’s Congress, where leaders reaffirmed their commitment to technological self-reliance as a strategic priority. But can China's economy generate enough opportunities for its burgeoning highly-educated workforce?

Read the latest analysis from Dr Yu Jie ⬇️

1 month ago 1 1 0 0
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Afghanistan and Pakistan are facing ‘open war’. De-escalation is needed With the world distracted by war in the Middle East, de-escalation will need to come from Kabul and Islamabad directly.

Afghanistan and Pakistan are facing ‘open war’. With the world distracted by war in the Middle East, de-escalation will need to come from Kabul and Islamabad directly, writes @chietigj.bsky.social for @chathamhouse.org.

1 month ago 1 1 0 0
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America’s Attack on Iran Should Have Asia-Pacific Countries Very Worried Having overthrown regimes in Latin America and the Middle East, why would Washington draw the line at Asia?

Asian countries may feel reassured by the US having its hands full with the recurring instabilities in the Middle East and the ongoing war in Ukraine.

But, having overthrown regimes in Latin America and the Middle East, why would Washington draw the line at Asia, asks @chietigj.bsky.social.

1 month ago 1 2 0 0
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China’s economic statecraft has been exposed by US attacks on Iran and Venezuela The US strikes raise questions over China’s policy to forge energy and trade ties with US rivals. But in the long term, Beijing sees itself gaining diplomatic capital through a contrasting role as a s...

The more protracted the war in Iran is, the more potential Beijing will have to portray itself to the world as a relatively stable and peaceful superpower in contrast to the US, writes @jkynge.bsky.social for @chathamhouse.org.

1 month ago 1 1 0 0
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China’s economic statecraft has been exposed by US attacks on Iran and Venezuela The US strikes raise questions over China’s policy to forge energy and trade ties with US rivals. But in the long term, Beijing sees itself gaining diplomatic capital through a contrasting role as a s...

The US strikes raise questions over China’s policy to forge energy and trade ties with US rivals. But, in the long term, Beijing sees itself gaining diplomatic capital through a contrasting role as a stable and peaceful superpower, writes @jkynge.bsky.social for @chathamhouse.org.

1 month ago 1 2 0 0
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America’s Attack on Iran Should Have Asia-Pacific Countries Very Worried Having overthrown regimes in Latin America and the Middle East, why would Washington draw the line at Asia?

Asian countries may feel reassured by the US having its hands full with the recurring instabilities in the Middle East and the ongoing war in Ukraine.

But, having overthrown regimes in Latin America and the Middle East, why would Washington draw the line at Asia, asks @chietigj.bsky.social.

1 month ago 1 2 0 0
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America’s Attack on Iran Should Have Asia-Pacific Countries Very, Very Worried Having overthrown regimes in Latin America and the Middle East, why would Washington draw the line at Asia?

My article in @thediplomat.com discusses what the United States' recent decapitation of #Iran’s leadership following the earlier abduction of #Venezuela’s leader means for Asia. A summary of the key points in the comments: @chasiapacific.bsky.social thediplomat.com/2026/03/amer...

1 month ago 1 2 1 0
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Afghanistan and Pakistan are facing ‘open war’. De-escalation is needed With the world distracted by war in the Middle East, de-escalation will need to come from Kabul and Islamabad directly.

Afghanistan and Pakistan are facing ‘open war’. With the world distracted by war in the Middle East, de-escalation will need to come from Kabul and Islamabad directly, writes @chietigj.bsky.social for @chathamhouse.org.

1 month ago 1 1 0 0
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As China prepares to unveil the 15th iteration of its Five-Year Plan this week, Yu Jie (of @chasiapacific.bsky.social) joins our Editor @lycidas.bsky.social to discuss what the plan means to the country.

📖 Read her story: www.chathamhouse.org/publications...

1 month ago 2 3 1 1
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Huge thanks to Prof. Da Wei of Tsinghua University for joining our closed-door discussion @chathamhouse.org yesterday and sharing his fascinating insights on China-US relations. Chaired by our Senior Research Fellow, Yu Jie.

1 month ago 1 1 0 0
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What India Wants From BRICS New Delhi wants to play the role of a bridging power between the West and the rest.

As India embarks on its year of summits (AI, #BRICS and possibly the #Quad), @chietigj.bsky.social examines New Delhi's ambitions to become the 'voice' of the #GlobalSouth in his latest analysis for @foreignpolicy.com.

1 month ago 0 1 0 0