Image of a thermostat representing the concept of thermostatic public opinion as demonstrated by the above-discussed shift in immigration attitudes.

right-wingers will often say that America deserves credit for ending slavery rather than blame for having slavery. but then we made a holiday to commemorate the end of slavery and they still got mad, which should tell you what their real objection is.

More Black than Blue? Comparing the Racial Attitudes of Police to Citizens How are the racial attitudes of police officers distinct from those of the public? How might the officer's own race shape those attitudes? Recent high-profile cases of contested uses of lethal force ...

An important topic. A contribution of my own to the literature:

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...

My politics are whatever this is. 🥴

It’s so weird how we’re all just working like this is still a normal country.

This is what being emboldened to say *all* of the quiet parts out loud looks like. A counterrevolutionary lunatic with the wind- and the White House- at his back. Most of us know all about Rufo and this reactionary project, but it's critical that everyone knows the stakes now.

shorturl.at/PHEKD

This is Willem Arondeus.

He attacked the 1943 Amsterdam civil registry office to destroy records that would be used by the Nazis to identify their targets.

He succeeded, but was captured due to someone betraying him.

His last words were: "Tell people that homosexuals are not cowards."

If we extend the metaphor out a bit, it’s with noting that the Chicago Bears, whom Green was referring to, got all the way to the Super Bowl but in fact did *not* win that year. One hopes that our institutions will prove just strong enough to prevent the ultimate expression of this movement’s goals.

The right-wing beard revolution: Look out, hipsters, here come the counterculture Christians The newly sprouted beards of American evangelicals are a social rather than a religious statement

There’s been a fair amount of writing (some more recent than the linked piece) suggesting that Vance is anything but an outlier today. Along with tattoos, beards are increasingly associated with reactionary politics.

www.salon.com/2015/12/25/t...

a man in a suit and tie is sitting at a table with his mouth wide open . ALT: a man in a suit and tie is sitting at a table with his mouth wide open .

There’s the everyday calling out of hypocrisy kind of comment, and then there’s the call-is-coming-from-inside-the-house deep and fundamental moral indictment kind of comment, and this is rather…the latter. Damn.

A Pollution Theory of Discrimination: Male and Female Differences in Occupations and Earnings Goldin C. A Pollution Theory of Discrimination: Male and Female Differences in Occupations and Earnings. In: Human Capital in History: The American Record. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press ; 2...

I would also add (now Nobel Laureate) Claudia Goldin’s pioneering work on this phenomenon- I teach this piece every semester. The analogy with higher ed here is compelling given that there is an evident correlation between enrollment demos & public support for HE

scholar.harvard.edu/goldin/publi...

IQ tests are astrology for racists

Tikkun!

Dude, you have no meeting.

The Origin and Rise of Pancake Blocks Football’s noblest players, offensive linemen, toil in relative obscurity.

I especially appreciate this frame (and approach!) given another oft-used meaning of the phrase:

www.footballarchaeology.com/p/the-origin...

First Lady of New Jersey

FWIW, also born in Virginia.

"Basically, I'm just fed up with the fact that I'm cis-gendered, I'm a white male, and I lean right, toward the Republican side," said Fears, 28, wearing a pin of the 3rd SS Panzer Division Totenkopf of the Waffen-SS. "And I get demonized if I don't accept certain things."

Movies give us bad guys who know they're bad guys.

Reality is much more dangerous. It gives us bad guys who think they're good.

TBH, and I cringe at how cynical a take this is, but the timing in particular of the new night at the garden and the other very nakedly bigoted comments by other surrogates makes me wonder if this isn’t an effort to draw out this exactly this reaction; to provoke a reactionary counter-mobilization.

a man with a beard is sitting in a car with two women behind him ALT: a man with a beard is sitting in a car with two women behind him

🤭

Aesthetic concerns, “neighborhood character,” and historic preservation should always be subordinated to the interest of affordable housing for all citizens - with particular attention to those whose fore-bearers were denied access to wealth accumulation via housing policy for generations.

Believing in the American Dream increases affluent parents’ likelihood of "opportunity hoarding"

Affluent parents who believed in social mobility unfairly advantage their children (eg misrepresenting their identities on school & job applications) www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

With the introduction by John Schmitz, no less! Reminds one of that other bizarre piece of trivia that this particular right wing zealot was also the father of Mary Kay LeToureau

Here’s my novel contribution- and relevant to the extent that punks and metalheads might be grouped together:

x.com/hoosierblues...

Btw, the clever invocation of early Floyd in the handle suggests that maybe your tastes- musical and otherwise- we’re not so much aligned with those metalheads, rite?

Intergroup Contact

In our new article, we argue that “social scientists need to clarify the social psychological foundations and consequences of intergroup contact volition - one's perceived personal control over intergroup contact engagement and avoidance.”

doi.org/10.1111/spc3...

#SocialPsyc

One data point among many: Biden won voters making under $50K 55-44 in 2020. They were about as blue as New Mexico.

Cannot be emphasized enough that the Democrats don't have an issue in getting support with the working class as a class. They have an issue winning white people.

@davebrady72.bsky.social @rsbaker.bsky.social & Ryan Finnigan, in “The Role of Single Motherhood in America’s High Child Poverty,” show the “high penalty for single motherhood” plays a greater role than the prevalence of single moms. read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...

The hyperinflation had ended in 1923, and the period right afterward, in the mid-twenties, was, in Germany as elsewhere, golden. The financial crash of 1929 certainly energized the parties of the far left and the far right. Still, the results of the July, 1932, election weren’t obviously catastrophic. The Nazis came out as the largest single party, but both Hitler and Goebbels were bitterly disappointed by their standing. The unemployed actually opposed Hitler and voted en masse for the parties of the left. Hitler won the support of self-employed people, who were in decent economic shape but felt that their lives and livelihoods were threatened; of rural Protestant voters; and of domestic workers (still a sizable group), perhaps because they felt unsafe outside a rigid hierarchy. What was once called the petite bourgeoisie, then, was key to his support—not people feeling the brunt of economic precarity but people feeling the possibility of it.

"The unemployed actually opposed Hitler and voted en masse for the parties of the left....What was once called the petite bourgeoisie, then, was key to his support—not people feeling the brunt of economic precarity but people feeling the possibility of it."

From www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...

‘Effect of COVID’: FBI data shows crime was down in 2023 New FBI data shows violent crime fell 6% overall with murder down 13%, rapes down 12% and robberies and aggravated assaults down 5%.

I was on NewsNation yesterday to talk about how the loss of 1 million local government jobs in 2020 led to the crime spike and how the return of teachers, counselors, coaches and others in 2023 led to a rapid decline in crime. Check it out: www.newsnationnow.com/crime/crime-...

Ugh I have to finish my faculty annual report by friday. All the horror of having to write about oneself, but also with the added bonus of having to do it in like… A very specific bureaucratic format? Bleh

Perceptions of Electability: Candidate (and Voter) Ideology, Race, and Gender

Perceptions of candidate electability. Effect of candidate characteristics on the likelihood a respondent chose candidate as most electable. Bars are 95% confidence intervals. Full results are available in online appendix Table A3 and Fig. A1

Candidate electability by candidate and respondent race. Effect of candidate race on the likelihood a respondent chose candidate as most electable by respondent race. Bars are 95% confidence intervals. Predicted likelihood derived from the results from online appendix Table A4

Candidate electability by candidate and respondent ideology. Effect of candidate ideology on the likelihood a respondent chose candidate as most electable by respondent ideology. Bars are 95% confidence intervals. Predicted likelihood derived from the results from online appendix Table A4. Candidate electability by candidate and respondent ideology by party. Effect of candidate ideology on the likelihood a respondent chose a candidate as most electable by respondent ideology by party. Bars are 95% confidence intervals. Predicted likelihood derived from the results from online appendix Table A4

Arguments about electability are driven by ideological preferences, not actual electability evaluations. Voters also see women and minorities as less electable but ideologically extreme candidates as more electable, finds @hjghassell.bsky.social & Visalvanich doi.org/10.1007/s111...