Thanks to Trump, the Catholic vote is now up for grabs Trump mistakenly believes that Catholics will stick with him no matter what he says or does.

Thanks to Trump, the Catholic vote is now up for grabs.
(@jkennethwhite.bsky.social)
thehill.com/opinion/camp...

OPINION TODAY
Trump's approval rating hits 2nd-term low | Gen Z poll shows clear divide on Israel-Palestine | Dems Eye a Broader Battlefield to Capture Congress | Are Dems Becoming a Party of Tax Cuts? | States of Distrust: Science and Politics ... & more: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260420-top...

Georgia focus groups: Biden-to-Trump voters on Iran, Trump, “priorities gap,” economy, midterms, Israel.
(Engagious)
opiniontoday.substack.com/i/194775019/...

Just 32% of Americans approve of President Trump’s handling of inflation and the cost of living, compared to 68% who disapprove — NBC News Decision Desk Poll.
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From January: Views of several key Trump administration officials

NBC News Decision Desk poll shows Americans are evenly divided in their sympathies between Israelis and Palestinians, while three-quarters of Gen Z respondents say they sympathize more with Palestinians.
(@meetthepress.com)
opiniontoday.substack.com/i/194775019/...

Americans are more polarized in their trust in scientists than in virtually any other societal institution. — James N. Druckman.
(@umisrcps.bsky.social)
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Two-thirds of Americans disapprove of President Trump’s handling of the war with Iran, with one-third approving — NBC News Decision Desk Poll.
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The Best Contrary Indicator On Wall Street May Be Your Neighbor: When retail investors got scared in April, the S&P 500 hit 7,000 for the first time. It has happened before.
(tippinsights)
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OPINION TODAY
Trump's approval rating hits 2nd-term low | Gen Z poll shows clear divide on Israel-Palestine | Dems Eye a Broader Battlefield to Capture Congress | Are Dems Becoming a Party of Tax Cuts? | States of Distrust: Science and Politics ... & more: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260420-top...

Why a Democratic Senate, Once Unthinkable, Is a Real Possibility: Helped by a favorable national environment and strong candidate recruitment, Democrats are tied or ahead in four Republican-held seats, polls show.
(Nate Cohn, The New York Times-unlocked)
www.nytimes.com/2026/04/20/u...

Why a Democratic Senate, Once Unthinkable, Is a Real Possibility: Helped by a favorable national environment and strong candidate recruitment, Democrats are tied or ahead in four Republican-held seats, polls show.
(Nate Cohn, The New York Times-unlocked)
www.nytimes.com/2026/04/20/u...

OPINION WEEKEND
Trump keeps claiming victory in Iran. Voters aren’t buying it. | Trump’s immigration message changed. Voters' opinions have not. | National Latino survey | Online platforms, influencers overtake TV and newspapers as voters' news sources ... & more: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260419

President Trump’s job approval rating has sunk to a new low as Americans express growing concerns about rising costs and the war with Iran — NBC News Decision Desk Poll
www.nbcnews.com/politics/don...

Online platforms and influencers overtake television and newspapers as primary news sources for U.S. presidential election voters — Ipsos poll for the Jordan Center for Journalism Innovation and Advocacy.
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LPOF Annual Latino Survey: National mood, vote choice, immigration policy, and foreign policy.
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Voters Believe Legal Immigration Generally Helps the U.S.
(Data for Progress)
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Trump’s immigration message changed. Voters' opinions have not. — Politico Poll.
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Are Democrats Becoming a Party of Tax Cuts?

Are Democrats Becoming a Party of Tax Cuts? As Democrats try to find a way back to power in Washington, some see tax cuts as a quick and easy way to address affordability. The wonks are freaking out.
(Andrew Duehren, NYT-unlocked)
www.nytimes.com/2026/04/19/b...

Syrian Billionaires Needed a Favor in Washington. They Invoked the Trump Name.

Syrian Billionaires Needed a Favor in Washington. They Invoked the Trump Name: The attempt to influence foreign policy while discussions are underway about potential Trump family deals is an increasingly common feature of Trump's second term.
(@ericlipton.nytimes.com)
www.nytimes.com/2026/04/19/u...

Exclusive | Trump Organization to Partner on New Skyscraper in Tbilisi, Georgia President Trump’s family real-estate firm is planning to brand a 70-story luxury residential tower with local partners in the Georgia capital.

Trump Organization to Partner on New Skyscraper in Tbilisi, Georgia: The Trump Organization has increasingly leaned on international licensing and branding deals as a core part of its business since the start of Donald Trump’s second administration.
(WSJ-unlocked)
www.wsj.com/real-estate/...

About 1 American in 4 thinks U.S. military action in Iran has been worth the cost.
(Ipsos)
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New voting requirements? Troops at the polls? We asked 37 election experts what could disrupt the 2026 elections.
(@baseballot.bsky.social @votebeat.org)
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A wide generation gap on support for Iran war.
(Ipsos)
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OPINION WEEKEND
Trump keeps claiming victory in Iran. Voters aren’t buying it. | Trump’s immigration message changed. Voters' opinions have not. | National Latino survey | Online platforms, influencers overtake TV and newspapers as voters' news sources ... & more: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260419

Philip Bump: Are prediction markets crowdsourced wisdom — or just prop bets? Prediction markets — a mix of gambling and conventional wisdom — offer real-time data on what the crowd thinks will happen, predictions that are often wrong.

Are prediction markets crowdsourced wisdom — or just prop bets?
(@pbump.com)
www.ctinsider.com/columnist/ar...

Behind Trump’s Public Bravado on the War, He Grapples With His Own Fears The president’s impulsive style has never been tested in a sustained military conflict, and he’s been ruminating on Jimmy Carter’s failure in Iran.

Behind Trump’s Public Bravado on the War, He Grapples With His Own Fears.
(Josh Dawsey and Annie Linskey, WSJ-unlocked)
www.wsj.com/politics/nat...

The Inside Story of Five Days That Remade the Supreme Court

The Inside Story of Five Days That Remade the Supreme Court: Secret memos obtained by The New York Times illuminate the origins of the court’s now-routine “shadow docket” rulings on presidential power.
(@jodikantor.bsky.social & @adamliptak.bsky.social, NYT-unlocked)
www.nytimes.com/2026/04/18/u...

Trump voters say the pope should 'stay in his lane' and butt out of the Iran war Trump supporters at his events in Las Vegas and Phoenix largely backed his attack on Iran and sided with him in his ongoing dispute with Pope Leo XIV.

Trump voters say the pope should 'stay in his lane' and butt out of the Iran war
www.nbcnews.com/politics/don...

‘A trend that can’t be ignored’: Dems have made up ground in nearly every election since Trump took office POLITICO’s analysis shows a clear trend in red and blue districts alike.

‘A trend that can’t be ignored’: Dems have made up ground in nearly every election since Trump took office.
(Sean McMinn, Jessica Piper and Aaron Pellish, Politico)
www.politico.com/news/2026/04...