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Posts by Andrew Kosenko

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It's reverse Robin Hood.

1 week ago 5499 2713 197 111

My (awesome) colleagues and I discuss our paper on donations by Ukrainians to Come Back Alive, a large 🇺🇦 nonprofit providing direct aid to the armed forces.

tl;dr - civilian casualties cause donations.

Huge thanks to @olhazadorozhna.bsky.social and @tderyugina.bsky.social for making it happen!

2 weeks ago 8 2 1 0
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Russia wishes the US good luck in settlement with Iran — Kremlin aide The continuation of bombing is just terrific, Russian presidential aide Yury Ushakov said

Kremlin is literally laughing at this administration.

"They are now busy in settling the situation around Iran [...] one can only wish them good luck because the continuation of bombing is just terrific"

tass.com/politics/210...

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

We live in a pre-war time.

3 months ago 0 1 0 0
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The image measure catastrophe!:)

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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Bob Aumann's words...

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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Безпечний переказ коштів Надсилайте безкоштовно та безпечно кошти

For 🇺🇦 friends: here's a monobank link.

🎯Ціль: 80 000.00 ₴

🔗Посилання на банку
send.monobank.ua/jar/9mHwPtMagx

💳Номер картки банки
4874 1000 2528 5316

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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Donate for Life-changing Defensive Equipment in Ukraine - AI for Good Foundation We are coordinating a delivery of critical defensive equipment to the Ukrainian defenders, including drones and thermal vision devices.

Here's the link to donate:

Please help us get to our goal! As US support plummeted to 0 in 2025, your donation matters more than ever.

ai4good.org/economists-f...

1 month ago 0 0 1 0
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4/n

1 month ago 0 0 1 0

Yevhen Maznytsia is the deputy commander of the unit. They are in urgent need of a vehicle, after getting hit in a drone attack last week. Below is the full appeal from Yevhen. Please help us help his unit survive!

3/n

1 month ago 0 0 1 0
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In the last couple of weeks we have received about a half of the needed sum. We are very grateful for this. Please help the unit to collect the rest of the $6000 needed for the vehicle.

2/n

1 month ago 0 0 1 0

Dear friends,

On this difficult anniversary, a close friend and classmate of mine - we went to school together until the 7th grade! - is urgently asking for help for his engineering unit from Kharkiv, currently defending Kramatorsk---one of the most active fighting zones.

1/n

1 month ago 2 1 1 0

Friends, I'm going in sabbatical in Fall 2026 (hooray - my first sabbatical!).

Looking for a place to spend it.

Is anybody looking for a visitor in the fall? Don't need funding. West Coast, or Europe? (A guy can dream:) 😎)

2 months ago 1 0 0 0

We live in a pre-war time.

3 months ago 0 1 0 0

Putin, failing in his east European war, summons his American clients to organize a diversion in western Europe.

3 months ago 2421 769 73 24
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You only live twice: Financial inflows and growth in a westward-facing Ukraine The monumental task of rebuilding postwar Ukraine requires early planning and identification of growth strategies. The earlier accession of Eastern European countries to the European Union and NATO of...

What is a safe growth strategy for post-war #Ukraine?

A new paper by Maurice Obstfeld and me sheds more light on this question:

The earlier accession of Eastern European countries to the EU& NATO offers a template that relies on massive FDI & public structural funds.

#UkrainianView

3 months ago 54 24 2 0
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How to be productive during Christmas holidays?
Pro tip: have a large scale Russian missile attack on your city so that you can spend a night in the metro station reading master theses under the ad that healthy sleep is available to everyone
#UkrainianView #EconSky

3 months ago 102 22 2 2
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Vladimir Putin has said Russia will not back down from its mission to "liberate its historic lands" and predicted the European
"swine" backing Kyiv would ultimately lose power, in a speech that showed no readiness to compromise on the goals for his invasion of Ukraine.

Vladimir Putin has said Russia will not back down from its mission to "liberate its historic lands" and predicted the European "swine" backing Kyiv would ultimately lose power, in a speech that showed no readiness to compromise on the goals for his invasion of Ukraine.

Negotiate with this.

For the 10000001 time, Putin will reject every "deal"

I wonder if he told Witkoff this...

4 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Make Russia Pay for Its War on Ukraine Joseph E. Stiglitz & Andrew Kosenko explain why it is in Europe's interest to mobilize frozen Russian assets to ensure Ukraine's survival.

Europe must overcome its fear of exercising power if it is to withstand the clear, present, and deadly threat emanating from Moscow, say @josephestiglitz.bsky.social and @andrewkosenko.bsky.social. Now, exercising power means financing Ukraine with Russia's frozen assets. bit.ly/48j4b1Z

4 months ago 12 8 0 0
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Kosenko: “La misura può decidere le sorti del conflitto in Ucraina” L’intervista all’economista: “Secondo me la pre-intesa sottoposta alla Commissione è molto buona”

Very grateful to have been interviewed by Eugenio Occorsio @larepubblica.bsky.social

www.repubblica.it/esteri/2025/...

5 months ago 0 0 0 0

RE: Putin's "swap" offers:

This was Gromyko's negotiating strategy:

1) Demand something that has never been yours
2) Threaten during negotiations
3) Because there will *always* be someone in the West who gives you something

And then you'll have a third, or a half, of something you have never had.

6 months ago 0 0 0 0

Trump's meeting with Putin in Budapest is a gift to Putin for many reasons.

Key among them is that Putin is wanted by the ICC in The Hague. Him going to Hungary will require forcing European countries not to arrest him – which then creates a precedent to disregard the ICC arrest warrant worldwide.

6 months ago 2 0 0 0

Massive 🇷🇺 combined missile/drone strike on 🇺🇦 tonight.

Perhaps the *worst* strike on Kyiv and Kyiv region so far.

Russia is a terror state.

6 months ago 0 0 0 0

Three (3) conferences in eight (8) days.

Negative returns are real.

7 months ago 1 0 0 0

Intrusion of 🇷🇺 drones into 🇵🇱 shows difficulties 🇺🇦 (recently - 800 🇷🇺 drones into 🇺🇦) is facing

>= 12 drones, 4-5 shot down. Interception rate ⬇️, using $$$ fighters, $$$ missiles (much more expensive than drones & targets, if any, themselves).

No (known) use of anti-drone drones, machine guns, or EW

7 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Otherwise, what will it take?!?!

A "stray" Russian bomber over Paris or London?!

No amount of minimizing Russia's actions will decrease their severity.

Seize their assets.

It's one of the few remaining nonviolent but powerful tools.

7 months ago 0 0 0 0

Poland and NATO will have to respond.

And while they will nearly certainly not choose an offensive military response, whatever reaction emerges has to be forceful yet nonviolent.

Seize Russia's frozen assets already.

7 months ago 0 0 1 0

Putin likes testing new leaders.

He tested Zelensky similarly early on. That's what the attack on Poland was probably about.

No doubt it was deliberate. Nawrocki is being tested.

7 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Putin’s Message to Ukraine, Europe and Trump: I Won’t Back Down

Truly bizarre article, under the rubric of "analysis"

The analyst seems to think that you need the aggressor's consent to win against him...

& similar to Obama admin's approach ("Putin cares more, so we shouldn't do anything at all")

Much analysis. Such insight.

www.nytimes.com/2025/09/10/w...

7 months ago 1 0 0 0
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The prime minister of Ukraine in the government building today. This is one floor above her office.

Today was the largest attack by Russia since …. ever: 800 drones, over a dozen missiles. Kyiv is burning.

7 months ago 52 15 2 1