Showers and a few thunderstorms are being picked up on radar returns this afternoon. These are generally moving from south to north across the region.

Here is a look at the latest GFS model run projected 48 hour accumulated precipitation estimates. This is from now through 5 AM Thursday morning.

48 hour observed precipitation amounts really show where the showers have been focused across the forecast area. It has really quite variable depending on where you live.

Radar returns this morning are showing where showers are focused across the region. With the low still offshore showers will come in waves today. As instability increases later in the day thunderstorms could develop.

Here is the latest weekly weather outlook from the NWS in Medford. Once we get past Wednesday most areas will see warming temperatures and more sunshine heading into tbd weekend.

Showers and thunderstorms are possible today across a good portion of our region. We could see a few isolated thunderstorms develop during the afternoon and evening hours. Areas in light green may see a few storms with lightning, small hail and gusty outflow winds.

Infrared satellite imagery this morning shows the low still spinning offshore. It will feed moisture and instability across the region with showers and possible thunderstorms tracking from south to north today.

There is a marginal risk of excessive rainfall across portions of Northern California for tomorrow. Areas in light green have a 5% risk of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance.

Animated radar returns shows the progression of the rain as the low slowly progresses east. The track of the showers has been from south to north.

The rain will continue to expand northward through Wednesday. Here are the latest European model run accumulated precipitation projections.

Here are the latest 12 hour observed precipitation amounts. The front has been a slow mover with most of the measurable precipitation focused along the immediate coast and inland into a few areas west of the Cascades.

GOES-West airmass satellite imagery shows a strong area of low pressure spinning offshore of Northern California. This has been sending a band of moisture inland extending from south to north. The focus of the precipitation has been coastal areas of Curry and Del Norte counties.

Gusty southerly winds have resulted in the typical rain shadow over the Rogue Valley. Other areas have seen showers at times throughout the day today. This is moving from south to north.

The 6-10 day temperature and precipitation outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center at NOAA indicate a return of near to above normal temperatures and near to slight above normal precipitation chances.

Here is a look at where the Storm Prediction Center at NOAA thinks thunderstorms could develop today into Tuesday. The potential looks do increase tomorrow especially for areas in Northern California.

Radar this morning shows where the showers are focused across the region. The cold front and low remain offshore and will gradually progress to the east/southeast today.

High temperatures today will be a few degrees cooler than yesterday. We are still near to slightly above normal overall for highs.

The cold front has been a slow mover as expected. Here is a look at the latest visible satellite imagery showing where it is positioned offshore. Precipitation will eventually progress inland today.

Radar returns are becoming more active as we head into the evening hours. The coastal zones could see some lighter precipitation develop before the evening is over.

The Storm Prediction Center at NOAA indicates thunderstorm potential on Tuesday for areas in light green on the graphic below. These storms will feature gusty winds and lightning. Small hail is also possible in some thunderstorms that develop.

Radar is picking up on the outer bands of the next front building offshore. This will progress slowly to the east today.

A cloudy day at Crater Lake National Park based off the view from the Sinnott Overlook webcam. The last reported snow depth was 17” at the park. Average snow depth for this date is 99”.

Highs today will continue to trend above normal even with that increasing cloud cover. Here is a look at the latest GFS model run forecast highs across the region.

Clouds are on the increase today as a cold front builds offshore. The coastal zones could see a chance of showers develop later this evening. It will be another above normal temperature day with increasing winds as well.

Updated water year precipitation amounts as of October 1st for select NWS Medford observation locations.

A look at the latest GFS model run precipitation estimates from Monday through Thursday of next week. You can see where the focus of the heaviest rainfall amounts will be located.

The GFS model run this morning is indicating it will likely take until Monday before we see the low offshore send precipitation inland. As of this morning Sunday looks to remain dry for inland locations with a chance of showers along the coast.

High temperatures today will trend above normal across the region. Here is a look at the latest GFS model projections.

Visible satellite imagery this morning shows some higher level clouds moving overhead. This will filter the sunshine at times today. Overall it will be a great day to get out and enjoy the outdoors.

It is going to be an absolutely beautiful spring day tomorrow. Highs west of the Cascades will reach into the lower to mid 70’s. We will still see some higher clouds streaming overhead similar to what we experienced today.