New Article: Hired Gun
letters2aj.substack.com/p/hired-gun
-Quantifying the Pivetta problem
-Lucas Giolito's intriguing addition
-The Floor is raised
#Padres
3 hours ago
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Posts by Letters2AJ
@chrisreed619.bsky.social mic check 😬
1 week ago
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New Article: Trust
letters2aj.substack.com/p/trust
-A prerequisite for player development
#Padres
1 week ago
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New Article: The Innovator’s Dilemma
-Where is the Padres offense?
-Craig Stammen: experimenter
-Baseball’s Innovator’s dilemma
letters2aj.substack.com/p/the-innova...
2 weeks ago
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Rain delay reading:
letters2aj.substack.com/p/first-look...
#Padres
2 weeks ago
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New Article: First Looks Part 1
-Examining the top of the rotation and lineup vs lefties
-Bullpen game theory
-The chronicles of McGonigle
letters2aj.substack.com/p/first-look...
3 weeks ago
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The Deivi Cruz of podcasts
1 month ago
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First article of the season: Skill Trees
-Case studies from 2025 postseason and 2026 spring training
-Game theory optimal use of new strategic asset
letters2aj.substack.com/p/skill-trees
1 month ago
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Here’s to a lot less bunting in 2026. 🍾
3 months ago
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New article: Expected Value
-Baseball’s new win conditions
-IKF and baseball orthodoxy
-The Default State
letters2aj.substack.com/p/expected-v...
5 months ago
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New Article: The Upper Bound
letters2aj.substack.com/p/the-upper-...
-The Padres have not fielded the best version of themselves. Until now.
6 months ago
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New Article: Margin Call Part 3 - Playing To The Park
letters2aj.substack.com/p/margin-cal...
-Signs the Padres are emphasizing a more sophisticated pitch mix strategy
-What they can control in a worst case scenario
7 months ago
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New Article: Margin Call Part 2 - Lineup Optimization
-A shift in the win formula
-How impactful is lineup optimization?
-Making the pieces fit
letters2aj.substack.com/p/margin-cal...
7 months ago
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This is great work - as always - but i humbly propose my guy Archie could've saved some math time by looking at this scientific chart i posted in our Padres Hot Tub discord a few months ago.
7 months ago
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Tuesday Pod!
-Padres are going through some things. Hit the gas or throttle back?
-SDFC steals the show from Son / LAFC; Can Dreyer win MVP?
Weekend Recaps are always 🔓. Today’s @section1904.com:
7 months ago
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New Article: Margin Call Part 1 - Small Ball
letters2aj.substack.com/p/margin-cal...
-The best time to purge a small win-probability drag is the start of a long season. The next best time is now.
7 months ago
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Three reasons 😎
7 months ago
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New Article: Home Field Advantage
letters2aj.substack.com/p/home-field...
-Luis Arraez and lineup optimization
-Now it's a sprint
-What home field advantage means
#ForTheFaithful #Padres
7 months ago
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New Article: Pressing Questions
letters2aj.substack.com/p/pressing-q...
-Is the lineup optimized?
-Is the use of an opener a one-off?
-How close was the Dodgers series?
#Padres
8 months ago
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New Article: The Formula
letters2aj.substack.com/p/the-formula
-How the pieces fit
-New strategies, and old
-Close-quarters combat
#Padres
8 months ago
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New Article: First Impressions
letters2aj.substack.com/p/first-impr...
-New arms, new lineup, new strategies
-Cease, fire
-Farewell Strandy, gone but not forgotten
#Padres
8 months ago
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Always love when I get to spend an hour-plus talking #Padres with @letters2aj.bsky.social
8 months ago
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New Article: All In
-The reinforcements that arrived after the trade deadline finally detonated
-The Trade That Didn't Happen
-The Way Home
#ForTheFaithful #Padres
letters2aj.substack.com/p/all-in
8 months ago
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New Article: The Other TTO
letters2aj.substack.com/p/the-other-tto
-What to make of Dylan Cease's dreadful ERA?
-Compounding effects of an extreme pitching style
-Simplifying the guessing game
9 months ago
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New Article: Adjustments
letters2aj.substack.com/p/adjustment...
-An interesting trend in opposing starting pitcher stuff+
-An approach change from Luis Arraez?
#Padres
9 months ago
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New Article: Degree Of Difficulty
letters2aj.substack.com/p/degree-of-...
-Analyzing the Padres record against over-and-under .500 teams
-Roster analysis as the trade deadline looms
-Chipping away at understanding the unprecedented slumps from the team's top hitters
#Padres
9 months ago
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