Breaking News!
Code: Preliminary Mega-Yikes!!!
Preliminary SSTs are spiking near a new record all-time high. The final data will take about 2 weeks to be posted. With the record ocean heatwave in the Eastern pacific and a rapidly developing El Nino, hang on to your tenterhooks!
Posts by Prof. Eliot Jacobson
Your 'moment of doom' and 'doom quote' will be taking a break for a few days, back next week sometime.
The general theme is "the collapse of global industrial civilization and sixth great extinction" with a tad of cynicism, in case anyone wants to post their own,
Cheers.
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"Our success in confronting the climate crisis will not be ours alone. It will be shaped, bolstered, and ultimately won by a united pledge from global leaders to set the world on a path to a clean energy future."
www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/pr...
Your 'moment of doom' for Apr. 17, 2026 ~ and hello to oblivion.
"As the oceans warm due to climate change, they now face the risk of potentially fatal overheating."
insideclimatenews.org/news/1604202...
In a rush, I left the last 34 days worth of data off of this image in my post earlier today. You can now see the change towards El Nino happening over the last few days with the first hints of orange on the last bar on the right hand side.
Sigh.
Since we're now on 'Godzilla El Nino' watch, I decided to create the daily color stripes for the Nino 3.4 region, using the 1982-2011 baseline (first 30 years of data).
Will 2026 see Nino 3.4 go beyond 3.0°C? The climate 8-ball just scratched.
Your 'moment of doom' for Apr. 16, 2026 ~ a hard wind
"... we now need a 'Category 6' rating for hurricanes with winds of 193 mph (311 km/h) or greater, because global warming is expected to cause significant increases in maximum potential intensity."
yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/04/glob...
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"I think there's an emerging consensus that we do have global warming. You can look at the data on that, and I think clearly we're in a period of warming."
abcnews.com/Technology/s...
Please enjoy my latest substack post:
Earth is Heating at a Rate of Over One Million Hiroshima Bombs Every Day!
open.substack.com/pub/climatec...
SST data is preliminary for 2 weeks, but now we know new daily SST records were set on March 17th & 18th.
On the other hand, is the latest record just a ghost from preliminary SST data, or is something truly f&%ked happening? We'll have to wait 2 weeks to know.
Stay tuned!
Your 'moment of doom' for Apr. 15, 2026 ~ Ignorance is strength.
"'Good news,' read a banner outside the main ballroom, erected by the CO2 Coalition, a climate-denying non-profit that co-sponsored the conference. 'There is no climate crisis.'"
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"It isn't pollution that's harming the environment. It's the impurities in our air and water that are doing it."
Your 'moment of doom' for Apr. 14, 2026 ~ The canary is dead.
"And so this small and charismatic bird has been held up as 'the canary in the coalmine', signalling deep-seated problems for many other birds struggling to cope with climate change."
www.thetimes.com/comment/regi...
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"If we fail to act soon, we will face an economic, social, and political crisis that will threaten our free institutions. But we still have another choice... We can decide to act while there is still time. "
www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/ad...
Your 'moment of doom' for Apr. 13, 2026 ~ The long goodbye.
"Gray whales are beginning to break their long-established migration patterns, venturing into risky new territory like San Francisco Bay as climate change disrupts their Arctic food supply."
www.sciencedaily.com/releases/202...
Here's the latest global surface temperature update, with data through April 11, 2026.
So far, 2026 is averaging 1.49°C over pre-industrial, with a looming El Nino later this year. The Climate Casino previously set the Over/Under for all of 2026 at 1.58°C.
Stay tuned!
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"We can be proud of the actions we have taken as a nation to protect the quality of the environment for ourselves and our children."
www.reaganlibrary.gov/archives/spe...
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"The earth and its atmosphere are a closed system... The good water cannot purify itself indefinitely. The good air cannot cleanse itself endlessly. And the good earth cannot sustain and repair the injustices of man forever."
www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/pr...
Your 'moment of doom' for Apr. 11, 2026 ~ Cautiously pessimistic.
"Even though these projections are painting an incredibly dire picture for us, we need to be mindful that runoff might even be worse than what’s being projected."
wyofile.com/its-incredib...
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"I am happy to report that I have just signed the Framework Convention on Climate Change. Today, I invite my colleagues from the industrialized world to join in a prompt start on the convention's implementation."
www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/ad...
Maybe double check that.
Your 'moment of doom' for Apr. 10, 2026 ~ Down under.
"The mass drowning of emperor penguin chicks as sea ice is melted by the climate crisis has led the International Union for Conservation of Nature to declare the species officially in danger of extinction."
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"On Earth Day I made a commitment to reduce our emissions of greenhouse gases to 1990 levels by the year 2000. And I asked for a blueprint on how to achieve this goal... we simply must halt global warming."
www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/re...
In case you missed it. Figure 8:
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana...
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
The latest "ENSO Probabilities" forecast was just published today. El Nino is now more than 60% by May/June/July and more than 90% by the Fall.
Here are both the March & April forecasts for comparison.
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana...
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"We have come tardily to the tremendous task of cleaning up our environment. We should have moved with similar zeal at least a decade ago. But no purpose is served by post-mortems."
www.abebooks.com/servlet/Sear...
Your 'moment of doom' for Apr. 9, 2026 ~ Wet bulb.
"My first thought was ‘Oh shit’ ... if it’s already happening now, then what does a future that is two or three degrees warmer hold?"
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Breaking News!
Code UFB!!!
We're now at 17 months in a row for setting a new record high for the 36-month running average for global (60S-60N) Total Column Precipitable Water.
In other words, the atmosphere is now holding more water vapor than ever before in recorded history.