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Posts by Nicholas Danforth

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LIVE SOON: Hungary's lessons for Turkey; latest in Iran War; listener questions Starting Apr 17 at 10:00 AM EDT

@nicholasdanfort.bsky.social and I are going LIVE to talk about Hungary's elections, (and whether there are lessons in there), as well as the devastating school shootings in Turkey this week.

open.substack.com/live-stream/...

4 days ago 3 1 0 1

I think it's precisely because religion has proved more divisive in the actual history of the middle east that historians are more drawn to less plausible alternate histories featuring religious co-existence.

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
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What if the Ottomans Survived? Recent scholarship shows the promise—and limits—of a historical path not taken.

By 1914, the Ottoman empire looked much more promising as a multiethnic society than a multireligious one.

foreignpolicy.com/2026/04/10/o...

1 week ago 8 6 1 1
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What if the Ottomans Survived? Recent scholarship shows the promise—and limits—of a historical path not taken.

A growing number of historians argue that the Ottoman Empire’s decline was overstated and its collapse was not predestined.

1 week ago 14 4 1 1
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What if the Ottomans Survived? Recent scholarship shows the promise—and limits—of a historical path not taken.

📰 Sunday Extras:

"What if the Ottomans Survived?" by @nicholasdanfort.bsky.social. [1/5]

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What if the Ottomans Survived? Recent scholarship shows the promise—and limits—of a historical path not taken.

For the weekend: my brief foray into the alternate history of the Ottoman Empire based on some excellent recent books

foreignpolicy.com/2026/04/10/o...

1 week ago 1 0 0 0

Funny, yeah thinking about this after I finished the article I was like no way Britain is letting them keep Basra.

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The War That Made the Middle East: World War I and the End of the Ottoman Empire The War That Made the Middle East: World War I and the End of the Ottoman Empire [Aksakal, Mustafa] on Amazon.com. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. The War That Made the Middle East: World War I and the End of the Ottoman Empire

Most notably Mustafa Aksakal's remarkable "The War That Made the Middle East: World War I and the End of the Ottoman Empire." www.amazon.com/War-That-Mad...

1 week ago 3 1 0 0
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What If the Ottomans Survived? Recent scholarship shows the promise—and limits—of a historical path not taken.

Thinking through the hypothetical today with the help of some excellent recent history books:

foreignpolicy.com/2026/04/10/o...

1 week ago 3 1 1 0
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Okay, but what if the Ottoman Empire somehow survived World War One?

1 week ago 10 3 3 1

I see a number of people disagree...

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Crossing the Red Line: Biden, His Advisors, and Israel's War in Gaza Crossing the Red Line: Biden, His Advisors, and Israel's War in Gaza [Ahmed, Akbar Shahid] on Amazon.com. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. Crossing the Red Line: Biden, His Advisors, and Israel's War in Gaza

This will be good: www.amazon.com/Crossing-Red...

1 week ago 3 2 1 0
The Man Who Shaped Washington’s View of the Middle East Brett McGurk advised four presidents on a contested region—but to what end?

"Agreeing or disagreeing with McGurk’s body of work is, in a sense, a Rorschach test for whether one thinks U.S. policy in the Middle East this century has been a success or failure.

foreignpolicy.com/2026/04/09/b...

1 week ago 10 1 1 2

A term whose time has come

1 week ago 2 1 1 0
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Iran Conflict Threatens Armenia-Azerbaijan Progress Trump’s Iran policy might undermine his one successful peace accord.

The Armenia-Azerbaijan peace process was a rare one to which Trump made a real contribution. But now there are worries both in Baku and Yerevan that Iran has distracted the White House from the work that still needs to be done. Me in @foreignpolicy.com

foreignpolicy.com/2026/04/08/i...

1 week ago 21 7 1 0

Went to an anti-war protest by the White House last night. Giant Iranian flags. Speaker declaring "our missiles" closed Hormuz. Joined abt 4 other people on the opposite corner in the anti-war, anti-regime camp. Would be great to see some non-tankie protests going forward but not holding my breath.

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The Turkey-Israel rivalry in a changing Middle East with Howard Eissenstat
The Turkey-Israel rivalry in a changing Middle East with Howard Eissenstat YouTube video by Turkey recap

My chat with @diegocupolo.bsky.social at @turkeyrecap.bsky.social on Turkish - Israeli relations.

The dynamics of the Middle East are changing radically, I argue. And it is Israel, rather than Turkey, that is the main disrupting force

www.youtube.com/watch?v=UyzX...

2 weeks ago 15 6 0 1
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in persian culture, telling someone "we're going to kill you all" is considered deeply offensive

1 week ago 12117 1845 219 62

I suspect if the pilot is captured Tehran will now make a big show of treating them well to score a global pr win

2 weeks ago 11 4 1 1
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Iran Is the Dumb, Disastrous Remake of Desert Storm Trump is trying to rerun the first Gulf War, badly, in an international system that won’t allow it.

“if Trump is looking for a rerun of the 1991 Gulf War, he is likely to be disappointed”: the wonderful and blueskyless Daniel Neep on the how the US’s fading relationship with the UN reveals that escalation, not limited war, is the sole way forward the US has left open for itself

2 weeks ago 26 4 0 0

what were the actual tweets? its always annoying when articles like this dont quote them

2 weeks ago 0 0 2 0

Personally, I think your willingness to appear on TRT should directly reflect your willingness to appear on Russia Today.

3 weeks ago 5 1 1 0
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Turkey’s Contested Homefront What lesson about national solidarity will Erdogan draw from Israel and Iran?

Great new piece by @selimkoru.bsky.social on Turkey, democracy and national solidarity:

foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/27/t...

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my job as an academic isn't to predict the future, but "this will be even worse than you think it will be" has yet to serve me wrong as a guide to any given government choice during the Trump years

4 weeks ago 196 20 6 1

Graeber was the leftist Malcolm Gladwell.

1 month ago 174 12 5 2

And to think some people believed him...

1 month ago 3 0 0 0
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It's important to think about what work the claim "Crash Bandicoot is political" is doing in a conversation, and that work is usually supporting the claim "now I get to yell at you about Crash Bandicoot".

1 month ago 5 1 1 0

A fundamental misreading of the world affectionately dubbed "moynism"

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The Uncanny Echoes of Iraq in Trump’s War With Iran The president has often defined his foreign policy approach in opposition to the Bush administration’s, but he is following in its footsteps

@centuryintl.bsky.social colleague @freddydeknatel.bsky.social on the ways in which Trump's war on Iran is a degraded, copy-of-a-copy Xerox of Bush's 2003 invasion of Iraq: newlinesmag.com/essays/the-u...

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