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Posts by Daryl Fairweather ⛅

Is the Great Lakes Region the Ultimate Climate Haven for Real Estate?
Is the Great Lakes Region the Ultimate Climate Haven for Real Estate? YouTube video by Daryl Fairweather, PhD | Chief Economist

Is the Great Lakes region the ultimate Climate Haven? 🌊

With over $15T in real estate at risk from floods & fires, I explore why the Midwest is seeing a pricing boom.

Low risk, low cost, high quality of life. Is it time to move? 🏡
youtu.be/9J2GjGixcQc

2 weeks ago 11 1 1 0
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The housing market is hitting stagflation. Jobs are cooling, but the unauthorized war in Iran is keeping oil prices and rates high. Sellers are losing patience and re-listings are at a decade high, giving buyers more leverage.

3 weeks ago 15 1 2 0
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US Sends Another 2,500 Marines to Iran as Ground Option Emerges in War Trump said “no troops" yet 2,500 Marines and new warships head toward the Middle East.

And here is the reason why markets are going nuts right now www.military.com/daily-news/h...

2 weeks ago 16 5 0 0
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Holy cow, rates up to 6.53% today! A borrower putting 20% down on a $600,000 home would pay $168 more now than they would have the day before the U.S. bombed Iran when rates were 5.99%. War is costly in innumerable ways, including the cost of homeownership.

2 weeks ago 281 98 11 17
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How an Artist Lives on $36,000 a Year on the Upper West Side (Gift Article) Gaya Palmer credits her rent-stabilized apartment for making a life filled with art, monthly lunch dates at Cafe Luxembourg and spontaneous dance parties possible.

If we want more people to be able to live in Manhattan on a modest salary, we don't need more rent stabilized apartments we need many, many more 380 sq ft apartments like this woman has.

www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

2 weeks ago 13 0 0 0
Stop Blaming Wall Street: The Real Reason You Can’t Afford a Home
Stop Blaming Wall Street: The Real Reason You Can’t Afford a Home YouTube video by Daryl Fairweather, PhD | Chief Economist

Is Wall Street buying every house? Data says no. 🏠 Mega-investors own <1% of homes. The real culprits? A 4M-home shortage, NIMBYism, and the lock-in effect. Small mom & pop"landlords (22%) dwarf big firms. Watch for the full breakdown! 📊
youtu.be/78OrLE4DC9M

3 weeks ago 16 1 0 0
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Analysis Suggests School Was Hit Amid U.S. Strikes on Iranian Naval Base

Just want to acknowledge how weird it feels to talk about housing when innocent people are dying www.nytimes.com/2026/03/05/w...

3 weeks ago 7 1 1 0
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The housing market is hitting stagflation. Jobs are cooling, but the unauthorized war in Iran is keeping oil prices and rates high. Sellers are losing patience and re-listings are at a decade high, giving buyers more leverage.

3 weeks ago 15 1 2 0

Even though I'm an economist, I wish there was more focus on the human suffering from this war and less focus on the economic consequences. Hundreds of little girls are dead, and we're worried about oil prices.

3 weeks ago 575 146 18 7
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I actually deleted that chart on Twitter because it's based on metro data and the city data tells a messier story..sorry!

4 weeks ago 2 0 1 0
Bert Kreischer Shares Alot (Almost Too Much) | You Made It Weird
Bert Kreischer Shares Alot (Almost Too Much) | You Made It Weird YouTube video by Pete Holmes

I shit you not...Bert Kreischer discusses "The High Cost of Free Parking" with Pete Holmes at the 35 minute mark
music.youtube.com/watch?v=aQjx...

4 weeks ago 19 1 0 0
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The Road to Housing Act has gotten a lot of attention for banning institutional investors. That ban won't make housing more affordable, but the rule changes around manufactured homes could!
Lets cut the bad parts and keep the good, and get this act passed.

1 month ago 16 2 0 0
Florida Condos Are Crashing. Inland Florida Is Booming.
Florida Condos Are Crashing. Inland Florida Is Booming. YouTube video by Daryl Fairweather, PhD | Chief Economist

Florida condo owners lost $60,000 in equity in one year. Orlando condo owners gained 11%. Same state. Same year. I break down exactly why — and what happens next.
youtu.be/DMI7VZ36_Rk

1 month ago 8 0 0 1
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Why Gen Z Can't Afford a Home — And Why the 2030s Could Change Everything YouTube video by Daryl Fairweather, PhD | Chief Economist

My latest Youtube video (please subscribe, I'm really trying to do this for real now)

Is Gen-Z completely priced out of homeownership—or are market shifts creating new opportunities?

www.youtube.com/watch?si=-Ig...

1 month ago 8 1 0 0

California already upzoned every single family lot. But the lots aren't being developed because existing homeowners are incentivized by the tax system to stay until they die.

1 month ago 5 0 2 0
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In California, About the Only Way to Get a House Is to Inherit One Nearly one out of every five property transfers last year was made through inheritance, a record for the state and double the national share.

In California, About the Only Way to Get a House Is to Inherit One
www.wsj.com/economy/hous...

1 month ago 12 0 1 0
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California’s housing market is officially a landed gentry system. 🏠

New data from the Wall Street Journal: 1 in 5 of CA home transfers are now inheritances—double the US average.

Does CA need to end Prop 13 to save the American Dream? 🧵👇

1 month ago 61 8 2 7
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Come see me on the Planet Money book tour!
Get your tickets and reserve your spot before its too late 🪐💵

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
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Why Gen Z Can't Afford a Home — And Why the 2030s Could Change Everything YouTube video by Daryl Fairweather, PhD | Chief Economist

My latest Youtube video (please subscribe, I'm really trying to do this for real now)

Is Gen-Z completely priced out of homeownership—or are market shifts creating new opportunities?

www.youtube.com/watch?si=-Ig...

1 month ago 8 1 0 0

Rochester, NY has the highest bidding war rate of any US metro

1 month ago 2 0 0 0

My map is *share* of homes sold for above list price. Your meme doesn't make any sense.

1 month ago 2 0 1 0
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The negative correlation between pandemic construction and share of homes currently selling above list.

1 month ago 7 0 0 0
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🏗️The places that built the most housing during the pandemic have the fewest bidding wars, and the places that neglected to build have the most. 🏘️

See percent of homes selling above list price by county.

1 month ago 22 7 2 1
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Half of Americans Struggle to Pay Rent or Mortgage, With Gen Z Hit Hardest The most common sacrifices Americans make to afford housing are eating out less and skipping vacations.

www.redfin.com/news/struggl...

1 month ago 3 1 0 0
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67% of Gen Z are struggling to afford their housing costs according to a recent Redfin report. 🏠📉
Between high rents, and a weak labor market, the struggle is real.
Rents are coming down in the places that built the most during the pandemic: the solution is to build housing! 🏗️

1 month ago 14 2 1 0
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@juanmoisesdelas.bsky.social could you send me the paper with the result you referred to? Daryl.fairweather@redfin.com. thanks

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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The housing markets that had the biggest pandemic booms in home prices are now the markets where it the most difficult to sell.

See this graph showing the negative (-45%) correlation between share of home listings sold in two weeks in Jan 2026 and price growth from 2020-2022

1 month ago 20 2 1 0
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Florida, Texas, Michigan, Nebraska, and Wyoming are moving to cut/eliminate property taxes. 🚨

Great news, right? Not if you’re trying to buy your first home. You'll be trading yearly taxes for higher home prices and increased sales tax.

1 month ago 14 4 1 0
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My manager told me I wasn't ready to be chief economist.
I already had the offer from Redfin.
She'd downgraded my rating while I was on maternity leave, so Amazon couldn't even counter.
Her only move was to scare me into thinking I would fail.
To read the full story, grab my book, Hate the Game

1 month ago 19 3 0 0
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Status quo bias keeps us stuck in comfortable habits that lead to dead ends. In a rapidly changing world, the default path is risky. If you wiped the slate clean, would you choose the path you are on?

Grab my book Hate the Game for more.

1 month ago 4 0 0 0