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Posts by Riccardo Gasco

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Italy’s Turkish Turn — and Europe’s Unspoken Defence Shift Italy’s TB3 move signals a deeper shift in naval warfare, defence industrial integration, and Europe’s security debate

📌 In our new piece with Francesco Salesio Schiavi, we discuss why #Italy’s interest in the #Turkish TB3 is structurally different from previous #European purchases of Turkish drones. 🇮🇹 🇹🇷

gasco66.substack.com/p/italys-tur...

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
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Ukraine faces balancing act as it seeks to build ties with Syria | The National Turkey, acting as intermediary, wants to ensure that neither Russia nor Iran will be significantly affected, sources say

📌 Read @lcmporter.bsky.social latest for the
@thenationalnews.com, including some comments from me on #Zelensky's visit to #Damascus and why Turkish FM Hakan #Fidan was there. 🇺🇦 🇹🇷 🇸🇾

www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/20...

2 weeks ago 1 1 0 0
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Turchia, mediatore necessario o potenza ambigua?

📌 It has been a great pleasure to join Daniele Bellasio on his Macro podcast for il @sole24ore.bsky.social to discuss Turkey's role in the Iran war. 🇹🇷 🇮🇷

🔺 We looked at Turkish foreign policy directions and what's at stake for #Ankara.

Thanks for having me!

open.spotify.com/episode/0X7E...

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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📌 I shared a few thoughts with Il Foglio on the Turkish role in the Iran war 🇹🇷🇮🇷

Thanks to Stefano Mazzola!

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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📌 At @istanpol.bsky.social, we are launching our new Executive Program on Geopolitics & Political Risk Management for diplomats, analysts and policy professionals working on #Türkiye. 🇹🇷

🗓️ Two-week online program - April 27 - May 10

🔺 Applications and further info at: istanpol.org/en/post-exec...

4 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Middle East Policy Click on the title to browse this journal

📌 Pleased to share the review of @fededonelli.bsky.social's book "Power Competition in the Red Sea: Testing the Post-Liberal International Order" for Middle East Policy.

🔺 The #RedSea is one of the clearest areas where the post-LIO is being tested.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/1475...

4 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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The unspoken yet growing synergy in Turkey–Spain relations Spanish-Turkish defense cooperation could help normalize Turkey as a security actor within the Euro-Atlantic perimeter.

"The unspoken yet growing synergy in Turkey–Spain relations" by @riccardogasco.bsky.social and Samuele C. Abrami. [2/5]

1 month ago 1 1 1 0
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📌 It has been a great pleasure to deliver a guest lecture at Trieste University on Turkey’s domestic and foreign policy 🇹🇷

Thanks for having me!

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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The unspoken yet growing synergy in Turkey–Spain relations Spanish-Turkish defense cooperation could help normalize Turkey as a security actor within the Euro-Atlantic perimeter.

📌 Thrilled to share our latest with Samuele Abrami for the
@atlanticcouncil.bsky.social on #Turkey-#Spain relations! 🇹🇷🇪🇸

🔺 “What looks like symbolic ‘brotherhood’ is in fact a structural alignment built on security cooperation.”

www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/turkey...

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
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Iranians grapple with whether to flee the country because of the war Iranians are having to make hard choices about whether to flee for safer locales during the war. Thus far, relatively few people have chosen to leave Iran: The U.N. estimates 3.2 million people have b...

📌 Thanks to @stmcneil.bsky.social for including my two cents in his article alongside @alexvatanka.bsky.social for @apnews.com on Iranians fleeing the country and the potential implications for #Turkey. 🇹🇷 🇮🇷

You can read the full article below!

apnews.com/article/refu...

1 month ago 2 2 0 0
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📌 Looking forward to speaking at @unitrieste.bsky.social
on 20 March about Turkish domestic and foreign policy 🇹🇷

🔺Together with @fededonelli.bsky.social and Federico Battera, we’ll discuss how domestic political transformation shapes Turkey’s international activism.

Thanks for the invitation!

1 month ago 2 0 0 0

Well worth reading: on Turkey's response to the war on Iran.

1 month ago 7 5 1 0

Thank you so much Howard!

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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Kurds, the Iran War, and Türkiye’s Strategy of Preventive Stabilization The killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in joint U.S.–Israeli strikes on February 28 did more than decapitate a 47-year-long regime. It ac

@selvinkorkmaz.bsky.social and @riccardogasco.bsky.social write for @istanpol.bsky.social on Turkey, the Kurds, and the war on Iran

istanpol.org/en/post-kurd...

1 month ago 6 5 0 0
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Kurds, the Iran War, and Türkiye’s Strategy of Preventive Stabilization The killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in joint U.S.–Israeli strikes on February 28 did more than decapitate a 47-year-long regime. It ac

📌 What looks like ambiguity in Türkiye’s foreign policy may actually be a strategy. 🇹🇷

Ankara’s approach combines de-escalation, diplomatic flexibility, and domestic stabilization to avoid being trapped in a widening regional confrontation.

New with Seren Korkmaz.

istanpol.org/en/post-kurd...

1 month ago 2 3 0 1
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Alleata Usa ma contro l'attacco: la posizione della Turchia nella guerra in Iran Ankara vuole evitare l’escalation militare diretta ma è preoccupata per i curdi

📌 I spoke with Giovanna Loccatelli for La Stampa on how Turkey reacted and positioned itself following the outbreak of the Iran war. 🇹🇷

www.lastampa.it/esteri/2026/...

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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How is Turkey responding to the US-Israel-Iran war? | The National Unlike Gulf countries, Turkey has not been targeted in Iranian retaliation

📌 Quoted in The National on Turkey’s response to the US–Israel–Iran war. 🇹🇷

Ankara is pushing for de-escalation and diplomacy, while preparing for potential spillovers—from refugee flows to security risks linked to Kurdish militant groups.

www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/20...

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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Turkey’s Dilemma: Hawks Demand Action, Elites Choose Diplomacy Amid US-Israel Iran Strikes Public support for confronting Iran clashes with Ankara’s de-escalation push, as NATO surveillance and mediation offers test strategic balance

📌 Turkish decision-makers have long treated scenarios of rapid destabilization in Iran as inherently costly. 🇹🇷 🇮🇷

A few thoughts on the recent developments in the Middle East and #Ankara's role!

substack.com/home/post/p-...

1 month ago 1 2 1 0
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Turkey’s Dilemma: Hawks Demand Action, Elites Choose Diplomacy Amid US-Israel Iran Strikes Public support for confronting Iran clashes with Ankara’s de-escalation push, as NATO surveillance and mediation offers test strategic balance

Turkey’s Iran paradox is stark: public hawkishness vs elite de-escalation. Ankara opposes strikes less out of sympathy for Tehran than spillover risk management (PKK security pressure, displacement, corridor disruption).

1 month ago 1 3 0 0
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Riccardo Gasco on X: "📌 With the #US and #Israel launching airstrikes on #Iran today, the Middle East has entered a highly volatile new phase. One key question is how #Turkey positions itself amid this crisis, and what it could mean for #Ankara’s security, economy, and regional role. 🔺Let’s walk" / X 📌 With the #US and #Israel launching airstrikes on #Iran today, the Middle East has entered a highly volatile new phase. One key question is how #Turkey positions itself amid this crisis, and what it could mean for #Ankara’s security, economy, and regional role. 🔺Let’s walk

x.com/RiccardoGasc...

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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📌 Guest lecture at Trieste University on the geopolitics of rare earths — on Turkey’s role 🌍 and the implications for the EU.

Critical raw materials are central to geoeconomics, industrial policy, and foreign policy.

Thanks to @fededonelli.bsky.social and Federico Battera for the invitation.

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
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From aid to F-16s: Turkey s hard-power turn in Somalia Turkey's deployment of F-16s to Somalia marks a deepening military footprint in the Horn of Africa at a time of escalating Red Sea rivalries

This looks less like a change of model and more like an escalation in the means Turkey is willing to use to defend what it has already built in Somalia,” said @riccardogasco.bsky.social

www-newarab-com.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/www.newa...

1 month ago 2 1 0 0
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From aid to F-16s: Turkey’s hard-power turn in Somalia Turkey’s deployment of F-16s to Somalia marks a deepening military footprint in the Horn of Africa at a time of escalating Red Sea rivalries

📌 I was pleased to be quoted in @thenewarab.bsky.social by Jonathan Fenton-Harvey on Turkey’s F-16 deployment to Somalia. 🇹🇷 🇸🇴

🔺 Somalia is becoming a strategic maritime platform linking the Red Sea and the Indian Ocean.

Full article: www.newarab.com/analysis/aid...

1 month ago 2 2 0 0
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📌 It's always a pleasure to contribute to the top newsletter on Turkish affairs @turkeyrecap.bsky.social!

Thanks to @diegocupolo.bsky.social for including my two cents on the recent developments between #Türkiye and the #EU! 🇹🇷 🇪🇺

2 months ago 2 1 0 0
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Turchia e terre rare: un’opzione per l’UE? | ISPI Leggi l'articolo Turchia e terre rare: un’opzione per l’UE? sul sito dell'ISPI.

📌 Check out our new ISPI commentary with Federico Donelli
on Türkiye's potential role for the #EU in securing critical raw materials. 🇹🇷🇪🇺

www.ispionline.it/it/pubblicaz...

2 months ago 0 1 0 0
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EU trade acceleration with India and Mercosur: How it is reshaping Türkiye's competitive perimeter For Türkiye, the European Union’s (EU) accelerating trade diplomacy is no longer a distant story about Brussels’ external agenda. It is a direc

📌 #EU FTAs with #India + Mercosur redraw #Europe’s trade map. #Türkiye is inside the market, outside the rules—Customs Union exposure, no say. That asymmetry is now a strategic risk. 🇹🇷🇪🇺

✍️Check out my latest analysis for @istanpol.bsky.social!

istanpol.org/en/post-eu-t...

2 months ago 0 1 0 0
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EU trade acceleration with India and Mercosur: How it is reshaping Türkiye's competitive perimeter For Türkiye, the European Union’s (EU) accelerating trade diplomacy is no longer a distant story about Brussels’ external agenda. It is a direc

📌 #EU FTAs with #India + Mercosur redraw #Europe’s trade map. #Türkiye is inside the market, outside the rules—Customs Union exposure, no say. That asymmetry is now a strategic risk. 🇹🇷🇪🇺

✍️Check out my latest analysis for @istanpol.bsky.social!

istanpol.org/en/post-eu-t...

2 months ago 0 1 0 0
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Turchia e terre rare: un’opzione per l’UE? | ISPI Leggi l'articolo Turchia e terre rare: un’opzione per l’UE? sul sito dell'ISPI.

📌Rare earths are becoming a key #geopolitical asset.

With @riccardogasco.bsky.social, we analyze #Türkiye’s potential role for the #EU in securing #critical raw #materials.

#ISPI online 👇

www.ispionline.it/it/pubblicaz...

2 months ago 1 2 0 0
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Turchia e terre rare: un’opzione per l’UE? | ISPI Leggi l'articolo Turchia e terre rare: un’opzione per l’UE? sul sito dell'ISPI.

📌 Check out our new ISPI commentary with Federico Donelli
on Türkiye's potential role for the #EU in securing critical raw materials. 🇹🇷🇪🇺

www.ispionline.it/it/pubblicaz...

2 months ago 0 1 0 0
Cosa è stato e cosa sarà in Turchia? - la prima puntata della seconda stagione!
Cosa è stato e cosa sarà in Turchia? - la prima puntata della seconda stagione! YouTube video by Cose Turche News

🎙️ Cose Turche News is back. New season, new format. 🇹🇷

New voices, longer episodes, and deeper dives into Turkey’s politics, society, and the wider region — every two weeks.

🎧 Episode 1 is out: a review of 2025 and early insights on what to expect in 2026.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=oRvP...

3 months ago 1 0 0 0
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