Yavuz Baydar Yazdı: Kalkıştığı “Seçim Sistemi Mühendisliği” Orban'ı İktidardan İndirdi, Peki Türkiye'de Ne Olabilir? - Paraanaliz Şu ana kadar çıkan en “içerden”, en yetkin yazıda Macar uzman Dessewffy, sistemin “ters-çarpan" (bumerang) etkisini vurguluyor. Yorumları Türkiye’yi çağrıştırıyor

Bir de bu açı var.

www.paraanaliz.com/2026/yazarla...

Critical Atlantic current significantly more likely to collapse than thought Scientists say finding is ‘very concerning’ as collapse would be catastrophic for Europe, Africa and the Americas

"The Amoc is slowing because air temperatures are rising rapidly in the Arctic because of global heating. That means the ocean cools more slowly there."

www.theguardian.com/environment/...

Orbán Outvoted: Who Is Next? Erdoğan, Aliyev? When the Guardrails Work — or Maybe Not Does showing Hungary’s Orbán the exit set a universal pattern — that autocrats across the globe can be beaten at the ballot box? Optimism should have its limits.

Kan Turkiet gå samma väg som Ungern och rösta bort sin ”starke man”. Läs @yavuzbaydar.bsky.social, som här resonerar om likheterna mellan länderna – men också om de avgörande skillnaderna: open.substack.com/pub/yavuzbay...

Orbán Outvoted: Who Is Next? Erdoğan, Aliyev? When the Guardrails Work — or Maybe Not Does showing Hungary’s Orbán the exit set a universal pattern — that autocrats across the globe can be beaten at the ballot box? Optimism should have its limits.

The election results will certainly have a contagion effect, but does it have its limits? What are the crucial differences between Hungary and Turkey? Here is my take on the issue.

open.substack.com/pub/yavuzbay...

Ex-CIA director calls for ousting Trump: ‘25th amendment was written with him in mind’ John Brennan says president who made volatile remarks about destroying Iranian civilization ‘is clearly unhinged’

“This person is clearly unhinged,” Brennan said. “I think the 25th amendment was written with Donald Trump in mind.”

www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

Budapeşte, Kahramanlar Meydanı. Dün gece.
“Orban defol!”, “Rusya dışarı!” sloganları.
Yarın dananın kuyruğu kopacak.

👉 open.substack.com/pub/narblog/...

Trump Yönetimi’nin “en tehlikeli” figürü “Savaş Bakanı” Pete Hegseth mi? Pentagon’un tepesinde Ortaçağ Haçlı Savaşları'nın yeniden sahnelenmesinden yana olduğunu saklamayan bir Evanjelist oturuyor. Geçmişi, bugününü ve yarınını anlatıyor.

"45 yaşındaki Hegseth kendisini sert dini motiflerle örülü bir “modern haçlı savaşı”nın önderi olarak görüyor. Müttefiki, kendisi gibi fanatik birer “dinci” olan, İsrail hükümetinin bazı bakanları."

İşte Pentagon’un tepesindeki figürün portresi.

open.substack.com/pub/narblog/...

How Trump Took the U.S. to War With Iran

General Caine replied: “Sir, this is, in my experience, standard operating procedure for the Israelis. They oversell, and their plans are not always well-developed. They know they need us, and that’s why they’re hard-selling.”

www.nytimes.com/2026/04/07/u...

Budskapet: Ditt liv blir ett helvete | Yavuz Baydar KRÖNIKA. Åtalen mot journalister i Ungern och Turkiet försöker etablera ett prejudikat om att journalistisk ska ses som förolämpning. Rapportering om ”fel” saker leder till trakasserier.

Tydligt budskap: Vi ser till att ditt liv blir ett helvete. @yavuzbaydar.bsky.social skriver om Orbáns och Erdogans hantering av journalister som rapporterar om ”fel” saker. www.svd.se/a/3ppwdM/jou...

Massive No Kings rally in Washington, D.C.

Türkiye hükümeti kritik eşikte: AİHM Büyük Daire’deki Kavala duruşmasında neler yaşandı? YouTube video by Yavuz Baydar

İşte, hukukçu gözüyle, AİHM Büyük Daire’de dün Osman Kavala davasında yaşananlar 👇

@yavuzbaydar.bsky.social'ın mülakatı.

👇🔥

youtu.be/FIS1ymJWkfI

“Evet” kazansaydı, yargı yürütmenin güdümüne girecek, otokrasi zemini iyice güçlenecekti. Ama anlaşıldı ki İtalya’daki yüz yıllık anti-faşist damar bu vesileyle yeniden hayata dönmekte."

open.substack.com/pub/narblog/...

Italian voters reject Giorgia Meloni’s plan to overhaul judiciary Referendum result could tarnish PM’s reputation and make winning next year’s general election more challenging

Notable sign of resistance by a new European generation:

"The result was driven by younger voters, with 61% of 18- to 34-year-olds snubbing the proposals, according to data from the pollster Opinio for the state broadcaster Rai."

www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...

Earth being ‘pushed beyond its limits’ as energy imbalance reaches record high State of the Climate report finds Earth’s energy has moved dangerously out of balance, with oceans absorbing vast majority of trapped heat Our home planet is struggling with a record energy imbalance, which is warming oceans to unprecedented levels, making weather more extreme and threatening health and food supplies, the World Meteorological Organization has warned. The United Nations body confirmed 2015 to 2025 were the hottest 11 years ever measured, but a still bleaker message was that the rising temperature experienced by humans on the surface was only 1% of the faster-accumulating heat in the wider Earth system. Continue reading...

Earth being ‘pushed beyond its limits’ as energy imbalance reaches record high

The Mourning of a Mirror: How the Death of a Historian Tells More About Turkey Than Himself This is the portrait of the "court intellectual": someone whose erudition lends legitimacy to power, while power lends a platform to erudition. And a society that embraces such a role.

Portrait of a once-brilliant intellectual who became a hero in the eyes of both secular and Islamist segments, by “stand-up” performances in public.

Charismatic, know-it-all, and popular through sheer denialism.

open.substack.com/pub/yavuzbay...

At least 39 energy oil refineries, natural gas fields and other energy sites in nine countries have been damaged since the United States and Israel began bombarding Iran, a New York Times analysis found. Several have been hit more than once.

V-DEM Raporu’nda Türkiye: İstikamet “Seçimli Otokrasi"den “Kapalı Otokrasi”ye Doğru Mu? Yargıyı yürütmeye bağlayan muhasara başarıyla ilerliyor. Medyada kökleşmiş magazin fetişizmi ile “orman yerine ağaçla uğraşma” hali, makro gelişmeleri kamudan saklıyor.

Otokraside seçimle değişim olacak illüzyonunu yerle bir eden rapor. Özellikle Türkiye örneği çarpıcı.
V-DEM 2026 indeksi mutlaka okunmalı. Bu yazıda tüm unsurları toparladım.

👇

open.substack.com/pub/narblog/...

No timeframe for ending US war against Iran, says Pete Hegseth US defense secretary suggests Thursday will be ‘largest strike package yet … death and destruction from above’

Welcome to the "endless wars", that voters believed these guys would end. So far, the greatest swindle of the new century.

www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

Less than four weeks before a key parliamentary election in Hungary, Viktor Orbán will once again come under pressure to unblock the EU’s €90bn loan to Ukraine. arriving in Brussels, he has made it clear he's not in a mood to compromise:

“We'd like to get the oil which is ours from the Ukrainians."

The war on Iran cost the US $12.7bn by day six. Here’s how it’s been spent – in charts Now, the total is likely to have exceeded $18bn and counting. Where are America’s war dollars going, in a war that was never declared in the first place?

"Today, it is likely to have exceeded $18bn – and the meter is still running."

www.theguardian.com/world/ng-int...

I hope these choices save the Oscars from the junk category amongst the film festivals:

Best Picture: The Secret Agent
Best Actor: Josh O'Connor
Best Actress: Jessie Buckley
Best Director: Kleber Mendonça Filho
Best International Picture: Sentimental Value

Six fils tendus : comment Erdoğan peut naviguer dans le chaos iranien Entre répression de l’opposition, Washington et Téhéran, Erdoğan transforme la guerre iranienne en opportunité politique, malgré les risques migratoires et énergétiques.

"Entre répression de l’opposition, Washington et Téhéran, Erdoğan transforme la guerre iranienne en opportunité politique, malgré les risques migratoires et énergétiques."

Mon analyse sur divers aspects 👇

blogs.mediapart.fr/yavuz-baydar...

The is the federal government telling news stations to provide favorable coverage of the war or their licenses will be pulled.

A truly extraordinary moment.

We aren't on the verge of a totalitarian takeover. WE ARE IN THE MIDDLE OF IT.

Act like it.

If we made the green energy transition this war would be unthinkable and these authoritarians wouldn’t be in power — not in the US, not in Iran, not in Saudi Arabia, not in Russia. Hydrocarbons are killing our freedom and just plain killing us.

How Iran Is Holding the Strait of Hormuz Hostage Iran spent years stockpiling weapons that could be used to paralyze traffic on one of the world's most important oil passageways. WSJ’s Shelby Holliday explains how Iran's mines, missiles, drones and ...

Here’s what: The prep deployment of marines and other boots will most likely aim at seizing control of the entire Iranian side of the bottleneck, a new type of Normandie disaster looming.

The Gulf turns slowly into quicksand?

www.wsj.com/video/how-ir...

Lo que se juega Erdogan en Irán La guerra de Israel y EE UU contra los ayatolás pone al presidente turco en una cuerda floja como nunca ha visto en sus más de 20 años en el poder

My column / Mi columna / on his five challenges... 👇

"Erdogan lleva más de dos décadas perfeccionando el arte de la ambigüedad estratégica... No se trata simplemente de elegir entre aliados y enemigos. Está gestionando, al mismo tiempo, cinco cables en tensión."

elpais.com/opinion/2026...

All Modern Warfare Is Chemical Warfare What we witnessed on Saturday in Tehran may be the largest release of petrochemical toxins over a civilian population since the Iran-Iraq War.

All Modern Warfare Is Chemical Warfare

What we witnessed on Saturday may be the largest release of toxins over a population since the Iran-Iraq War.

nymag.com/intelligence... we are poisoning everyone’s future

Sánchez-mania: How the Turks Suddenly Found Themselves in a Tsunami of Love for Spain Spain, independent‑minded, and Mediterranean enough to feel familiar, the ideal mirror: the Western country that says what Turks wish their leaders could say without cost.

"Offers of “free hair transplants for all brave Spaniards” went viral, alongside AI images of Guardiola and Iniesta sporting glossy new manes — the most Turkish act of solidarity imaginable. Flamenco‑saz mashups and improbable kebab‑paella hybrids flooded TikTok."

open.substack.com/pub/yavuzbay...

Pete Hegseth attacks media for not being positive enough about US attacks on Iran US defense head is eager to frame operation as a success – and slam journalists for not portraying it in a positive light

History is a vicious cycle: 1930’s are back with vengeance, in the form of multiplied folly.

"Singling out CNN by name, Hegseth said: “The sooner David Ellison takes over that network, the better.”

www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

We attacked Iran with no clear plan for regime change, Israeli security sources say If regime holds, control of enriched uranium may be ultimate measure of US-Israeli success, insiders say

“It’s wishful thinking. We used to have a plan how to take out the ballistic missiles, how to deal with the nuclear sites, how to take care of the military industry in Iran. But I never heard that we knew how to do a campaign [of regime change] from the air."

www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...