This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between September 13-26, 2025, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canadaās COVID Forecast outlook is VERY HIGH (no change) with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 13.4
About 1 of every 81 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 537,000-948,750
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: VERY HIGH; 11.5X higher
Long COVID estimate: HIGH; 8.6X higher
Hospitalizations, ICU: VERY HIGH; 14.6X higher
Deaths: VERY HIGH: 14.2X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
AVOID indoor social gatherings
AVOID crowded non-essential places
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca
Canadian COVID Forecast Sep 13-26, 2025
CANADA
VERY HIGH (no change)
About 1 in every 81 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~12X higher
-Long COVID ~8X higher
-Hospitalizations ~15X higher
-Deaths ~14X higher
7 months ago
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When a great light goes out, it is not for the rest of us to surrender to the dark.
It means that the rest of us still here have to burn all the brighter.
6 months ago
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ANTIFA is anti-fascist. I am ANTIFA, are you?
6 months ago
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Thanks to the whole COVID-19 Resources Canada team for weekly feedback and for keeping all our work going.
7 months ago
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Canadian COVID Forecast Aug 30 - Sep 12 2025
CANADA
High [No change]
About 1 in 65 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~7.2 higher
-Long COVID ~7.7 higher
-Hospitalizations ~10.7 higher
-Deaths ~10.9 higher
7 months ago
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It is so clear that the USA is interfering in Canadian politics. This is EXACTLY the same playbook as the Fascist GOP.
First, we need to ban Fox News in Canada - they are poisoning the minds of the uneducated.
7 months ago
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You know things are bad when even the minimizing doctors are saying this
7 months ago
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This image shows gauges with the Aug 16-Aug 29, 2025 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right:
Canada: 4.2 - MODERATE
Alberta: 7.0 - HIGH
British Columbia: 3.5 - MODERATE
Manitoba: 3.7 - MODERATE
New Brunswick: 3.5 - MODERATE
Newfoundland and Labrador: 3.4 - MODERATE
North: 4.2 - MODERATE
Nova Scotia: 3.4 - MODERATE
Ontario: 4.1 - MODERATE
Prince Edward Island: 3.7 - MODERATE
Quebec: 4.2 - MODERATE
Saskatchewan: 3.6 - MODERATE
A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red).
Canadian COVID Forecast: Aug 16-Aug 29, 2025
SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: none
HIGH: AB
MODERATE: CAN, BC, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, ON, PEI, QC, SK
About 1 in 121 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
8 months ago
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I have a sore throat ššš will expired covid tests work? One way masking isnāt helping me š but Iām trying š
8 months ago
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Covid Caution - LP.8.1, NB.1.8.1, XFC, XEC, X..
@CovidCaution
People being infected by this COVID wave and being surprised saying things like "COVID is back
" just makes me angry at this point.
It's like someone crying climate change is
"back":
"You guys. It's SO hot outside. I think climate change is back
It's like, so bad again."
10:22 AM ⢠2025-08-07 ⢠51K Views
Iāve heard people saying this since 2023
They seriously believe that COVID disappeared in 2022 when the govāt lifted mask mandates
āCOVIDā is a disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus (the virus has never disappeared, itās present all year round)
āCOVIDā does NOT mean mask mandates or ālockdownsā
8 months ago
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Seeing an awful lot of people sick with Covid right now.
Many saying āCovid is backā.
It never left. Thatās why some of us are still advocating for mitigations.
Every infection is a dice roll with disability.
Wear a mask. Clean the air. Stay home when sick.
8 months ago
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This image shows gauges with the Jun 28-Jul 11, 2025 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right:
Canada: 4.8 - MODERATE
Alberta: 5.0 - MODERATE
British Columbia: 4.4 - MODERATE
Manitoba: 4.2 - MODERATE
New Brunswick: 4.2 - MODERATE
Newfoundland and Labrador: 4.3 - MODERATE
North: 4.5 - MODERATE
Nova Scotia: 4.5 - MODERATE
Ontario: 5.2 - HIGH
Prince Edward Island: 4.4 - MODERATE
Quebec: 4.8 - MODERATE
Saskatchewan: 4.3 - MODERATE
A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."
Canadian COVID Forecast: Jun 28-Jul 11, 2025
SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: none
HIGH: ON
MODERATE: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, PEI, QC, SK
About 1 in 120 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
9 months ago
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Me, in a Flo Mask in a narture-y public space. I am wearing a linen sleeveless top and an amber necklace, with a neutral expression on my face.
Me, a few seconds after the first photo was taken, smiling.
Do I enjoy wearing a respirator mask? Not especially.
Do I enjoy not getting or spreading Covid-19? Yes.
9 months ago
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9 months ago
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Itās never too late to start masking again.
If youāre worried about Covid or sick of being sick, a well fitted respirator is an excellent preventative tool.
Look for a local mask bloc if you canāt afford one, and reach out for help.
Most of us are happy to help you find the right mask
10 months ago
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Measles is so bad that AHS is discontinuing their site specific warnings and just declaring the entire area an āat risk of exposureā zone.
#abpoli #ableg #cdnpoli
10 months ago
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The MAHA movement is a war on health. Itās āwellnessā on steroids & wellness has always been eugenics adjacent.
Theyāre taking away tools we need to maintain health, while using language that blames people for chronic illness.
You canāt āhealthy livingā your way out of disability. You never could.
11 months ago
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Thank you for doing this! Very much appreciated š
11 months ago
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Itās Election Day, Canada.
Go vote Canada Strong.
11 months ago
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Mark Carney led the Bank of Canada through the 2008 financial crisis. He led the Bank of England through the Brexit crisis.
Canadians are facing the biggest crisis of our lifetimes ā and Mark Carney is ready to lead.
1 year ago
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Don't believe the BS the CPC Poilievre Con's are starting to push. They believed the polls a few months ago and now they're calling them into question, as they are poised to be wiped out! This banner was spotted at a PP event. #cdnpoli www.thewrit.ca/p/election-w...
1 year ago
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Yeah the lady who did the dental work was masked the whole time I wasnāt. Baggy blue but still⦠I could feel a good airflow from the ceiling vent too, so I think itāll be ok. Also I booked for the first appointment of the day too.
1 year ago
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Itās tough to do these kinds of medical appointments because of the risks of Covid. But I canāt put them off, I also need to look after and maintain my health. So all I can do is my best with all of this, and hope for the best.
1 year ago
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Well, dental visit is done for this time. Once I got back to my car I did nasal spray and throat spray, both betadine. Then I used CPC mouthwash when I got home. So Iām hoping for the best. All we can do is try our best in this day and age.
1 year ago
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