Lowest March-April winning percentage in #Mariners franchise history.
Seven games remain in April. So, the M’s still have a chance to improve this number.
Posts by Luke Arkins
Julio Rodríguez through 24 games…
2025
3 doubles
3 HR
11.3 BB%
24.3 SO%
.202 AVG
.313 OBP
.364 SLG
97 wRC+
2026
3 doubles
1 HR
10.7 BB%
25.2 SO%
.222 AVG
.320 OBP
.289 SLG 👀
85 wRC+
#Mariners
Luke Raley vs…
LHP
30.4 SO%
6.7 BB%
.182 AVG
.249 OBP
.284 SLG
LH Starting pitchers
26.8 SO%
9.8 BB%
.139 AVG
.220 OBP
.222 SLG
LH Relievers
31.4 SO%
5.9 BB%
.193 AVG
.257 OBP
.300 SLG
#Mariners
So grateful for that unnecessary, poorly-timed #Mariners promotion during Corey Seager clubbing a double.
Not defending the #Mariners decision to PH for Luke Raley vs a lefty last night. Not suggesting Raley shouldn't face LHP. But…
Raley being "hot" in the past didn't equate to success vs LHP. Perhaps this (and many other factors) played a role in Dan Wilson's decision.
6/6
Luke Raley’s production vs lefties during his best 50 games in 2024 wasn't good.
Some may contend Raley could’ve walked into a home run vs a LHP. After all, he did hit a homer in 37 PA’s. True, but it was 10 times more likely he'd strikeout than hit a home run.
#Mariners
5/6
Since 18 games is a ridiculously small sample, I considered Luke Raley’s best 50-game stint with the Rays and #Mariners. Yes, 50 games is still a narrow slice of info. But it’s better than 18.
Raley’s numbers in Apr-Jul 2023 vs LHP were suboptimal.
4/6
With the #Mariners in 2024, Luke Raley’s best 18-game stretch was August 23-September 15.
The numbers vs southpaws weren’t good, again.
3/6
In 2023, Luke Raley had an impressive 1.119 OPS in May-Jun. A career-best during 18 games.
Raley faced a left-handed pitcher seven times: Two hits, three strikeouts, no walks. One hit was a home run off Yusei Kikuchi.
It appears TBR selectively used Raley vs LHP.
#Mariner
2/6
Lots of discourse over not letting Luke Raley hit vs a lefty last night because “he’s hot." So...
I looked at Raley’s hottest 18-game stretch with the Rays and #Mariners (using OPS) and his platoon splits during these small samples.
Raley’s current 1.002 OPS ranks 25th.
1/6
Last year, 38 hitters had at least 200 plate appearances in the lead-off spot. JP Crawford’s .345 OBP was 12th best.
The #Mariners 2026 Opening Day lead-off man, Brendan Donovan, ranked 28th.
Seattle’s other main lead-off man last season, Randy Arozarena, placed 37th.
The xwOBA of the #Mariners bullpen is quite good also.
MLB xwOBA for RP's = .321
The xwOBA (quality and quantity of contact allowed) of the #Mariners rotation leads baseball by a large margin.
MLB xwOBA for SP's = .313
#Early
#SmallSample
Examples of suboptimal 13-game stretches in 2025:
Raleigh
July 30-Aug 13
57 PA
.115 AVG
.193 OBP
.346 SLG
Naylor
Aug 16-30
50 PA
.208 AVG
.240 OBP
.313 SLG
Judge
July 21-Aug 15
53 PA
.143 AVG
.302 OBP
.286 SLG
Ohtani
Jun 28-Jul 12
56 PA
.146 AVG
.268 OBP
.333 SLG
#Mariners
#Mariners pitching thru first 13 games.
2025
3.89 ERA
21 K%
9.4 BB%
.246 AVG
.318 OBP
.384 SLG
.314 xwOBA
2026
2.62 ERA
26.6 K%
5.8 BB%
.209 AVG
.264 OBP
.322 SLG
.264 xwOBA
Even though the numbers are better than the offense’s, it’s important (to me) to emphasize it’s early.
Combined production of Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodríguez, Randy Arozarena, Luke Raley thru first 13 games.
2025
209 PA
32 H
7 2B
9 HR
26.3 K%
13.9 BB%
.182 AVG
.311 OBP
.386 SLG
2026
202 PA
33 H
6 2B
4 HR
30.7 K%
10.9 BB%
.188 AVG
.292 OBP
.290 SLG
It actually is early.
#Mariners
Naylor is correct. I just updated.
Combined production of #Mariners Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodríguez, and *Josh Naylor* this season…
163 PA
19 H
2 Doubles
1 HR
27.6 SO%
9.8 BB%
.130 AVG
.221 OBP
.185 wOBA
31.7 Hard-Hit%
Barring injury, I suspect their combined numbers will look *way* better in a few weeks.
Combined production of #Mariners Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodríguez, and Cal Raleigh this season…
163 PA
19 H
2 Doubles
1 HR
27.6 SO%
9.8 BB%
.130 AVG
.221 OBP
.185 wOBA
31.7 Hard-Hit%
Barring injury, I suspect their combined numbers will look *way* better in a few weeks.
In the nine games since the Cleveland series, the #Mariners have hit three home runs and scored 18 runs.
Fun fact: #Mariners and Braves lead MLB with six quality starts.
A 60% quality start rate over a 162-game season would equate to 97 quality starts.
A nice development, but too early to opine on. At least it is for me.
Maybe I’m completely off base with this. But does the Cole Young triple on Friday night *somewhat* reflect what Adell’s below average RF and CF FRV captured last season?
Unlike the three HR’s he stole that were *basically* hit at him, the Young ball required chase.
Four years ago today, a colonoscopy revealed the worst possible news for Mrs A. Two years later, she succumbed to colon cancer.
Please get a colonoscopy as soon as you’re eligible. Don’t ignore unexplainable digestive issues.
#Believe
#StandUpToCancer
It’s early. But Cole Young being slightly above average in fielding run value (FRV) is worth noting. #Mariners
This year’s sample is too small to consider. But Bryan Woo has *significantly* improved versus left-handed hitters each year since he debuted in 2023.
#Mariners
Youngest #Mariners with a hit in their first MLB game.
Youngest players w/hit in 1st game since 1969
Brian Milner 18 yr-218 d
Adrian Beltré 19-078
Andruw Jones 19-114
César Cedeño 19-115
Ken Griffey 19-133
Bryce Harper 19-195
Jurickson Profar 19-195
Alan Trammell 19-200
Juan Soto 19-202
Iván Rodríguez 19-205
Konnor Griffin 19-344👀
Enjoying the Peacock broadcast of tonight’s #Mariners. Pairing Jason Benetti with local color commentators…this week Hyphen and Rick Manning…is a great idea.
After having at least one single in every game last season, the #Mariners still have ZERO singles through their first two contests in 2026.
What does this mean for the M’s outlook?