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Posts by Luke Arkins

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Lowest March-April winning percentage in #Mariners franchise history.

Seven games remain in April. So, the M’s still have a chance to improve this number.

20 hours ago 3 0 0 0

Julio Rodríguez through 24 games…

2025
3 doubles
3 HR
11.3 BB%
24.3 SO%
.202 AVG
.313 OBP
.364 SLG
97 wRC+

2026
3 doubles
1 HR
10.7 BB%
25.2 SO%
.222 AVG
.320 OBP
.289 SLG 👀
85 wRC+

#Mariners

1 day ago 1 0 0 0

Luke Raley vs…

LHP
30.4 SO%
6.7 BB%
.182 AVG
.249 OBP
.284 SLG

LH Starting pitchers
26.8 SO%
9.8 BB%
.139 AVG
.220 OBP
.222 SLG

LH Relievers
31.4 SO%
5.9 BB%
.193 AVG
.257 OBP
.300 SLG

#Mariners

1 day ago 2 0 2 0

So grateful for that unnecessary, poorly-timed #Mariners promotion during Corey Seager clubbing a double.

5 days ago 4 0 0 0
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a man in a suit and tie says " just sayin ' just sayin ' " ALT: a man in a suit and tie says " just sayin ' just sayin ' "

Not defending the #Mariners decision to PH for Luke Raley vs a lefty last night. Not suggesting Raley shouldn't face LHP. But…

Raley being "hot" in the past didn't equate to success vs LHP. Perhaps this (and many other factors) played a role in Dan Wilson's decision.

6/6

5 days ago 1 0 1 0
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Luke Raley’s production vs lefties during his best 50 games in 2024 wasn't good.

Some may contend Raley could’ve walked into a home run vs a LHP. After all, he did hit a homer in 37 PA’s. True, but it was 10 times more likely he'd strikeout than hit a home run.

#Mariners

5/6

5 days ago 1 0 1 0
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Since 18 games is a ridiculously small sample, I considered Luke Raley’s best 50-game stint with the Rays and #Mariners. Yes, 50 games is still a narrow slice of info. But it’s better than 18.

Raley’s numbers in Apr-Jul 2023 vs LHP were suboptimal.

4/6

5 days ago 1 0 1 0
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With the #Mariners in 2024, Luke Raley’s best 18-game stretch was August 23-September 15.

The numbers vs southpaws weren’t good, again.

3/6

5 days ago 1 0 1 0
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In 2023, Luke Raley had an impressive 1.119 OPS in May-Jun. A career-best during 18 games.

Raley faced a left-handed pitcher seven times: Two hits, three strikeouts, no walks. One hit was a home run off Yusei Kikuchi.

It appears TBR selectively used Raley vs LHP.

#Mariner

2/6

5 days ago 1 0 1 0

Lots of discourse over not letting Luke Raley hit vs a lefty last night because “he’s hot." So...

I looked at Raley’s hottest 18-game stretch with the Rays and #Mariners (using OPS) and his platoon splits during these small samples.

Raley’s current 1.002 OPS ranks 25th.

1/6

5 days ago 1 0 1 0
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Last year, 38 hitters had at least 200 plate appearances in the lead-off spot. JP Crawford’s .345 OBP was 12th best.

The #Mariners 2026 Opening Day lead-off man, Brendan Donovan, ranked 28th.

Seattle’s other main lead-off man last season, Randy Arozarena, placed 37th.

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
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AL West Primer: Astros For the first time since 2016, Houston missed the postseason. Does the club rebound or regress this year?

#Mariners

1 week ago 1 0 0 0

The xwOBA of the #Mariners bullpen is quite good also.

MLB xwOBA for RP's = .321

1 week ago 3 0 0 0
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The xwOBA (quality and quantity of contact allowed) of the #Mariners rotation leads baseball by a large margin.

MLB xwOBA for SP's = .313

#Early
#SmallSample

1 week ago 3 0 0 1

Examples of suboptimal 13-game stretches in 2025:

Raleigh
July 30-Aug 13
57 PA
.115 AVG
.193 OBP
.346 SLG

Naylor
Aug 16-30
50 PA
.208 AVG
.240 OBP
.313 SLG

Judge
July 21-Aug 15
53 PA
.143 AVG
.302 OBP
.286 SLG

Ohtani
Jun 28-Jul 12
56 PA
.146 AVG
.268 OBP
.333 SLG

#Mariners

1 week ago 2 0 2 0

#Mariners pitching thru first 13 games.

2025
3.89 ERA
21 K%
9.4 BB%
.246 AVG
.318 OBP
.384 SLG
.314 xwOBA

2026
2.62 ERA
26.6 K%
5.8 BB%
.209 AVG
.264 OBP
.322 SLG
.264 xwOBA

Even though the numbers are better than the offense’s, it’s important (to me) to emphasize it’s early.

1 week ago 3 0 1 0
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a man in a sweater is holding a piece of paper and making a face . ALT: a man in a sweater is holding a piece of paper and making a face .

Combined production of Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodríguez, Randy Arozarena, Luke Raley thru first 13 games.

2025
209 PA
32 H
7 2B
9 HR
26.3 K%
13.9 BB%
.182 AVG
.311 OBP
.386 SLG

2026
202 PA
33 H
6 2B
4 HR
30.7 K%
10.9 BB%
.188 AVG
.292 OBP
.290 SLG

It actually is early.

#Mariners

1 week ago 5 0 0 2

Naylor is correct. I just updated.

1 week ago 0 0 0 0

Combined production of #Mariners Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodríguez, and *Josh Naylor* this season…

163 PA
19 H
2 Doubles
1 HR
27.6 SO%
9.8 BB%
.130 AVG
.221 OBP
.185 wOBA
31.7 Hard-Hit%

Barring injury, I suspect their combined numbers will look *way* better in a few weeks.

1 week ago 4 0 0 0
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a close up of a monkey wearing goggles ALT: a close up of a monkey wearing goggles

Combined production of #Mariners Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodríguez, and Cal Raleigh this season…

163 PA
19 H
2 Doubles
1 HR
27.6 SO%
9.8 BB%
.130 AVG
.221 OBP
.185 wOBA
31.7 Hard-Hit%

Barring injury, I suspect their combined numbers will look *way* better in a few weeks.

1 week ago 4 0 2 1
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a baby is sitting at a table with a bowl of food and making a funny face . ALT: a baby is sitting at a table with a bowl of food and making a funny face .

In the nine games since the Cleveland series, the #Mariners have hit three home runs and scored 18 runs.

2 weeks ago 2 0 0 0
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Fun fact: #Mariners and Braves lead MLB with six quality starts.

A 60% quality start rate over a 162-game season would equate to 97 quality starts.

A nice development, but too early to opine on. At least it is for me.

2 weeks ago 8 1 2 0
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Cole Young's go-ahead triple | Baseball Savant Videos Cole Young's go-ahead triple | Baseball Savant Videos

Maybe I’m completely off base with this. But does the Cole Young triple on Friday night *somewhat* reflect what Adell’s below average RF and CF FRV captured last season?

Unlike the three HR’s he stole that were *basically* hit at him, the Young ball required chase.

2 weeks ago 3 0 0 0
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Signs and Symptoms - Colon Cancer Coalition

Four years ago today, a colonoscopy revealed the worst possible news for Mrs A. Two years later, she succumbed to colon cancer.

Please get a colonoscopy as soon as you’re eligible. Don’t ignore unexplainable digestive issues.

#Believe
#StandUpToCancer

2 weeks ago 10 0 0 0
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It’s early. But Cole Young being slightly above average in fielding run value (FRV) is worth noting. #Mariners

2 weeks ago 5 0 0 0
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This year’s sample is too small to consider. But Bryan Woo has *significantly* improved versus left-handed hitters each year since he debuted in 2023.

#Mariners

2 weeks ago 2 0 0 0
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Youngest #Mariners with a hit in their first MLB game.

2 weeks ago 3 1 1 0
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a man with a beard is making a funny face and the words `` that 's really impressive '' are above him . ALT: a man with a beard is making a funny face and the words `` that 's really impressive '' are above him .

Youngest players w/hit in 1st game since 1969

Brian Milner 18 yr-218 d
Adrian Beltré 19-078
Andruw Jones 19-114
César Cedeño 19-115
Ken Griffey 19-133
Bryce Harper 19-195
Jurickson Profar 19-195
Alan Trammell 19-200
Juan Soto 19-202
Iván Rodríguez 19-205
Konnor Griffin 19-344👀

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 1

Enjoying the Peacock broadcast of tonight’s #Mariners. Pairing Jason Benetti with local color commentators…this week Hyphen and Rick Manning…is a great idea.

3 weeks ago 11 0 2 1
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a man in a suit says nothing in a room ALT: a man in a suit says nothing in a room

After having at least one single in every game last season, the #Mariners still have ZERO singles through their first two contests in 2026.

What does this mean for the M’s outlook?

3 weeks ago 4 0 0 0