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Posts by Armando Martins

Curioso, vou salvar pra ler

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

Trobava a faltar les teves publicacions en català. Estic estudiant l’idioma per la cultura. Hi ha algun perfil especialitzat en cultura catalana aquí al Bluesky?

1 year ago 0 0 1 0
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Trump Recession Train is coming to America

1 year ago 7 2 1 0

Quando a educação não é libertadora, o sonho do oprimido é ser o professor

1 year ago 7 2 2 0
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1 year ago 4029 1038 14 30
Screenshot of OpenHistoricalMap

Screenshot of OpenHistoricalMap

TIL about the existence of OpenHistoricalMap, an open collaborative project where people can contribute features to a world map over history (currently from 1825 onwards).

1 year ago 93 22 4 2

11% é muita coisa, meu Deus

1 year ago 4 0 0 0
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Até que aqui ainda tá movimentado hein

1 year ago 2 0 1 0
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Their husbands and sons were killed by the police. But Brazil’s grieving mothers are banding together Every year, 6,000 people, mostly young Black men, are victims of state violence. Now, ‘scholarship mums’ are acting as paid researchers in a pioneering programme to provide support to those left behind Sonia Bonfim Vicente recalls every detail of the…

Their husbands and sons were killed by the police. But Brazil’s grieving mothers are banding together

1 year ago 337 54 0 2

Eles não sabem do lixo ocidental

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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Our article about the role of legal scholars in counter-populism is now available at ICON. It might have some takeaways for the US now.

Bottom line: legal scholars are uniquely positioned to expose untruths about law/institutions, which often form the core of the populist argument.
Link in reply

1 year ago 18 8 1 1
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The economics of "non-smooth" disruptions in networks (of production, trade, finance, etc.) is relatively new and embarrassingly underdeveloped.

This survey is a starting point for those who are interested.

bengolub.net/wp-content/u...

4/

1 year ago 58 11 3 4

Leopard: I will eat your face

Bank analysts: Our baseline assumes no face-eating

Leopard: Chomp chomp chomp

1 year ago 10602 2862 200 104
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In São Paulo, Brazil, "brown or black individuals appear more likely to be classified as drug dealers than their white counterparts including all observable controls, with higher associations with lighter drugs..." static.poder360.com.br/2024/06/Estu... @michaelfranca1789.bsky.social @ the IDB today

1 year ago 22 13 0 0
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he’s just saur now

1 year ago 1578 221 54 22

Holy forking shirt balls

"Denial of a wanted abortion has both immediate and lasting effects. It increases a woman’s risk of death by 2.5 p.p within nine months, mainly due to unsafe abortion procedures, and raises the likelihood of carrying the pregnancy to term by 31 p.p. "

1 year ago 333 159 6 4
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PÃÃÃÃÃ-PÃ-PÃ-PÃ

1 year ago 1 0 0 0
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Segue o Relatório Anual do Neri de 2024. O relatório destaca como temos transformado dados e análises em instrumentos de mudança, ampliando o entendimento sobre as desigualdades raciais no Brasil.
drive.google.com/file/d/15JtT...

1 year ago 21 8 1 0
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Wait, Wait, Hear me out:

Fernanda Torres subindo ao palco do Oscar pra receber o prêmio

Só que do jeito que ela foi no Altas Horas

1 year ago 1 0 0 1
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SORRIAM CARALHO

1 year ago 3215 1015 12 42
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QUEM PERDEU UM ELEFANTE?

1 year ago 735 139 38 189
Memória Globo   Depoimento   Léo Batista O anúncio da morte de Getúlio Vargas  globo tv 1
Memória Globo Depoimento Léo Batista O anúncio da morte de Getúlio Vargas globo tv 1 YouTube video by Dilson Magnaguagno

Léo Batista falando sobre como ele foi o primeiro a anunciar no Rádio a morte do Getúlio Vargas.

"Memória Globo Depoimento Léo Batista O anúncio da morte de Getúlio Vargas"

youtu.be/PWEfxI23m3Q?...

1 year ago 2 1 0 0
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a man is sitting in front of a microphone and says it 's such a sadness ALT: a man is sitting in front of a microphone and says it 's such a sadness
1 year ago 1 0 0 0
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Quantitively assessing whether cities are engines of economic growth, from Matthew Turner and David N. Weil https://www.nber.org/papers/w33334

1 year ago 13 3 0 1
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Abstract. Natural disasters are growing in frequency globally. Understanding how vulnerable populations respond to these disasters is essential for effective policy response. This paper explores the short- and long-run consequences of the 1906 San Francisco Fire, one of the largest urban fires in American history. Using linked Census records, I follow residents of San Francisco and their children from 1900 to 1940. Historical records suggest that exogenous factors such as wind and the availability of water determined where the fire stopped. I implement a spatial regression discontinuity design across the boundary of the razed area to identify the effect of the fire on those who lost their home to it. I find that in the short run, the fire displaced affected residents, forced them into lower paying occupations and out of entrepreneurship. Experiencing the disaster disrupted children’s school attendance and led to an average loss of six months of education. While most effects attenuated over time, the negative effect on business ownership persists even in 1940, 34 years after the fire. Therefore, my findings reject the hope for a “reversal of fortune” for the victims, in contrast to what is found for more recent natural disasters such as hurricane Katrina.

Abstract. Natural disasters are growing in frequency globally. Understanding how vulnerable populations respond to these disasters is essential for effective policy response. This paper explores the short- and long-run consequences of the 1906 San Francisco Fire, one of the largest urban fires in American history. Using linked Census records, I follow residents of San Francisco and their children from 1900 to 1940. Historical records suggest that exogenous factors such as wind and the availability of water determined where the fire stopped. I implement a spatial regression discontinuity design across the boundary of the razed area to identify the effect of the fire on those who lost their home to it. I find that in the short run, the fire displaced affected residents, forced them into lower paying occupations and out of entrepreneurship. Experiencing the disaster disrupted children’s school attendance and led to an average loss of six months of education. While most effects attenuated over time, the negative effect on business ownership persists even in 1940, 34 years after the fire. Therefore, my findings reject the hope for a “reversal of fortune” for the victims, in contrast to what is found for more recent natural disasters such as hurricane Katrina.

The 1906 San Francisco Fire was one of the largest urban fires in American history.

@hannaschwank.bsky.social's excellent paper on its long-run consequences has sadly become very timely.

Luckily we have learned some lessons (e.g. insurance more common), still an invaluable piece of research.

1 year ago 31 9 1 2
Call for applications for an early career workshop on social science approaches to law and courts with a deadline 31 March 2025

Call for applications for an early career workshop on social science approaches to law and courts with a deadline 31 March 2025

Workshop announcement: for the third year running @uclspp.bsky.social and @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social are teaming up to bring together some of the most exciting early career researchers in Law and Courts, this year also joined by @dnaurin.bsky.social. Apply by 31 March with @icuervo.bsky.social!

1 year ago 18 16 1 4

This is very good, especially in its emphasis in beliefs about other people’s beliefs. Beliefs-about-beliefs are more or less the basis of social reality itself. At the same time I tend to think this is a new iteration of a problem that has recurred since mass literacy and mass democracy emerged.

1 year ago 96 22 3 0

Ever wondered why presenting more facts can sometimes *worsen* disagreements, even among rational people? 🤔

It turns out, Bayesian reasoning has some surprising answers - no cognitive biases needed! Let's explore this fascinating paradox quickly ☺️

1 year ago 233 78 8 2
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New Working Paper: Teenage boys and girls in Norway are more ideologically polarized than ever. Using data for 130,000 high-schoolers over 34 years, I find that a surge in anti-feminism among boys is driving much of the recent trend.📈

Read: osf.io/preprints/os...
Findings 🧵👇

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