It's not based on this one poll. I would assume it's based on the average of all polls and Reform are polling much higher in most other polls. Also Electoral Calculus doesn't get updated that often. This is based on data up to 31st March so definitely won't be accounting for this poll.
Posts by markross.bsky.social
Seems like the most likely outcome of this is a Reform/Cons coalition.
I've checked and 3000 is actually quite high. For example some recent poll sizes from other companies:
YouGov - 2,389
Ipsos - 1,148
Savanta Comres - 2,201
Opinium - 2,219
These companies all have their own methodologies to try to ensure the sample is representative of the country as a whole.
I don't think that's an unusually low sample size.
If you actually read the article is seems to make valid points. However I admit it's something I know absolutely nothing about
That's not a photo of her. Cameras didn't exist back then. There's not known portraits of her either so we don't know what she looked like.
How many children are smoking and drinking alcohol in America?
This is "Robert Cortes" on Facebook. He liked one of "Savings UK's" posts. www.facebook.com/Robertcortes72
I didn't watch the video but he's undoubtedly including an extremely optimistic property value increase in that.
After watching the Netflix documentary on 4chan recently - the exact same thought occurred to me also.
Pretty average sample size for polls of this type.
Free speech "is in retreat" in Britain, says JD Vance, who is part of a Government which is now targeting critical news organisations with politically-motivated investigations, while banning others from the White House for the crime of referring to the Gulf of Mexico by its actual name
Well he only said he was right about it being rubble. Not that he was right that the USA should take it over. He goes on reiterate Labour's support for the two state solution with Palestinians being able to live there.
Also the reason why many white working class men are moving to Reform.
I think the point he's making here valid and is a reason we are seeing massive DEI backlash at the moment.
Do you have a link to confirm this? I can't find any evidence of it.
Copenhagen Criteria means most of the countries that haven't joined the EU are legally obliged to adopt it eventually.
Yeah of course we should, but Labour aren't going anywhere near that for a long time. Also rejoining would mean accepting the euro, which wouldn't go down well with a large portion of the population. Best we can hope for is a new Norway style deal or similar, but even that's a long way off I think.
So you think we'll be rejoining the EU any time soon?
And get massive tariffs slapped on our exports like he's going to do with Canada and China? Not to mention potentially jeopardising the many other things we rely on the USA for (defence, intelligence, investment etc). Maybe if we still had the EU to fall back on...
He blocked me - did he block you also?
Sending troops to war is not the same diplomacy.
What other option does he have? For the sake of the country we need to try to have good relations with Trump no matter how despicable he is.
Their polls have been consistent with other polling organisations and don't tend to show any bias. They're a reputable polling company.
The subscription pricing is prohibitively expensive though. I guess it's reasonable if you work in the financial industry, but the average person wanting to read stories like this isn't going to pay £59 a month.
Lewis's is free though.
He's a naturalised American citizen therefore can say his nationality is American.
Unfortunately USB-C is very flawed - yes it's the same connector but there's lots of different standards in terms of the amount of power it can deliver and data transmission and there's generally no way of determining what a cable supports just by looking at it.