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Posts by Ed Arnold

Sword of Honour trilogy obviously

3 days ago 3 1 1 0

EXC: Treasury accused of reneging on deal with MoD to pay for proposed British peacekeeping contingent in Ukraine from central funds

MoD left to fund millions for Coalition of Willing from over-stretched budget, in latest example of wrangling btwn the two depts over military funding

5 days ago 21 11 2 1
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Magyar hints at ending Hungary’s block on €90B Ukraine loan Budapest still won’t contribute to funding Kyiv, which is running out of cash, incoming prime minister says.

Hungary's government will drop its opposition to the EU's €90 billion loan to Ukraine, incoming Prime Minister Péter Magyar signaled, bringing a four-month standoff to an end.

1 week ago 237 75 11 13
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I knew it was bad but really didn’t appreciate it was quite this bad

as.ft.com/r/db911dd6-f...

1 week ago 6830 2519 229 209

Sid knows his stuff!

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
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Ahead of the London defence conference, Seb Wride of Public First has produced some fascinating polling on changing attitudes to security www.politico.eu/article/dona...

1 week ago 5 1 0 0
Starmer likens Trump to Putin as he laments soaring energy costs British PM says bills are going up ‘because of the actions of Putin or Trump across the world.’

Extraordinary to see the UK PM putting Trump and Putin together like this, and referring to 'Trump' not 'President Trump'. A lot has changed in the last few weeks - this would have been unimaginable six months ago - and I don't see how it changes back. www.politico.eu/article/star...

1 week ago 709 224 28 15
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Taking Leave: NATO’s Command Structure Amid US Disengagement The Trump administration’s disengagement from Europe has spawned significant discussion regarding the US military presence in Europe, America’s role in supporting Ukraine, and Washington’s commitme...

What are the implications of recent and likely future changes in the NATO Command Structure for Europe and North America? @unibirmingham.bsky.social Mark Webber and I dive into this unexplored topic and outline a way ahead in latest issue of Survival. doi.org/10.1080/0039...

3 weeks ago 1 1 0 0
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But they will!

3 weeks ago 11 1 0 0
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Britain now 'ready' to seize Russian shadow fleet ships, Healey says Forces can now board sanctioned vessels if required, after ministers identified a legal basis in January.

OPSEC is not a dirty word

BBC News - Britain now 'ready' to seize Russian shadow fleet ships, Healey says - BBC News
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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EU leaders push for de-escalation amid Middle East war - The World from PRX EU leaders gathered in Brussels today for a two-day summit dominated by the war in the Middle East. Tensions between the US and Europe have escalated since the conflict began, with President Donald Tr...

Europe's leaders have resisted pressure from President Trump to provide military support in the Strait of Hormuz but some experts say maybe not for long. Listen to my report @theworld.org f/t @edrusi.bsky.social Louise Kettle @nottspolitics.bsky.social Ellie Geranmayeh @ecfr.eu tinyurl.com/26kjtam4

1 month ago 2 4 1 0
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EU leaders continue to reject Trump's calls for military support in the Strait of Hormuz, as the war in Iran drags on. My report on the latest from today's EU summit f/t @edrusi.bsky.social Ellie Geranmayeh @ecfr.eu Louise Kettle @uniofnottingham.bsky.social Coming up shortly on @theworld.org

1 month ago 4 1 0 0
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Cyprus President Nikos Christodulides publicly disagrees with NATO Mark Rutte over the ability of European Union to become autonomous and to show mutual support; praises Greece France Italy Spain and Netherlands for de facto activation of EU's Article 42.7. @epc-official.bsky.social

1 month ago 27 9 2 1
NEW: NATO takes stance on Trump's Iran strikes
NEW: NATO takes stance on Trump's Iran strikes YouTube video by Fox News

Watch this. Them imagine Trump watching it (he likes Fox). Then you can understand why Trump has turned on NATO again. Completely unacceptable from the Secretary General.

youtu.be/Xj-RQ499RLQ?...

1 month ago 3 1 1 0
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No wonder Trump thinks like this when the NATO Secretary General goes on Fox and praises Trump's war on Iran like the sycophant he is

1 month ago 2 1 0 0
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The unilateral decision by the US to lift sanctions on Russian oil exports is very concerning, as it impacts European security.

Increasing economic pressure on Russia is decisive for it to accept a serious negotiation for a just and lasting peace.

1 month ago 588 197 21 23

But do still compete in the Winter Olympics

1 month ago 4 0 0 0

Growing concern in EU capitals that Trump is going to pressure the EU to clear up his mess in the Strait of Hormuz. Argument being: “You guys need the oil most, so you need to do the heavy lifting” on mine sweeping, naval-based air defence & the protection of shipping lanes

1 month ago 86 37 9 7

Cost of 10 days of the US/Israel-Iran war to the European public due to rise in fossil fuels according to @vonderleyen.ec.europa.eu: 3bn Euro.

Not Europe's war, but certainly also Europe's problem.

1 month ago 31 11 3 3
After a series of fatal strikes involving civilians in Iraq and Afghanistan, Congress directed the Pentagon to reduce civilian casualties as part of a 2019 law. During the Biden administration, the Defense Department created the Civilian Harm Mitigation and Response initiative.

The civilian mitigation teams – cut by 90% by Hegseth – work with military commanders on target planning, and making sure that targets are actually military sites. The teams help come up with "no strike" lists, including religious and cultural sites and schools

After a series of fatal strikes involving civilians in Iraq and Afghanistan, Congress directed the Pentagon to reduce civilian casualties as part of a 2019 law. During the Biden administration, the Defense Department created the Civilian Harm Mitigation and Response initiative. The civilian mitigation teams – cut by 90% by Hegseth – work with military commanders on target planning, and making sure that targets are actually military sites. The teams help come up with "no strike" lists, including religious and cultural sites and schools

I knew that the Department of War shot a missile into a school & killed 175 civilians, mostly children.

This is learned today:

Secretary of War Hegseth had cut the teams assigned to prevent such tragedies by 90%.
www.npr.org/2026/03/11/n...

1 month ago 4086 2080 133 136
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The West’s military malaise The West’s response to new methods of warfare in Ukraine and the Middle East has been sluggish, revealing an adaptation process that is slow, risk-averse and underfunded.

“If western military organisations were too slow to develop counters to obvious operational problems in the past 4 years, what else might they have missed?” There is a systemic learning deficiency in western military organisations we need to fix. engelsbergideas.com/notebook/the...

1 month ago 328 56 13 2
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Don't they know there is a bloody war going on!

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
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Doubt much of the electorate have noticed but the mess Badenoch and Farage have got into over Iran shows just how beatable they are.

1 month ago 624 129 23 5
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Ukraine retakes most Russian-held areas in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast after weeks of counterattacks Ukraine has nearly liberated the remaining Russian-occupied parts of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast after several weeks of counterattacks in the part of the front line where Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk Obl...

Ukrainian forces have pushed Russian troops out of most occupied areas in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast after several weeks of counterattacks along the section of the front where Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia oblasts meet.

1 month ago 332 77 6 6
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‘Tony Blair hasn’t learned from the Iraq War – but Keir Starmer has’ | The News Agents Tony Blair says Keir Starmer should have given Donald Trump his full backing for the war in Iran. The News Agents, however, say Blair doesn’t know what he’s talking about.

"Tony Blair is apparently pissed off that his words came out."

Blair says Keir Starmer should be backing Trump's war in Iran – but does he want to be part of a conflict no one really understands "the point or purpose" of?

www.thenewsagents.co.uk/article/tony...

1 month ago 69 16 18 3

Just fascinating to see Blair, a man whose reputation was ruined by the Iraq war, advocate joining a war that is exponentially stupider and more chaotic. How is it possible to learn nothing from the worst mistake of your life?

1 month ago 4240 783 286 79
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Fixed the headline

1 month ago 3 0 0 0

That also astonished me when checking. The Strategic Dialogues were:

2021: Raab - Maas
2022: (meeting postponed over snowstorm)
2023: Cleverly - Baerbock
2024: Cameron - Baerbock
2025: Cooper - Wadepfuhl

So Baerbock was the only minister to make two Strategic Dialogues, whereas Lammy made none.

1 month ago 6 3 2 0

Which could also be any war the US and West has been involved in over the last 30 years

1 month ago 5 0 0 0
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You’ve failed us on Iran, Middle East allies tell UK Bahrain and the UAE join Cyprus in criticising Sir Keir Starmer’s slow response to Tehran’s retaliatory strikes

Bonkers. "One western official said that the proposal to send the ship [HMS Dragon] did not cross the desk of the chief of defence staff until 9.30am on Tuesday — four days after the war started and nearly two days after RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus was hit" www.thetimes.com/uk/defence/a...

1 month ago 62 11 11 4