Worth looking at. They are very close in the aggregate, though more haven't heard enough about Vance. Would be interesting if there are some notable group differences.

J.D. Vance favorability Who likes him, who doesn’t, and how much?

You can read the post on my (free!) substack:

open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

Net favorability to JD Vance. Who likes him, who doesn't, and how much?

The vast difference in consumer sentiment in the second term compared to the first shows vividly that the economy is not the life preserver the president and his party seek.

See the full post on my (free!) Substack:

open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

Second Term Worse than the First. Consumer sentiment is far worse in 2nd term than in 1st. Economic sentiment was a tremendous advantage in the first Trump term and is a tremendous burden in the second. 1/n

See Nathan Kalmoe’s reply. Good points. Especially the maritime history.

A new Wisconsin counties mnemonic Liberal Chris Taylor sweeps conservative Maria Lazar in Supreme Court race

Results are unofficial but nearly complete.

You can remember me from my mnemonic: PAV, PollsAndVotes.

Map credit: NYTimes.

See this on my free substack: open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

It all adds up to a 60.1% to 39.8% win for liberal Chris Taylor over conservative Maria Lazar, doubling the liberal margins seen in each of the previous three Court elections, which themselves were considered large margins in highly competitive Wisconsin. 7/n

True to expectations, the liberal candidate dominated the MD counties (dare I call them DOC counties?) of Milwaukee and Dane with 76% and 84%. Together those two counties also provided 26% of the total statewide vote. 6/n

And the WOW counties split with 62% for the conservative in Washington (the highest in the state), 54% in Waukesha (a historically low share) while the liberal carried Ozaukee with 52% (Trump got 54% there in 2024.) 5/n

The liberal candidate swept the BAD counties with over 60% in each, and all three BOW counties with 57%, 58% & 60% respectively. 4/n

In 2024, Donald Trump won 34 of 72 Wisconsin counties with 60% or more. On April 7th, 2026, the conservative Supreme Court candidate won only 3 counties by 60% or more: Washington, Taylor, Florence. The WTF counties. 3/n

and Lake Superior’s blue BAD (Bayfield, Ashland, Douglas) counties. This morning, add one more mnemonic trio. 2/n

A new Wisconsin counties mnemonic

Liberal Chris Taylor sweeps conservative Maria Lazar in Supreme Court race

In Wisconsin we have the historically crucial and very red WOW counties (Washington, Ozaukee, Waukesha) and the usually competitive BOW (Brown, Outagamie, Winnebago) ... 1/n

Opinion of the Iran war in Wisconsin.

open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

This is an unexpected statement from Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson (R) to the Wall Street Journal today.

The Wisconsin Supreme Court election is on Tuesday. Here is a review of how Court elections have changed from conservative dominance to liberal control over the past 30 years.

open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

Approval of the Supreme Court dropped sharply after the Dobbs decision. It has declined again in 2025-26.

open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

The paradox that an unpopular Democratic party keeps winning.
Democrats have reservations about their party but unite in opposing Trump.

open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

For those who follow Wisconsin politics, the next @MULawPoll will be released Tuesday, March 24 at 12:15pm CST.

law.marquette.edu/2026-03-24/i...

House retirements in 2026: Lots of turnover, but mostly in safe seats and across the ideological spectrum

open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

What Wisconsin Independents Think. Third in a series on partisan and independent attitudes in the most competitive state in the nation.

charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/what-wisco...

Was the Iraq war worth fighting
Some perspective on public opinion and the endless war

open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

What Wisconsin Democrats Think:
Extremely unified in opposition to Trump and his works

open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

This week I’m looking behind the toplines to see what partisans and independents think about 23 topics in Wisconsin. Today we start with Republicans.

open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

Opinion of Trump’s military actions are malleable … but approval of Trump barely budges

Opinion of Trump’s military actions are malleable
… but approval of Trump barely budges.

open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

Opposition to data centers surged in Wisconsin. Republicans remain mildly opposed but independents and Democrats became strongly opposed since October.

open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

Party and ideology in Wisconsin

open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

Public opinion favors Supreme Court decision striking down Trump tariffs

In Jan. 63% said Court should rule against Trump, including 33% of Republicans

open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

Which presidents have had the lowest and the highest Gallup approval ratings? Who the highest low? Who the lowest high?

Gallup will no longer do approval polls, so these are the final all-time records.

charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/highest-hi...