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Posts by Rhys Elliott

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Starfield has sold 140K copies on PS5 The high-profile port has had a middling start, raising questions about the long-term viability of delayed multiplatform releases and the true cost of exclusivity and subscriptions.

Starfield has sold 140K copies on PS5 (Alinea estimates).

Big data deep dive in the new free Substack:

alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/starfield-...

6 days ago 8 1 1 0
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Starfield has sold 140K copies on PS5 The high-profile port has had a middling start, raising questions about the long-term viability of delayed multiplatform releases and the true cost of exclusivity and subscriptions.

Starfield has sold 140K copies on PS5 (Alinea estimates).

Big data deep dive in the new free Substack:

alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/starfield-...

6 days ago 8 1 1 0
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March’s top Steam games: Indies, AAA, early access, and revivals Steam’s ranking by copies sold is as diverse as ever. We dive into March's Alinea estimates for Slay the Spire 2, Crimson Desert, an indie revival and more.

Here's the March top 5 for Steam.

Fucking GREAT to see Slay the Spire 2 smashing it.

alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/marchs-top...

2 weeks ago 3 1 0 0
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March’s top Steam games: Indies, AAA, early access, and revivals Steam’s ranking by copies sold is as diverse as ever. We dive into March's Alinea estimates for Slay the Spire 2, Crimson Desert, an indie revival and more.

Here's the March top 5 for Steam.

Fucking GREAT to see Slay the Spire 2 smashing it.

alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/marchs-top...

2 weeks ago 3 1 0 0
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March 2026’s top PlayStation games A sports titan keeps momentum at a vital time, Crimson Desert finds a big audience, and Resident Evil Requiem solidifies its successful launch.

New Alinea estimates: March 2026's top PlayStation games by copies sold:

alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/march-2026...

2 weeks ago 4 0 0 0
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One of the more fascinating data points from Death Stranding 2’s PC launch is the halo effect it triggered on PS5.

Noticeably boosted copies sold, even accounting for the 29% discount on PS5 (same discount had far lower spikes previously).

More here: alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/death-stra...

3 weeks ago 7 2 0 0
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One of the more fascinating data points from Death Stranding 2’s PC launch is the halo effect it triggered on PS5.

Noticeably boosted copies sold, even accounting for the 29% discount on PS5 (same discount had far lower spikes previously).

More here: alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/death-stra...

3 weeks ago 7 2 0 0
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Death Stranding 2’s PC port helped DS2 pass 2M copies sold and $150M overall Death Stranding 2 had a middling start on PS5 when it launched last June, but the recent PC port has boosted the title past a major commercial milestone. Plus, Slay the Spire 2 sells 5M.

New free newsletter on Death Stranding 2's PC launch:

alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/death-stra...

3 weeks ago 5 1 0 0
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Marathon has sold 1.2M copies across Steam, PS5, and Xbox Marathon hasn't exactly made the splash Sony and Bungie wanted, even if the game underneath the surface is a masterwork of design. There’s a lot to love about Marathon – and the show ain’t over yet.

Estimates just dropped for Marathon.

open.substack.com/pub/alineaan...

3 weeks ago 28 1 4 9

Pretty safe assumption, to be honest.

3 weeks ago 2 0 1 0
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Marathon has sold 1.2M copies across Steam, PS5, and Xbox Marathon hasn't exactly made the splash Sony and Bungie wanted, even if the game underneath the surface is a masterwork of design. There’s a lot to love about Marathon – and the show ain’t over yet.

Estimates just dropped for Marathon.

open.substack.com/pub/alineaan...

3 weeks ago 28 1 4 9
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Xbox Project Helix Could Be A Make-Or-Break Moment For Microsoft Last week at the Game Developers Conference, Microsoft shared more details about its upcoming console/PC platform, Project Helix, including more information on the high-level technical details and that the platform will begin shipping to developers in 2027. In the wake of the announcements, GameSpot caught up with industry analysts to get their take on Microsoft's plans for Helix and more. Mat Piscatella of Circana told GameSpot that Microsoft targeting a 2027 distribution of alpha Helix devkits to developers likely means the consumer version isn't coming until "at least 2028." Project Helix was announced by new Microsoft Gaming CEO Asha Sharma earlier this month, though a console/PC platform with the name Project Helix has been rumored for more than a decade.Continue Reading at GameSpot
1 month ago 7 1 1 0
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Crimson Desert Is Going To Be A Big Deal On Steam, Early Numbers Suggest After over five years of development, Crimson Desert is just days away from its debut. And if the early numbers from Steam are any indication, Crimson Desert is on course to have a very big launch. According to Alinea Analytics, Crimson Desert is currently tracking even higher than Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 and Kingdom Come: Deliverance 2 at the same point in their release cycles. As reported by Alinea, Crimson Desert has sold approximately 400,000 pre-launch copies on Steam, which at $70 per game, would come close to $20 million in revenue three days before its release. By comparison, Kingdom Come: Deliverance 2 had $5.2 million in pre-launch sales on Steam three days before its release, while Expedition 33 had only $2.4 million in the same period. However, both Expedition 33 and Deliverance 2 enjoyed sustained success on Steam, with $95.5 million and $101.3 million earned respectively after 120 days. There's no guarantee that Crimson Desert will be able to match those numbers, since it's going to come down to how players receive the game and whether word of mouth will carry it forward to even higher sales. Continue Reading at GameSpot
1 month ago 9 2 1 0

Posted about this, using the same examples, last year:

I don't agree with the timing emphasis, though. The novelty is just wearing off. Different audiences.

alineaanalytics.com/blog/steamps/

1 month ago 6 1 2 0

Posted about this, using the same examples, last year:

I don't agree with the timing emphasis, though. The novelty is just wearing off. Different audiences.

alineaanalytics.com/blog/steamps/

1 month ago 6 1 2 0
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Steam is Resident Evil Requiem’s top platform Requiem has sold through 4.3M+ copies across Steam, Xbox, and PlayStation, with over half of these coming from Steam.

Alinea estimates show that as of March 4, just six days post-launch, Requiem had sold through 4.3M+ copies across Steam, PlayStation, and Xbox. Our estimates focus on the sales to consumers (no unsold retailer copies) and don’t include Switch or Epic.

alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/steam-is-r...

1 month ago 4 0 1 0

Whoa this is awesome! I've been desperate for any kind of externally trackable game pass metrics.

1 month ago 33 1 2 0
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January had a lot of neat Game Pass additions. Here's how many new players they brought in via the service (Alinea Analytics estimates):

alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/game-pass-...

1 month ago 9 2 1 1
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January had a lot of neat Game Pass additions. Here's how many new players they brought in via the service (Alinea Analytics estimates):

alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/game-pass-...

1 month ago 9 2 1 1
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How did January’s PlayStation Plus games do? Today, we're looking at our PS Plus player numbers for January’s monthly games and the three major additions to the Game Catalog. Also, some exciting new news!

We looked at our data on January's PS Plus monthly games, as well as the three headline Game Catalog games:

alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/how-did-ja...

2 months ago 4 1 0 0
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How did January’s PlayStation Plus games do? Today, we're looking at our PS Plus player numbers for January’s monthly games and the three major additions to the Game Catalog. Also, some exciting new news!

We looked at our data on January's PS Plus monthly games, as well as the three headline Game Catalog games:

alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/how-did-ja...

2 months ago 4 1 0 0
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Mewgenics pounces to 1M sold Mewgenics launched on Thursday, and it’s blown up. It’s difficult, it’s uncompromising, a little risqué (okay, a lot risqué), and it’s bloody incredible. Let’s look at the Alinea estimates.

Mewgenics has sold 1M copies (Alinea estimates).

And over a fifth of players have already played for over 20 hours (including me!)

Absolutely phenomenal game. Early GOTY contender for me.

Big deep dive on the free Tuesday Substack:

alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/mewgenics-...

2 months ago 10 1 1 0
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WELL

2 months ago 2 0 0 0
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Mewgenics pounces to 1M sold Mewgenics launched on Thursday, and it’s blown up. It’s difficult, it’s uncompromising, a little risqué (okay, a lot risqué), and it’s bloody incredible. Let’s look at the Alinea estimates.

Mewgenics has sold 1M copies (Alinea estimates).

And over a fifth of players have already played for over 20 hours (including me!)

Absolutely phenomenal game. Early GOTY contender for me.

Big deep dive on the free Tuesday Substack:

alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/mewgenics-...

2 months ago 10 1 1 0
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The top 2026 games by Steam wishlists We look at our 2026 wishlist data, including pre-launch Steam revenue and copies sold for Forza Horizon 6 and Resident Evil 9. We also answer the question ''How can I track wishlist conversion?''

New free Substack post on the top 2026 Steam games (confirmed release dates) by wishlisht balance on Steam (Alinea estimates).

Also includes data on Steam pre-sales for Forza Horizon 6 (220K+ sold) and RE9 (250K+)

alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/the-top-20...

2 months ago 5 0 0 0
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Generative AI Is Not Going To "Eat" The Games Industry, Expert Says Recently, popular video game stocks like GTA 6 owner Take-Two ($TTWO), game development engine Unity ($U), and sandbox game Roblox ($RBLX) saw huge sell-offs that hammered share prices in the wake of Google's announcement of a new generative AI tool called Project Genie. The product claims it can create worlds "generated in real time," and people quickly put it to use to create rip-offs of Mario and Fortnite, among many others. The generative AI tool seemingly spooked some investors, prompting the stocks to get hammered. But how big of a threat to the industry mainstays is Project Genie, or generative AI systems like it? "Wall Street has lost the plot again" Rhys Elliott of Alinea Analytics told GameSpot that "Wall Street has lost the plot again" and that generative AI is "not coming to eat the games industry."Continue Reading at GameSpot
2 months ago 9 1 0 0
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Games with co-op modes generated $8.2B in gross revenue on Steam last year (Alinea estimates).

This is up 9% over 2024 and marks the highest revenue ever recorded for co-op games on Steam. 2024 and 2025 even beat the COVID-accelerated high from 2021.

Bigger opportunity here than PvP, I reckon.

2 months ago 8 3 1 0
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Games with co-op modes generated $8.2B in gross revenue on Steam last year (Alinea estimates).

This is up 9% over 2024 and marks the highest revenue ever recorded for co-op games on Steam. 2024 and 2025 even beat the COVID-accelerated high from 2021.

Bigger opportunity here than PvP, I reckon.

2 months ago 8 3 1 0
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Helldivers 2 sells 20M copies We look at our estimates for Helldivers 2 – as well as how much revenue co-op games generated on Steam last year. Democracy managed?

Helldivers 2 has sold 20M copies and made $700M+ in revenues.

WILD.

Our estimates also show that over 250K gamers have played Helldivers 2 for over 500 hours.

Super Earth is in dedicated hands.

Big deep dive:

alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/helldivers...

2 months ago 20 6 0 1