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Posts by Ukraine War Brief Podcast

Минус 700 млрд: главный банк РФ на грани краха. Банковский кризис уже начался
Минус 700 млрд: главный банк РФ на грани краха. Банковский кризис уже начался YouTube video by ІСТРЕБІН_UA

VTB Bank is asking for another 700 billion ruble recapitalization. It will likely come from the National Wealth Fund. 🍿

www.youtube.com/watch?v=gM0c...

2 hours ago 23 3 1 0

I’m seeing lots of Telegram reports/complaints that Russian Railways, Russian Post, and Gazprom are firing employees and/or cutting wages. 🔥

2 hours ago 36 8 3 1

Even in the most optimistic projections the Russian clothing footwear and accessories market is not expected to grow in 2026. In ruble terms in 2025 the market grew by 6% vs 12% in 2024. But terms of the number of items sold in 2025 it actually shrunk by 8-10%.

15 hours ago 23 1 1 0

Interesting thread. Russians are having a hard time affording clothes.

4 hours ago 27 3 1 0

Bingo! The collateral used to get a REPO loan are OFZ bonds.

17 hours ago 4 0 0 0

One can hope that the recent high oil prices create more inflation inside Russia. The government is going to spend all of its windfall to kill Ukrainians.

17 hours ago 22 0 0 0
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REPO came in at 4.48 trillion rubles, up slightly since last week. Still a massive, system-shaping amount. Banks turned around and bought 258 billion rubles worth of bonds.

17 hours ago 30 3 1 1

Doubtful SCOTUS will hear this case.

17 hours ago 0 0 0 0
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Should the Bank of Russia ever try to raise rates, it will cause banks enormous losses given their 4.5 trillion ruble exposure to REPO. The Bank will therefore continue to lower rates even if inflation increases.

(@leoskyview.bsky.social)

17 hours ago 45 8 4 0
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This will be overturned

22 hours ago 1 0 2 0
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Orbán gone, pipeline fixed: EU unlocks $105B for Ukraine Ukraine is about to get a much-needed infusion of cash from the European Union. It's a sign of how politics are shifting in the wake of Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's election loss.

The European Union is providing Ukraine with $105 billion in funding.

www.courthousenews.com/orban-gone-p...

23 hours ago 30 4 0 0

Yes, I’ve read that it’s very unlikely the court intervenes after the vote. But we shall see. The voters hath spoken.

1 day ago 4 0 1 0
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if there’s one thing i expect a CIA officer to know, it’s whether or not a given election is gonna be fair #voteyes

2 days ago 628 94 7 8
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Democrats are 2/2 for gerrymandering Republicans out of Congress.

1 day ago 24 1 1 0

Virginia just voted to delete 4 Republicans from Congress 🔥

1 day ago 60 3 4 2
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Overdue payments hit 8.2 trillion rubles for the first time ever, pointing to a slow but steady decline in Russian business performance since 2022. Putin will take his Urals windfall and blow it on munitions in Ukraine.

Urals are at $98.5 in Primorsk and $96.9 in Novorossiysk this week.

2 days ago 30 1 0 1

Tuapse is still on fire (see below), and Reuters reports both Tuapse and Novokuibishevsk oil refineries have been knocked out of commission.

2 days ago 46 9 2 0
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The net profit of Russian steel maker Severstal for Q1 2026 dropped by 99,73% to 57 million rubles from 21,072 billion rubles in q1 2025. Revenue dropped 19% to 145,31 billion rubles and the EBITDA by 54% 17,94 billion rubles.

2 days ago 76 9 1 4

The oil tanker farm in Tuapse, Russia, is on fire tonight after a large Ukrainian attack. 🔥

3 days ago 42 2 3 1
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Radev is pro-Russian, but will not be another Orbán. Coalition talks will make extreme positions on Ukraine hard to make, and his coalition will be unstable.

4 days ago 29 4 2 0
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🇺🇦⚓ The Ukrainian Navy carried out a strike with Neptune missiles on the production facility of the Atlant Aero plant in Taganrog.

This enterprise manufactured Molniya strike-recon UAVs, components for the Orion system, as well as other parts for UAVs and space technology.

4 days ago 416 45 4 2

Why would they build a drone plant in Rostov

4 days ago 10 0 3 0
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Russia’s central bank governor warns of lasting external strain as economist warns layoffs and labor shortages point to a crisis Breaking news, investigations and fact-checking. The Insider — independent journalism.

Elvira Nabiullina describes the deterioration of Russia’s economy as almost permanent. 🍿

theins.press/en/news/291629

5 days ago 61 14 5 4

A view of the burning port of Tuapse from space.

5 days ago 398 43 5 6
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Overnight, Russia’s Novokuybyshevsk and Syzran refineries were attacked.

5 days ago 233 19 2 2
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Operation Economic Fury | feat. Miad Maleki and Rich Goldberg YouTube video by FDD

Inflation in Iran is 180%.

www.youtube.com/live/smlHlo9...

5 days ago 19 1 1 0
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Discharge Petition No. 8, Bill Number: H.Res. 518, 119th Congress SPONSOR: Gregory W. Meeks DESCRIPTION: Pursuant to clause 2 of rule XV, I, Gregory W. Meeks, move to discharge the Committee on Rules from the consideration of the resolution entitled, a resolution p...

‼️ Last night, Analilia Mejia won election to the U.S. House. Once seated, she will provide the 218th vote on a Russia sanctions package. The sanctions package will need to head to the Senate.

clerk.house.gov/DischargePet...

5 days ago 36 8 1 0

Non-core = no improvement in business, generally

Revaluation of debt securities likely refers to government bonds, but I’m not sure on that.

5 days ago 8 0 2 0

OFAC has lifted Russia sanctions for another 30 days, despite Treasury Secretary Bessent saying otherwise. 😡😡😡😡😡😡😡😡😡

ofac.treasury.gov/media/935526...

5 days ago 30 9 6 3
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Close-up satellite images from Tuapse. Multiple fuel tanks are on fire. #Russia

1 week ago 379 35 6 1