@centuryintl.bsky.social colleague @eamonka.bsky.social lays out how Trump's war on Iran – in addition to being monstrous and wrong – will also incur all kinds of second-order economic costs, making Americans' lives materially worse: tcf.org/content/comm...
The pain that consumers are feeling from the Iran war is real, and likely to get worse. But those short-term costs are only the tip of the economic iceberg, writes CI editor-in-chief @eamonka.bsky.social in a new commentary.
Rural Lebanon’s near-total transition to solar is inspiring for emerging economies, writes CI contributor Camillo Stubenberg in a new report.
But it also carries warnings: left unmanaged, Lebanon’s unlikely solar revolution could harden into another tale of haves and have-nots.
Lebanon’s energy crisis spurred a stunning revolution in rural solar energy. But cities are still chugging diesel. Broadening the benefits of solar requires good state policy, argues CI contributor Camillo Stubenberg.
With Iranian drones hitting Iraqi targets and local militias choosing sides, CI fellow @sajadjiyad.bsky.social 's warnings from our recent roundtable on the Iran war are looking grimly prescient.
So far, a combination of diplomacy and Houthi interest calculations have kept the Yemeni militants out of the Iran war, writes
@peterjsalisbury.bsky.social.
But if they enter the fray, it could have serious implications for global shipping.
America won’t be able to control when the Iran war ends, writes @tcambanis.bsky.social.
But leaders should use all means to block funding for America’s continuing participation.
Meanwhile, the most vulnerable—in the US and worldwide—will suffer from eroded security and spiking energy prices.
The "forever war" paradigm doesn't really describe the Iran war, writes
@abujamajem.com.
This U.S.–Israeli attack is something more acute, and immediate—this is a war of aggression, chaotic and wild.
Israel has shifted from managed containment to comprehensive destruction writes @yaelmiz.bsky.social. Long-term consequences will be devastating.
Hezbollah escalated a war with Israel that had never ended, despite a nominal ceasefire.
Renewed fighting will punish Lebanese civilians, but will probably also further weaken Hezbollah.
@abujamajem.com in new roundtable
tcf.org/content/comm...
The predictable regional fallout has begun from America's reckless war of choice against Iran.
New roundtable from @tcambanis.bsky.social @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social @sajadjiyad.bsky.social @yaelmiz.bsky.social @abujamajem.com
tcf.org/content/comm...
Lebanon’s grinding energy crisis has benefited generator owners, smugglers, and large fuel importers. But in a new report based on three years of fieldwork, @charlielawrie.bsky.social identifies a more basic, root cause of the crisis: the country’s structural dependency on fossil fuel.
Only int'l cooperation can stop the Houthi arms program. But US disengagement & regional tensions make a coalition unlikely. Now, there’s growing danger the Houthis are exporting their deadly capabilities to war zones in Africa. - @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social @veenaa.bsky.social + Henry Thompson
In a decade, Yemen’s Houthis have transformed from low-tech insurgent group to regional power that can fire missiles up to 2,600km.
Our new report shines a light on the inner workings of the Houthis’ startling expansion. By @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social @veenaa.bsky.social + Henry Thompson
No one has been able to constrain the Houthis. Why?
Using OSINT research, our report reveals how the Houthis built an astonishing arsenal in secret using a complex web of global supply chains.
By @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social @veenaa.bsky.social and Henry Thompson & w support from @XCEPT_Research
To stop settlements, sanctions need to address state and institutional support.
Otherwise, the settlement enterprise will continue to expand and foreclose the possibility of equal rights for Palestinians in a Palestinian state.
Read more: tcf.org/content/comm... (5/5)
