In my latest Substack post, I am looking at the possibility of West Belfast electing a unionist MLA for the first time since 2003, due to favourable boundary changes and after the DUP recently announced their candidate for the Assembly election next year. substack.com/@jackarmstro...
Delighted to have published my first research article with the Irish Political Studies journal. It is based on my PhD research, looking at how lower preference transfers can encourage moderation in divided societies through an analysis of NI local elections. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Following the Green Party’s historic victory in the Gorton and Denton by-election last week, I am looking at whether the Northern Ireland Green Party can make a comeback in the Assembly election next year, having lost its two MLAs in 2022. open.substack.com/pub/jackarms...
In my latest Substack post I have outlined the different processes in the Northern Ireland Assembly, to show what goes on in a typical Assembly sitting. open.substack.com/pub/jackarms...
New Substack post, looking at the first Northern Ireland opinion poll of 2026, and where each party currently stands ahead of the Assembly and local council elections next year. open.substack.com/pub/jackarms...
I’ve started a new Substack looking at some of the interesting trends and developments in Northern Ireland politics, with a particular focus on the upcoming Assembly and local elections in 2027. Here is my first post. #northernireland #politics #elections open.substack.com/pub/jackarms...