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Posts by Paul Johnson

I love how spending years making a community with welcoming/affirming friends in Glasgow is cast 'indoctrination' and 'social contagion', but starting a detransition after watching TikTik videos isn't.

These people always tell on themselves.

2 days ago 216 57 9 1

Your birth year or your current age?

2 days ago 1 0 0 0

When you don't lead you don't get the credit for achievements (housing, energy), but you do shoulder the blame for failing to stop the shit like the mess Streeting has made of NHS reform.

2 days ago 5 0 0 0

Keen to stress you are not that old

2 days ago 0 0 1 0

Housing policy has been very positive, as has energy under Miliband. But fundamentally, the good stuff has happened *in spite* of Starmer. Not because of him.

3 days ago 3 1 0 0
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500 games of the Lionesses — by those who played in them Before England’s milestone World Cup qualifier against Iceland on Saturday, players past and present reflect on team’s evolution since FA’s ban on women’s football ended 55 years ago

www.thetimes.com/sport/footba...

2 days ago 1 2 0 0
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Your New Therapist: Chatty, Leaky, and Hardly Human - KFF Health News With high demand for mental health care, a wave of artificial intelligence-powered chatbots are being marketed as therapy apps — with little evidence they work and few regulations.

Last fall, I was told about a burgeoning world of apps offering AI therapy.

I took a look: all over the app store, there are products for kids as young as 4. Many seem to use your data for advertising.

What's it mean to have AI therapy? For @kffhealthnews.org: kffhealthnews.org/news/article...

3 days ago 8 9 0 1
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What’s Next for Europe? A Series with Matthew Goodwin - How Mass Migration is Reshaping the UK and Implications for Europe Join us for an insightful discussion with political analyst Matthew Goodwin on the evolving impact of mass migration in the UK and what it could mean for Europe’s future. Explore key trends, policy ch...

In absolutely chef’s kiss timing, Matthew Goodwin is due to speak at Orbán’s in-house propaganda group MCC *today*

Badloss strikes again.

1 week ago 1517 331 63 53
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Hungary’s Far-Right Prime Minister Loves Football Almost As Much As He Loves Power Viktor Orbán wants to be remembered as the man who rejuvenated Hungarian football, but has used the game to consolidate his power base. Alex Stewart reports.

Relatively minor aspect but Orban’s removal with have big repercussions for football in Hungary

I detailed Orban’s manipulation of football for his brand of far right nationalism for @novaramedia.com here:

novaramedia.com/2022/11/30/h...

1 week ago 17 3 1 1
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Get fucked Orbán

1 week ago 4 0 0 0

Finally done (for now). If you study elections, want to use the Constituency-Levels Election Archive, but don't like bugs, then say hello to `clean_clea`, now on GitHub: github.com/jackobailey/...

1 week ago 25 7 3 0

Obviously remains to be seen what this looks like in practice, but seems like a good idea and a step in the right direction?

1 week ago 1 0 0 0

Efforts to defeat competitive authoritarianism don't end when you beat them at the ballot box (the article is still worth a read though).

1 week ago 1 0 0 0

This is good!

1 week ago 5 0 0 0
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Southampton's 5-1 win against Wrexham this evening moves them into the play-offs and extends their unbeaten run in all competitions to 16 games.

They were 15th in the Championship when they lost their last game — now they're sixth and in the FA Cup semi-finals.

1 week ago 30 4 0 1

Yearning for Barclays

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
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America’s Future Is Hungary MAGA conservatives love Viktor Orbán. But he’s left his country corrupt, stagnant, and impoverished.

In honor of Vance's visit to Hungary, where he will campaign for Viktor Orban, I am reposting my article from last year. I argued that Orban's Hungary is one of the poorest countries, and certainly the most corrupt and least free country, in the entire EU.
www.theatlantic.com/magazine/arc...

1 week ago 3366 1361 124 70

Delightful stuff. Up the scum.

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

Big smile on your face because you're in your favourite city. Love to see it.

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

I think everyone would agree that the police and MPs shouldn’t be shoplifting.

2 weeks ago 1487 275 43 5

It's the weekend in some time zones, go follow some soccer nerds

2 weeks ago 21 9 2 0

Keeping a close eye on the bananas

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
Title: Political Pundits and the Maintenance of Ideological Coalitions
Authors: Allison Wan and Jon Green
Abstract: Political ideologies help groups advance diverse sets of interests under common agendas. However, it is unclear how these groups maintain their norms regarding what it means to be
a member in good standing in a dynamic information environment. Building on theories of “long” political coalitions, we hypothesize that ideological elites’ rhetorical influence on one another will tend to be concentrated and specialized with respect to specific concepts. We
find support for this expectation using an original dataset of over 1,000 prominent political pundits in the United States, in which we infer coalition membership and the diffusion of novel language over a range of specific concepts. While pundits may discuss many concepts,
they tend to “send” language to other pundits in relatively few, resulting in both concentration and specialization of influence within coalitions. These results clarify conceptual distinctions between political ideologies and political philosophies, and demonstrate real-time dynamics of contemporary ideological coalitions.

Title: Political Pundits and the Maintenance of Ideological Coalitions Authors: Allison Wan and Jon Green Abstract: Political ideologies help groups advance diverse sets of interests under common agendas. However, it is unclear how these groups maintain their norms regarding what it means to be a member in good standing in a dynamic information environment. Building on theories of “long” political coalitions, we hypothesize that ideological elites’ rhetorical influence on one another will tend to be concentrated and specialized with respect to specific concepts. We find support for this expectation using an original dataset of over 1,000 prominent political pundits in the United States, in which we infer coalition membership and the diffusion of novel language over a range of specific concepts. While pundits may discuss many concepts, they tend to “send” language to other pundits in relatively few, resulting in both concentration and specialization of influence within coalitions. These results clarify conceptual distinctions between political ideologies and political philosophies, and demonstrate real-time dynamics of contemporary ideological coalitions.

Figure 1: Stylized expectations. Each node reflects a hypothetical coalition member, colors denote concepts, and arrows indicate members’ influence on each other. For example, member (a) influences members (b), (c), and (e) with respect to one concept, such as immigration, while member (d) influences members (b), (c), and (e) with respect to a different concept, such as health care. Member (e) acts as a broker, both sending and receiving influence across the coalition. Every member is influential, but influence tends to be concentrated (for any given concept, one member accounts for 3/4 of influence) and specialized (4/5 members are influential on only one concept).

Figure 1: Stylized expectations. Each node reflects a hypothetical coalition member, colors denote concepts, and arrows indicate members’ influence on each other. For example, member (a) influences members (b), (c), and (e) with respect to one concept, such as immigration, while member (d) influences members (b), (c), and (e) with respect to a different concept, such as health care. Member (e) acts as a broker, both sending and receiving influence across the coalition. Every member is influential, but influence tends to be concentrated (for any given concept, one member accounts for 3/4 of influence) and specialized (4/5 members are influential on only one concept).

Figure 3: Concentration of influence within concepts, observed network compared to permuted networks. Degree, Community, and Concept denote structural features either are or are not preserved in network permutations.

Figure 3: Concentration of influence within concepts, observed network compared to permuted networks. Degree, Community, and Concept denote structural features either are or are not preserved in network permutations.

Figure 4: Specialization of influence within concepts, observed network compared to permuted networks. Degree, Community, and Concept denote structural features either are or are not preserved in network permutations.

Figure 4: Specialization of influence within concepts, observed network compared to permuted networks. Degree, Community, and Concept denote structural features either are or are not preserved in network permutations.

extremely happy to share that "Political Pundits and the Maintenance of Ideological Coalitions" is conditionally accepted at @polbehavior.bsky.social
osf.io/8c3fr/files/...

2 weeks ago 24 11 0 0

Lol immediately got block notifications for this. I'm kidding you dorks.

2 weeks ago 2 0 0 0

Flat.

2 weeks ago 3 0 1 0

I like to laugh at fans of big clubs who act like they've got it tough because their team only won 90% of their games or didn't win the league every single year. But fair enough Spurs fans, this shit really is horrendous at every level.

2 weeks ago 3 0 0 0
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Disingenuous prick. He has embedded transphobia as policy. He has denied young trans people access to medication and support. His government has brought back a version of Section 28 against trans young people. He is actively denying trans and non-binary individuals safety and respect.

2 weeks ago 516 132 18 5

My left wrist has been begging for some help but now this just means I can neglect form entirely and wing hooks like I'm sending it to the moon.

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

I think a lot of folks underestimate the difference between the middle of the road stuff and high-end sports gear. Having trained in a pair of shitty old Venums for a while now, these are in a whole other league (and these gloves are not on a level with a pair of Winnings).

2 weeks ago 3 0 1 0

What I do with my Omnichord is between me and my Omnichord and no one else. Please respect our privacy.

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0