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Posts by Wil Gieseler

the lost intro is unwatchable (jj abrams i guess did it on his laptop??)

1 day ago 6 0 1 0

I don't think the methodology of @gelliottmorris.com trying to do a control via "sentiment of economic news articles" is really addressing the issue. It's plausible that specifically economic news articles are ~good because indicators are good and thats not where vibecession doomers get info.

1 week ago 1 0 0 0

this doesn't really feel like the ideal graph to demonstrate falling inequality over time?

1 week ago 0 0 1 0

what

1 week ago 0 0 1 0

this is somehow an even more fundamentally unserious platform than x formerly twitter

1 week ago 1 0 1 0

"The Boys are Back in Town" is meant to sound celebratory. But to those of us like myself who considered the boys our friends, it can hurt hearing it second-hand, like I'm the last one to find out

1 week ago 482 61 8 0

its literally the exact opposite. the scary part is that you won't even consider that it's possible you're wrong!

1 week ago 7 0 0 0

did i say "totally unrelated"? no, i did not. if you want to use statistics, you need to use them responsibly and not just to justify your pre-existing beliefs. consumer sentiment is a wildly inappropriate way to try to refute a thesis about sentiment diverging from actual reality

1 week ago 7 0 1 0

ah, we'll there's your problem. consumer sentiment is not an appropriate mehtod to use to conclude whether people are saying "im broke" and/or "and so is everyone else". round peg, square hole.

1 week ago 11 0 1 0

Like, the gender divide is largely built by cranks, but it's a machine that's designed to do to boys what a lot of advertising did to girls: set them up for impossible standards of masculinity and reap the insecurities for profit.

We've got to figure out how to get boys off that track.

1 week ago 6 3 0 0
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how are you determining whether most people are definitely saying this?

1 week ago 3 0 1 0

i gotta think an llm is better at debubbling you than a social feed

but the social feed is mad at the llm and says not to trust it. interesting!

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
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1 week ago 0 0 1 0

Me, a leftist: people yearn for the Earthly Paradise of the Reagan Years

1 week ago 131 18 6 0

nobody’s been able to come up with a more compelling explanation than “people are wrong when speculating about aggregate financial data”

1 week ago 5 1 0 0
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same

1 week ago 0 0 0 0

*guy who told people not to vote for Democrats voice*

why aren't the Democrats doing anything? don't they have the power to stop this?

2 weeks ago 274 46 3 3
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The President of the United States is threatening to commit war crimes and wipe out a "whole civilization" — all because he started a disastrous war of his own making and had no plan and no strategy for how to end it.

This is abhorrent, and the American people do not support this.

2 weeks ago 47119 11559 2214 719

storage wars but all gpus would slap

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

i guess we should find and exploit the same infinite money hack to do something else then!

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

crypto was definitely much worse and more or less pointless. and used gps heavily, though crypto has comically bad incentives to waste energy, and also was a dumb idea that didn't do anything or work at all (and rightly mostly died)

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

sure, if you will too, want to make a prediction on when we should check and what we should check on?

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

also netflix quite famously does not have datacenter capex on their balance sheet because they use AWS so you'll find it on amazon's balance sheet. but again i was talking about power usage all-in, not about one company's capex

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

it is unfortunate it requires so many computers and there's big companies who suddenly need to buy up all the computers. but this is more of a short term demand shock than a long term issue

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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the capex costs are mostly borne by giant companies and VCs so i'm just not too worried about that. its just a classic situation where a sudden demand shock is going to ripple outward until we bring more silicon production online or build more datacenters or the shock passes

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

"reasonable people can disagree" is always true. i'm just thinking on this topic most of the disagreers are not reasonable, and most of the repliers are just patting themselves on the back for also being mad at ai. so i'm trying to argue my position and it meanders due to the nature of twitter

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

that really only pans out if bluesky likers in the technology connections account's replies are a representative sample of people. :/

2 weeks ago 1 0 1 0

i'll live!

2 weeks ago 1 0 1 0

im not talking about netflix's capex, im talking about the electrical energy cost of worldwide streaming video

2 weeks ago 0 0 1 0