Republicans are going to trick themselves into thinking that No will win

Problem being that the center left is mad at the President for being awful in every way and the center right thinks the President is chosen specifically by God to punish liberals.

There is no overlap anymore

Whenever I see a post like “Dems turnout looking bad in Va” I get more bullish on Yes chances

Maine is like “we hate the GOP more than we hate Nazis”

FL heading for a dark future

FL def a jebait btw. Don’t pay attention to it if you don’t want your heart broken.

It’s completely possible that Ossoff wins by 6 and the Gov race goes to the GOP by like 3-4

If bottoms ends up being within a few points of Ossoff that’s gonna be massive in terms of how well Dems are improving at the state level

The thing about Georgia for those who don’t live here is while Dems are gaining ground in a ton of places and quickly, there is still a ton of folks who will support the GOP for state office

I wouldn’t be surprised if the SC races here go handily to the incumbents

If this is anywhere close to true the GOP is cooked.

Bottoms winning the Gov is basically saying “GA is likely D in 2028”

Yeah I meant in general but thank you good sir!

Do we have estimates for how good a night it will be like we did for the Gov race?

Like if Dems win by 10 then gop needs to cry vs if gop wins the dems need to prepare for bad Nov? Is that even applicable to this race?

Send the Dems from OH to MS flip the bitch. Ez

Here’s the real question: how did GA become competitive? Did racial polarization decrease or did ATL attract enough northerners that we carpetbagged the joint?

Once we figure that out we do it to Mississippi

I think it is because the MSM is obsessed with the idea of Dems being locked out of the election so they keep polling to build on that

Oh is like FL I’m not getting my hopes up at all

Mississippi is definitely a jebait state for Dems. Always seems close but never quite there

So much of the democratic consultant class spends hours and hours convincing candidates that they can help them win over the Dem voters of yesterday while ignoring the voters we have today.

Ossoff doesn’t need to win 30 racist counties in GA but he does need to win Atlanta counties by a ton

A lot of people have wrong ideas about rural areas because of the narrative after 2016-2024

N: “Dems abandoned rust belt places therefore they had to vote for Trump”

When in reality there areas were just catching up to the rural west and south

My gut tells me this is the kind of stuff we are gonna see a lot of next year when Dems take power.

Dems gonna be asking for info only to be given vague answers

I hate this stuff. Dems actually spend a ton of time and energy on red states and don’t look down on them.

Complete myth that masquerades as truth.

Everyone be on the look out for large options bets being places over the course of the next 24 hours

If this lawsuit goes through then good luck Fox News because they do way worse

I get the idea and in theory it doesn’t sound bad “Dems have low approval and the party is mad at them so I should use that”

But it turned out Dems were mad at the party for perceptions of them letting Trump win

They didn’t actually hate dems

Running as a “I hate the Dems” in a Dem primary has been a failure.

I think by the end of primary season only a handful of candidates will have won that use this method. And even then it’s much more muted

I don’t think there is a single instance of “run against the party” that has worked post 2024

Planter it’s working but even he’s swearing up and down he won’t be Fetterman.

This is probably been the most surprising thing I’ve learned over the last 8 years: the elites really like Trump and want him to succeed

I just assumed it was all about business but nah they just straight up like him and think he’s wonderful

Hey Trump seems to be showing mental decline. Care to comment?

Basically Leftists want to win rural white with progressive economic policies and reactionary centrists want to win with socially conservative policies

But it won’t work. Rural whites would rather die poor of a preventable disease than vote Dem.

We’ve had Democrats run as progressive and lose these areas, we’ve seen bluedogs trash the National party and still lose these areas

Maybe these people fucking suck