Ernteausfälle durch Dürre ©André Künzelmann UFZ

Extreme Klimafolgen sind auch bei 2 Grad Erwärmung möglich! Das zeigt eine Studie von #UFZ et al. Bislang wurden extreme Klimafolgen oft mit sehr hohen globalen Erwärmungsniveaus von 3 oder 4°C in Verbindung gebracht... @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social @bevacquae.bsky.social
www.ufz.de/index.php?de...

A resident walks through inundated streets in Nong Khai city, Thailand. Credit: Adryel Talamantes / Alamy Stock Photo

NEW – Limiting global warming to 2C would not ‘rule out’ extreme impacts | @ayeshatandon.carbonbrief.org w/ comment from @bevacquae.bsky.social @erichfischer.bsky.social

Read here: buff.ly/xRDSktf

Moderate global warming does not rule out extreme global climate outcomes - Nature Extreme global climate outcomes may occur even under moderate 2 °C warming and may turn out to be more extreme than model-averaged projections at 3 °C or 4 °C warming.

Extreme global climate outcomes are possible even at 2°C of warming

In our new Nature study led by @bevacquae.bsky.social with Jakob Zscheischler and @janasillmann.bsky.social, we show that even moderate warming of 2°C could lead to extreme outcomes.

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Klimawandel: Extreme Folgen schon bei Erwärmung um zwei Grad möglich Dürren und Starkregen könnten in Zukunft noch heftiger ausfallen als bislang angenommen, auch wenn die Welt das Zwei-Grad-Ziel schafft. Experten fordern deshalb neue Anpassungen und sagen, warum schon 2027 ein neuer Hitzerekord droht.

Dürren und Starkregen könnten in Zukunft noch heftiger ausfallen als bislang angenommen, auch wenn die Welt das Zwei-Grad-Ziel schafft. Experten fordern deshalb neue Anpassungen und sagen, warum schon 2027 ein neuer Hitzerekord droht.

We are hiring: 4 PhD Positions in Ecology / Data Science and one Ecological Data Scientist We are looking for 4 PhD Positions and one Scientific Programmer / Ecological Data Scientist to join the AG Hartig (Theoretical Ecology)

We are hiring: 4 PhD Positions in Ecology / Data Science and one Ecological Data Scientist. For more information, see www.uni-regensburg.de/universitaet...

Two exciting postdoc positions available!

Historical windstorms - working with two insurance companies to explore UK wind risks: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...

Extreme event storylines - working as part of a EU collaboration on event attribution: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...

So, I hate to be this guy, but as the director of Yale’s new program on attribution science (!?), uh, most of the commentary on Bluesky about Hurricane Melissa and climate change has been… not quite right

This is a good corrective to the BS narrative flowing through the Pielke/AEI/NYP/EID/DOE nexus. Their argument is designed so that we can never ever attribute extreme events to emissions - even singular events that would have *never* [for some suitable finite approximation] have happened before.

Herzlichen Glückwunsch! Eine sehr verdiente Auszeichnung für eine herausragende Wissenschaftlerin und ausgezeichnete Mentorin!

Herzlichen Glückwunsch!! Das sind aber schöne Neuigkeiten

I had an engagement with blogger, failed California gubernatorial candidate, and self-identified reporter Michael Shellenberger this past week, which started out being about this new paper being heralded by climate skeptics as disproving global sea-level acceleration. (LONG 🧵)

Our new study on how large floods will change in Europe under climate change, led by @bfang.bsky.social, with @bevacquae.bsky.social

I am looking for a Postdoc to join my team at @climate.columbia.edu and NASA GISS.

We will be working with Corteva Agrisceince and advance our understanding of historical and future crop breeding using crop models. Exciting and ambitious, please share!

academic.careers.columbia.edu#!/168193

Numerical models outperform AI weather forecasts of record-breaking extremes Artificial intelligence (AI)-based models are revolutionizing weather forecasting and have surpassed leading numerical weather prediction systems on various benchmark tasks. However, their ability to ...

Numerical weather prediction models (ECMWF IFS) still outperform AI weather models in forecasting record-breaking hot and cold extremes and unseen wind extremes

Preprint
arxiv.org/abs/2508.15724

with Zhongwei Zhang @erichfischer.bsky.social @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social and Sebastian Engelke

A publication announcement card featuring a blue “PUBLICATION” label at the top left, the bold blue title “Compounding effects in flood drivers challenge estimates of extreme river floods” centered, the authors Shijie Jiang, Larisa Tarasova, Guo Yu, and Jakob Zscheischler listed below, and the ScaDS.AI Dresden Leipzig logo in the bottom left corner.

🏅Outstanding Publication!
What if #ExtremeFloods are driven by compounding factors?
Using #LightGBM + #SHAP to quantify how rainfall, soil moisture, snowpack & temperature interact, this study reveals "The Secret Network of Extreme Floods"
🔗: https://scads.ai/the-secret-network-of-extreme-floods/

Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science npj Climate and Atmospheric Science - Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes

To what extent does human-induced climate change contribute to global extreme wildfires? In our latest study, we quantified the contribution of human-induced climate change to over 700 observed extreme wildfires globally. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

On International Firefighters’ Day, happy to share our latest research about challenges in international firefighting cooperation due to increasing fire weather season overlap between Australia and North America.

doi.org/10.1029/2024...

Transdisciplinary coordination is essential for advancing agricultural modeling with machine learning Crop models play a key role in understanding and improving the climate-change resilience of food systems. If appropriately used, machine learning can help tackle some of the critical challenges of agr...

Transdisciplinary coordination is essential for advancing agricultural modelling with machine learning. The opportunities are great, but to avoid pitfalls, we need to establish benchmarks, evaluation criteria and best practices. Our perspective: www.cell.com/one-earth/fu... @cp-oneearth.bsky.social

©marcobarone / AdobeStock

#Klimawandel erhöht das Risiko gleichzeitiger Waldbrände, zeigen deutsche und australische Forschende in ihrer Studie. Die sog. Feuerwetter überlappen sich zunehmend und erschweren so staatenübergreifende Hilfe. #UFZ @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social @afsribeiro.bsky.social
www.ufz.de/index.php?de...

🎺 #job alert: Are you interested in #Biodiversity and #Health linkages? Come and work with us in our lab at @ufz.de @idiv-research.bsky.social
apply online via UFZ recruitment portal until 18 May 2025 👇
lnkd.in/eQmcKDQU

Climate chronicles Climate chronicles brings together Nature Reviews Earth & Environment's annual series of 'Year in Review' articles.

Our 2024 climate chronicles have just been published!

Check out the Collection: www.nature.com/collections/...

Thread below details all articles and their take-home messages.

[1/n]

How Interpretable Machine Learning Can Benefit Process Understanding in the Geosciences We demonstrate the broader relevance of Interpretable Machine Learning (IML) to most geoscientists and underexplored opportunities for its use We describe a workflow for the effective use of IML ...

Shameless self-plug: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

Looking for a new postdoc position in climate?

Help us build a reanalysis-based storyline approach to consider how individual extreme events and their impacts are altered in different climates.

Based in Edinburgh as part of collaborative project:
elxw.fa.em3.oraclecloud.com/hcmUI/Candid...

View from Rockefeller Bellagio conference center.

If someone would like to do a postdoc with me on the Stanford campus aimed at thinking about allocation of resources across different domains (climate, environment, food, health, education, wealth transfer, etc) to improve human welfare (balancing near-term and long-term goals), please contact me.

📢 Postdoc Opportunity: Ocean Tipping Points & Impacts!

We're hiring a postdoc in my group at the University of Bern, Switzerland, to study ocean tipping points and their impacts. The position is part of HEurope project TipESM (@tipesm.bsky.social). Feel free to reach out with any questions. 🌊

Interested in volunteering to be an author for the IPCC AR7 Working Groups?

Nomination process open until 17th April: apps.ipcc.ch/nominations/...

Like to develop your own research profile? Work on a permanent contract in a diverse, inspiring & supportive work environment?
We seek to appoint a scientist working on climate hazards for risk assessments & on data management & analysis. Join us at Wegener Center:

jobs.uni-graz.at/en/jobs/6015...

1,5 Grad-Schwelle möglicherweise dauerhaft überschritten Im Jahr 2024 lag die Erderwärmung erstmals 1,5 Grad Celsius über dem vorindustriellen Niveau: Laut einer neuen Studie ist das keine Ausnahme, sondern ein langfristiger Trend.

1,5 Grad-Schwelle möglicherweise dauerhaft überschritten #Klimawandel #Erderwärmung #1,5Grad

People may not understand just how important federal science research funding is to the prosperity of the nation. I tried to explain it, because it's under unprecedented and direct assault.

Studie zu den Pariser Klimazielen: Hat die 1,5-Grad-Ära begonnen, Herr Bevacqua? Das 1,5-Grad-Ziel ist gefährdet, wie aktuelle Berechnungen zeigen. Trotzdem rät Klimaforscher Emanuele Bevacqua, daran festzuhalten: Noch sei es möglich, die Erderwärmung zu verlangsamen.

Das 1,5-Grad-Ziel ist gefährdet, wie aktuelle Berechnungen zeigen. Trotzdem rät Klimaforscher Emanuele Bevacqua, daran festzuhalten: Noch sei es möglich, die Erderwärmung zu verlangsamen.