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Posts by Patrick Cronin

emma-assets.s3.amazonaws.com/0oueb/20e163... My latest publication on US-North Korea and the U.S.-South Korea alliance

9 months ago 4 0 0 0
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Patrick M. Cronin, “North Korea Diplomacy: Necessary, Likely, and Problematic,” Korea On Point, July 4, 2025, koreaonpoint.org/articles/art....

9 months ago 5 0 0 0
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[한국국제정치학회] 2025 하계학술대회(2025.06.26.)_사파이어Ⅰ YouTube video by KAIS 한국국제정치학회

Our English-language panel discussion on prospects for U.S.-North Korean diplomacy and implications for South Korea at Korean Association of International Studies held this year in Yeosu www.youtube.com/live/AmUlhWO... #CheyInstitute #Hudson #KAIS #Trump #Kim #Lee

9 months ago 4 0 0 0

10. On the 7th Anniversary of the Trump-Kim Singapore Summit

"...we characterized ourselves as the host side. We were not engaged in mediation or in negotiations. The Oriental version of it is that we made sure the tea cups were filled, but the conversation was entirely between them."

10 months ago 0 0 0 0

9. Nuclear Risks in NE Asia

“For 80 years, the American security umbrella in Northeast Asia has been a key stabilizer for the relationships in a complicated part of the world…Can you imagine a Northeast Asia with five nuclear powers – Russia, China, North Korea, South Korea, and Japan?”

10 months ago 1 0 1 0

8. China's Maritime Dependence

“…in the last 45 years, because China became a manufacturing superpower, it now depends on the maritime routes in a way which it never depended as heavily in its earlier phases of history. ... one-third of global trade flows through the South China Sea.”

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7. Goldilocks

“We certainly do not want America & China to go to war, but if they suddenly arrive at a condominium and split the Pacific...in spheres of influence or control, that is not necessarily an ideal outcome…it is...a Goldilocks syndrome that we have – not too hot, and not too cold.”

10 months ago 0 0 1 0
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6. S China Sea

“[W]hat is really going on in the South China Sea?... Is it really the rocks & the sands...or is it really an extension of...strategic anxiety &...deterrence between the two superpowers? ... No SE Asian nation wants to allow itself to be a theatre for a proxy war again....”

10 months ago 0 0 1 0

5. Modus Vivendi

"[W]hat is the key ingredient that is missing in the US-China relationship? My assessment is a lack of strategic trust. ... it is our hope in my part of the world that you establish a modus vivendi... I hope it does not come across as wishful, but this is what we hope for.”

10 months ago 0 0 1 0

4. Taiwan Conflict?

“All of us have...our versions of the One China policy. I think what everyone wants to avoid is a kinetic conflict & having interacted with the principals on both sides. The point I would emphasize is that a kinetic conflict across the Taiwan Straits is not inevitable."

10 months ago 0 0 1 0

3. Singapore's Role & Trade

“…Singapore's role is to be that totally reliable, safe deposit box." "We have had a…free trade agreement with America since 2004, and almost all the time, you have had a trade surplus, and it is growing. …we are not complaining....”

10 months ago 0 0 1 0

2. Three Dangers of Decoupling

“First, it will be inflationary….. Second…you set the stage for a more disrupted, dangerous world because interdependence is reduced…. The third point is” that it "must mean a reduction in the speed of progress."

10 months ago 1 0 1 0

1. Multipolar World

“…Pax Americana was a unique, incredible period of 80 years.” “…this is the end of an era." and "what we do know from history is that the interaction between an old world order and a new world order is when things get hairy, when things get dangerous….”

10 months ago 0 0 1 0

youtube.com/watch?v=cNAtqZXs_jU…

Singaporean worldview in ten soundbites from Foreign Minister of Dr. Vivian Balakrishnan at Hudson Institute on June 6, 2025

10 months ago 0 0 1 0
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Defense & Aerospace Report Podcast “Washington Roundtable” June 6, 2025
defaeroreport.com/2025/06/06/d...
My comments 34:30-49:00
34:30 Shangri-La Dialogue
40:00 Korean election
43:00 Taiwan, China, allies, shipbuilding, DF-5
#ShangriLaDialogue #Korea #Taiwan #Singapore #China

10 months ago 1 0 0 0
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www.youtube.com/watch?v=RHmz...

My interview on Arirang News Inauguration Special on the outlook for US-South Korean relations as President Lee Jae-myung assumes office. My 10-minute segment of the live broadcast is from 1:35:50-1:44.50.
#LeeJaemyung #Korea #US

10 months ago 1 0 0 0
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The Evolving Indo-Pacific Order with Foreign Minister of Singapore Vivian Balakrishnan

I sit down with Singapore Foreign Minister Vivian Balakrishnan this Friday at 3 pm EST; watch online or in person at Hudson Institute
#Singapore #ForeignMinister #ASEAN #US #IndoPacific #trade #security #technology
www.hudson.org/events/evolv...

10 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Washington Brief Ep. 50: Korea Presidential Election: Amid polarization and uncertainty
Washington Brief Ep. 50: Korea Presidential Election: Amid polarization and uncertainty YouTube video by The Washington Times Foundation

My analysis of the #Korean election and the new #Lee_Jae_myong government & its implications for US-Korea relations with this "Washington Brief" #50 program moderated by Amb. Joseph DeTrani & panelist Alexandre Mansourov
www.youtube.com/watch?v=ViDw...
WashingtonBrief.org
washingtonbrief.org

10 months ago 0 1 0 0
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The U.S. Lit a Beacon for Science. Under Trump, Scientists Fear It’s Dimming

US Beacon for Science May Be Dimming www.nytimes.com/2025/06/03/u...
#MarciaMcNutt: “We are embarking on a major experiment in restructuring the innovative engine in America &China is the control."
@ardemp.bskyverified.social @rhuganir.bsky.social @mathias-unberath.bsky.social @insitro.bsky.social

10 months ago 17 5 1 3
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defaeroreport.com/2025/05/30/d...
My comments from
~9:30 On defense, budget reconciliation and Asia
~14:30 On trade, steel, and strategic decoupling
~46:20 On US-China heading into Shangri-La Dialogue
~50:30 On driving away students and talent
#trade #China #tariffs #visas #SLD #steel #decoupling

10 months ago 0 0 0 1
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Opinion | The end of writing and reading will be the end of freedom Why graduation season is so heartening to me.

"I have watched the demolition of the capacity to read & engage with books. We have...begun to lose our attachments to the meaning of words and sentences, which we once trusted to carry the precious freight of communicating..."
Nicole Krauss #reading #writing
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

10 months ago 2 1 0 1
South Korea Might Change - Should the Alliance? | Eye on Korea Ep. 11
South Korea Might Change - Should the Alliance? | Eye on Korea Ep. 11 YouTube video by Korea Economic Institute of America

Delighted to discuss my recent report on "Strategic Alignment in an Era of Uncertainty: Next Steps for the US-South Korea Alliance" with Scott Snyer on KEI's "Eye on Korea" program

www.youtube.com/watch?v=Miuz...

10 months ago 1 1 0 0
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Patrick M. Cronin, The Future of Nuclear Deterrence in the Indo-Pacific, May 19, 2025
perryworldhouse.upenn.edu/news-and-ins...

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Defense & Aerospace Report Podcast “Washington Roundtable” May 23, 2025
defaeroreport.com/2025/05/23/2...
open.spotify.com/episode/3llz...
This week's discussion with host Vago Muradian, Patrick Cronin, Jim Townsend, Dov Zakheim & Michael Herson

10 months ago 0 0 0 0
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The Future of Nuclear Deterrence in the Indo-Pacific - Perry World House We are entering a new nuclear age. Although no nuclear weapons have been used in conflict since World War II, the world is riven by great-power rivalries, regional instability, and revolutionary techn...

perryworldhouse.upenn.edu/news-and-ins... Nuclear deterrence cannot be taken for granted

11 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Arirang TV Korea for the World, the World for Korea! 한국을 대표하는 글로벌 방송! As a global broadcast representing Korea, Arirang TV strives to promote the right understanding of Korea around the world and bring the globa...

www.arirang.com/news/video/3...
Patrick M. Cronin and Go Myong-hyun, “Tracking North Korea’s Military Ambitions and Diplomatic Moves,” Arirang News program “WITHIN THE FRAME,” April 23, 2025

11 months ago 1 0 0 0

Patrick M. Cronin and Go Myong-hyun, “Tracking North Korea’s Military Ambitions and Diplomatic Moves,” Arirang News program “WITHIN THE FRAME,” April 23, 2025
#NorthKorea #satellites #Russia #Ukraine #China

www.youtube.com/watch?v=LkRe...

11 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Yuval Noah Harari: Trump’s world of rival fortresses In the US president’s vision of post-liberal global disorder the weak should always surrender to the strong, writes the historian, philosopher and author

Historian Yuval Noah Harari asks, if rival national fortresses replace a liberal world order, how can they "peacefully resolve their economic & territorial disputes if there are no universal values or binding international laws?" #Melian_dictum #whodeterminesstrength
www.ft.com/content/06cc...

1 year ago 2 0 0 0
Remembering Richard L. Armitage - Armitage International Richard L. Armitage, former deputy secretary of state under President George W. Bush, died unexpectedly on Sunday April 13 at the age of 79. The cause of death was a pulmonary embolism.

America lost a giant yesterday at a moment bereft of leadership.

Richard L. Armitage, former deputy secretary of state under President George W. Bush, died unexpectedly on Sunday April 13 at the age of 79. The cause of death was a pulmonary embolism.

armitageinternational.com/news/remembe...

1 year ago 1 0 0 0
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Defense & Aerospace Report Podcast [Washington Roundtable Mar 28, ’25] - Defense & Aerospace Report On this week’s Defense & Aerospace Report Washington Roundtable, Dr. Patrick Cronin of the Hudson Institute think tank, Michael Herson of American Defense International, former Pentagon Europe chief J...

defaeroreport.com/2025/03/28/d... today’s Washington Roundtable

1 year ago 1 0 0 0