“If he can harness his propensity for proposing bold, new visions to break his party’s addiction to inertia and revive Canada’s left. If he can’t the NDP’s death knell will be delivered at the hands of its most famous son. No pressure, though”
New @macleans.bsky.social macleans.ca/politics/whe...
@escrimshaw.bsky.social on the very uncomfortable pragmatism of Gladu, Floor Crossings, And The Demands Of Times Of Crisis
Canada is at war. If someone like her understands this, and wants to help win it, that's pretty amazing really. #cdnpoli
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
@escrimshaw.bsky.social on Terrebonne: Federal Liberals Show A Path To Provincial Revival #cdnpoli
I am wondering if there is a lesson here for the ABNDP but it's probably not apples to apples quite. #ableg
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Canadian Media’s Early Election Hype Is Bad Journalism and @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains why. #abpoli #cdnpoli
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
A 10 seat loss of a disaster based on the latest polls.
@escrimshaw.bsky.social breaks it down. #ableg #abpoli
Nenshi’s NDP On Track For Disaster
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Wild day is an understatement. @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains. Scarborough Southwest: What On Earth Is Happening? #cdnpoli #onpoli
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Pierre Poilievre, you've just bought yourself more time by stacking a vote in your favour! What's next?!
According to @escrimshaw.bsky.social probably nothing cuz he still can't pivot.
Poilievre’s Confirmed As CPC Leader: What’s Next?
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
#cdnpoli #abpoli
@escrimshaw.bsky.social has some solid thoughts on Carney’s Revival Of Political Courage
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
#cdnpoli
@escrimshaw.bsky.social on Davos: A Decent Start, But More To Do open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
#cdnpoli
Good news for Quebec according to @escrimshaw.bsky.social - Legault Resigns: What’s Next For Quebec? open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Yep, all of this. Smith could lose but only if the NDP run a very good campaign, and there's no signs at this point that they will.
@escrimshaw.bsky.social spells it out. #ableg #abpoli
Alberta’s Likely Early Election: Is Danielle Smith Vulnerable?
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Seeing a lot of seething about the Carney/Smith MOU today. I share the frustration because it's all politics and I don't think its going to translate into tangible nice things for us but if you want a good take or two, check out @escrimshaw.bsky.social and @djclimenhaga.bsky.social #ableg #cdnpoli
Riverbend is 100% takeable. 100% @escrimshaw.bsky.social has some sound ideas on how. #cdnpoli #abpoli
Memo To The Liberals: How To Win Edmonton-Riverview
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Ignore the fact that autocorrect screwed up my headline LOL
FWIW, Edmonton-Riverbend projection in the model right now:
LPC: 46.2 (+1.4)
CPC: 44.6 (-5.7)
NDP: 8.0 (+3.8)
Others: 1.2 (+0.5)
(Changes since 2025 election)
Clearly a winnable target for the LPC and a high priority for the party
Xmas election glee in the media is unsettling, but it's not a given at all. @escrimshaw.bsky.social facting again. #cdnpoli
Models, Polls, And The Liberals On Majority’s Edge
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Do The Conservatives Actually Want An Election? @escrimshaw.bsky.social is not convinced. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha... #cdnpoli
Do The Liberals Want An Election? @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains it all. And he's right. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Election Timing: Still 2027 At The Earliest. And @escrimshaw.bsky.social is right on the nose. open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Yep, Robertson needs to find his spine and tell the Toronto city council to honour the deal or no money. @escrimshaw.bsky.social explains the details.
Memo To Gregor Robertson: Toronto Can’t Be Allowed To Get Away With This open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
Been on the road socatching up on @escrimshaw.bsky.social today. The Alberta pundit take isn't this dire. But I think the Ellerslie result was not good. Sure, NDP held and I don't think they lose #yeg, but they won't capture Calgary if something doesn't change.
open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
@escrimshaw.bsky.social is right. Bill C - 5 is going to end up in endless, and long, legal battles, which will defeat the purpose. The need for speed shouldn't blind people to the necessity of avoiding the same thing issues that caused the problem in the first place.
@escrimshaw on how there's a better way to do this than C-5.
Bill C-5: Well Intentioned Disaster open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
@escrimshaw.bsky.social has the right of it here. There has to be room for criticism. Leaders shouldn't insulate themselves. The civil service needs to be proactive and responsive.
Carney’s (Other) Needed Cultural Revolution open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
I want to be more optimistic but I agree with @escrimshaw.bsky.social that not much as changed. ABNDP is still crutching on "UCP bad", which everyone knows and few care about. We need a vision for the future.
Nenshi’s Dangerously Nothing NDP Leadership open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
As @escrimshaw.bsky.social points out, we need a real plan and a serious discussion. Personally though, if it runs along the lines of anything other than "Canada is doing this for Canada", I won't be pleased.
Canada’s Foreign Policy Crossroads open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
And if you want to read about how stupid of an idea it is, I suggest this column from @escrimshaw.bsky.social scrimshawunscripted.substack.com/p/citizenshi...
I don't disagree with @escrimshaw.bsky.social on this but I don't trust the UCP. Would we be allowed by Alberta to keep citizenship is the question. They lie to us all the fucking time. So, 🤷♀️.
Citizenship, And How To Fight Separatism open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
The CPC learned nothing from their loss. Poilievre learned even less, if that's even possible, and @escrimshaw.bsky.social is right. This is very good news for the Liberals. Better than we cld've hoped for.
Conservatives Are Gaslighting Themselves open.substack.com/pub/scrimsha...
