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Posts by Luca Fumarco

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#hiring #junioreconomist #productivity #statec #statecresearch | STATEC Research ๐Ÿ“ข We are #Hiring. Still accepting applications: two weeks left to apply! We are looking for aย ๐˜‘๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜Œ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ต to work with our Productivity team. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฐ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿญ๐˜๐—ต ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—”...

hi #econsky people!
if you are still on the job market -- very rough times indeed -- consider applying here: www.linkedin.com/posts/statec... #econjmp
I had very nice time there, I found friends and stellar quality of life!

2 weeks ago 3 1 0 0

here is a super interesting, meta-science paper!

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

Extremely happy to see our meta paper on the reproducibility and robustness of economics and political science now published in @nature.com! ๐Ÿฅณ

2 weeks ago 17 3 0 0

I sense some underlying pessimismโ€ฆ I think I share it, but Iโ€™m slightly more optimistic: I've just entered the future myself and got my first plasticized, microchipped Italian ID. It feels like I'm in a sciโ€‘fi movie. Until few weeks ago, I had a paper ID, with a sweatโ€‘fogged photo.

2 weeks ago 3 0 0 0

Ever wonder why meetings and conferences derail so easily?
Turns out there could be literal saboteurs โ€” at least according to the CIA in 1944.
See p.โ€ฏ28 of the Simple Sabotage Field Manual:
www.cia.gov/static/5c875...
(Apologies to whoever posted this first; Iโ€™d credit you if my memory cooperated)

1 month ago 1 0 0 0

maybe just a bit easier? :)

1 month ago 0 0 0 0

sounds a bit like the Cantrell's backyard ultra

1 month ago 0 1 1 0
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We identified 6 channels (mediators & institutional modifiers): Skill Acquisition, Self-Esteem, Parental/Teacher Investments, Selection into Programs, School Dropout Policies, and Delayed School Exit. There might be more! Specific behavioral mech. are understudied.

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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The Economics of Age at School Entry: Insights from Evidence and Methods (Forthcoming Article) - This article reviews the growing literature on age at school entry and its effects over the life course. Age at school entry affects a broad range of outcomes, including education, labor-market performance, health, social relationships, and family formation. We synthesize the evidence using a conceptual framework that distinguishes four empirically intertwined components of age at school entry: starting age, age at outcome, relative age, and time in school. Within this framework, we highlight six key channels through which age at school entry operates. While the effects of age at school entry are often substantial and persistent, many studies estimate bundled impacts without isolating specific components or directly measuring underlying mechanisms. We explain how different research designs capture distinct combinations of these components. We also highlight how institutional heterogeneity and behavioral responses can complicate the interpretation of results. We conclude by outlining directions for future research and policy design.

Forthcoming in the JEL: "The Economics of Age at School Entry: Insights from Evidence and Methods" by Mariagrazia Cavallo, Elizabeth Dhuey, Luca Fumarco, Levi Halewyck, and Simon ter Meulen.

1 month ago 9 3 0 1

#econsky

1 month ago 0 0 0 0

Working paper versions (online appendixes included) are available via, e.g., IZA, GLO, and EdWorkingPapers.

What ASE finding surprised you most? And where should future work focus โ€” relative-age mechanisms? Long-run health? Family spillovers? Would love to hear. 9/9

1 month ago 1 0 2 0

For policymakers: ASE effects are real, multidimensional, and often long-lasting. And, we suspect, researchers are still just scratching the surface. 8/9

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

For researchers: the paper maps the literature and flags where conceptual and identification clarity can still improve. Appendixes cover 50+ paper summaries, school cutoff dates worldwide, and list 250+ readings. 7/9

1 month ago 2 1 1 0

Relative age is the most underappreciated component. Its effects are especially sticky in:
๐Ÿ”น Behavioral assessments
๐Ÿ”น ADHD diagnoses
๐Ÿ”น Special education placement
Why? As a possible answer, schools benchmark kids against classmates โ€” not against developmental norms. 6/9

1 month ago 1 0 1 0
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A central insight: most ASE estimates are composite effects. Even clean RDD designs with grade-level outcomes bundle multiple components mechanically.
Knowing the exact source of variation is essential for results interpretation. 5/9

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

Methods matter โ€” a lot. We walk through 2SLS, RDD, DiD, and reduced-form approaches, and clarify what each design actually identifies (and what it doesn't).
Cross-jurisdiction variation matters too โ€” tracking systems, diagnostic rules, dropout policies โ€” is often underused and underappreciated. 4/9

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

We propose a clean conceptual framework. ASE has four distinct components:
โ†’ Starting-age (maturity at entry)
โ†’ Age-at-outcome (how old you are when measured)
โ†’ Relative-age (your rank within the class)
โ†’ Time-in-school (cumulative exposure)
And they have an impact through various channels. 3/9

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

Being slightly older/younger when you start school matters. Age at school entry (ASE) shapes:
๐Ÿ“š Educational attainment
๐Ÿ’ผ Earnings & employment
๐Ÿง  Mental & physical health
๐Ÿ‘ฅ Social relationships
โš–๏ธ Crime
๐Ÿ’ Family formation
Economists largely ignored this topic for decades. Not anymore. 2/9

1 month ago 2 0 1 0

๐ŸšจForthcoming paper, @aeajournals.bsky.social ๐Ÿšจ#econsky
A thread ๐Ÿงต on "The Economics of Age at School Entry: Insights from Evidence and Methods". Humbled to work w/ @mariagraziacavallo.bsky.social, @bdhuey.bsky.social, Levi Halewyck & Simon ter Meulen 1/9

1 month ago 11 6 1 0

many thanks!

1 month ago 0 0 0 0

it is a survey of the literature on age at school entry. in some days, we ll post the usual thread w more details

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

yep, that's it (and bookmarklet is the word i should ve used instead of app, sorry)

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

you cannot install it on edge, or?

1 month ago 0 0 1 0
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Grazie Alfredo!

1 month ago 1 0 0 0

Many thanks!

1 month ago 1 0 0 0

Aaah! Waking up in the morning to an acceptance decision from the Journal of Economic Literature...it feels great!

1 month ago 23 0 3 0

pitty altmetric app works only on a couple of browsers. great feature though

1 month ago 1 0 1 0
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The political effects of Xโ€™s feed algorithm - Nature Among users initially on a chronological feed, 7 weeks of exposure to Xโ€™s algorithmic feed in 2023 shifted political attitudes and account-following behaviour in a more conservative direction compared...

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

yet again, a good reason for using this platform?

1 month ago 1 0 0 0

it's great: it reads like a 80s song title, econ vibes though

1 month ago 0 0 0 0

how was the murder rate in the years before covid-19?

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
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