hi #econsky people!
if you are still on the job market -- very rough times indeed -- consider applying here: www.linkedin.com/posts/statec... #econjmp
I had very nice time there, I found friends and stellar quality of life!
Posts by Luca Fumarco
here is a super interesting, meta-science paper!
Extremely happy to see our meta paper on the reproducibility and robustness of economics and political science now published in @nature.com! ๐ฅณ
I sense some underlying pessimismโฆ I think I share it, but Iโm slightly more optimistic: I've just entered the future myself and got my first plasticized, microchipped Italian ID. It feels like I'm in a sciโfi movie. Until few weeks ago, I had a paper ID, with a sweatโfogged photo.
Ever wonder why meetings and conferences derail so easily?
Turns out there could be literal saboteurs โ at least according to the CIA in 1944.
See p.โฏ28 of the Simple Sabotage Field Manual:
www.cia.gov/static/5c875...
(Apologies to whoever posted this first; Iโd credit you if my memory cooperated)
maybe just a bit easier? :)
sounds a bit like the Cantrell's backyard ultra
We identified 6 channels (mediators & institutional modifiers): Skill Acquisition, Self-Esteem, Parental/Teacher Investments, Selection into Programs, School Dropout Policies, and Delayed School Exit. There might be more! Specific behavioral mech. are understudied.
Forthcoming in the JEL: "The Economics of Age at School Entry: Insights from Evidence and Methods" by Mariagrazia Cavallo, Elizabeth Dhuey, Luca Fumarco, Levi Halewyck, and Simon ter Meulen.
Working paper versions (online appendixes included) are available via, e.g., IZA, GLO, and EdWorkingPapers.
What ASE finding surprised you most? And where should future work focus โ relative-age mechanisms? Long-run health? Family spillovers? Would love to hear. 9/9
For policymakers: ASE effects are real, multidimensional, and often long-lasting. And, we suspect, researchers are still just scratching the surface. 8/9
For researchers: the paper maps the literature and flags where conceptual and identification clarity can still improve. Appendixes cover 50+ paper summaries, school cutoff dates worldwide, and list 250+ readings. 7/9
Relative age is the most underappreciated component. Its effects are especially sticky in:
๐น Behavioral assessments
๐น ADHD diagnoses
๐น Special education placement
Why? As a possible answer, schools benchmark kids against classmates โ not against developmental norms. 6/9
A central insight: most ASE estimates are composite effects. Even clean RDD designs with grade-level outcomes bundle multiple components mechanically.
Knowing the exact source of variation is essential for results interpretation. 5/9
Methods matter โ a lot. We walk through 2SLS, RDD, DiD, and reduced-form approaches, and clarify what each design actually identifies (and what it doesn't).
Cross-jurisdiction variation matters too โ tracking systems, diagnostic rules, dropout policies โ is often underused and underappreciated. 4/9
We propose a clean conceptual framework. ASE has four distinct components:
โ Starting-age (maturity at entry)
โ Age-at-outcome (how old you are when measured)
โ Relative-age (your rank within the class)
โ Time-in-school (cumulative exposure)
And they have an impact through various channels. 3/9
Being slightly older/younger when you start school matters. Age at school entry (ASE) shapes:
๐ Educational attainment
๐ผ Earnings & employment
๐ง Mental & physical health
๐ฅ Social relationships
โ๏ธ Crime
๐ Family formation
Economists largely ignored this topic for decades. Not anymore. 2/9
๐จForthcoming paper, @aeajournals.bsky.social ๐จ#econsky
A thread ๐งต on "The Economics of Age at School Entry: Insights from Evidence and Methods". Humbled to work w/ @mariagraziacavallo.bsky.social, @bdhuey.bsky.social, Levi Halewyck & Simon ter Meulen 1/9
many thanks!
it is a survey of the literature on age at school entry. in some days, we ll post the usual thread w more details
yep, that's it (and bookmarklet is the word i should ve used instead of app, sorry)
you cannot install it on edge, or?
Grazie Alfredo!
Many thanks!
Aaah! Waking up in the morning to an acceptance decision from the Journal of Economic Literature...it feels great!
pitty altmetric app works only on a couple of browsers. great feature though
it's great: it reads like a 80s song title, econ vibes though
how was the murder rate in the years before covid-19?