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Posts by Ethan Struby

Wanna pet the kitty

45 minutes ago 0 0 0 0

“Is Eric Adam’s an Albanian-American politician” the greatest thread in the history of the forums locked after 138 pages of debate

1 day ago 4 2 0 0

Tell me about a complicated man!

1 day ago 1 0 0 0
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New release from the Michigan Survey of Consumers for March 2026

#Inflation #expectations of household surge. The median 1-year-ahead increased to almost 5%.

One-year expected business conditions plunged about 20%

More there: www.sca.isr.umich.edu

1 day ago 12 5 0 1
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Inflation pressures were firming before the war.

The core PCE index rose 0.37% in February and was +3.0% on the year.

The 6-month annualized rate was +3.4%, the highest since June 2024, before the Fed began to cut rates.

The 3-month annualized rate was +4.4%, the highest since March 2024.

2 days ago 104 22 1 3

GENERAL LEE AND HIS ARMY
HAVE SURRENDERED!

SLAVERY AND TREASON
BURIED IN THE SAME GRAVE!

America by the grace of God free and independent 

Dawning of the day of peace

All honor to the gallant brave

GENERAL LEE AND HIS ARMY HAVE SURRENDERED! SLAVERY AND TREASON BURIED IN THE SAME GRAVE! America by the grace of God free and independent Dawning of the day of peace All honor to the gallant brave

SLAVERY AND TREASON BURIED IN THE SAME GRAVE

1 year ago 503 145 6 10
description from Huntington library:

"A lithograph printed on heavy paper. Satirical "death certificate" issued for the Southern Confederacy. Mourning border, each line in different typeface, with: Died, Near the South-Side Rail Road, / on Sunday, April 9th, 1865, / The Southern Confederacy, / Aged Four Years, / Conceived in Sin, Born in iniquity, Nurtured by Tyranny, Died of / a Chronic Attack of Punch. / Abraham Lincoln, Attending Physician. / U.S. Grant, Undertaker. / Jeff Davis, Chief Mourner. Below in smaller print an epitaph that ends with: And this one line shall grace your grave-- / Your death gave freedom to the slave."

https://hdl.huntington.org/digital/collection/p16003coll6/id/5033

description from Huntington library: "A lithograph printed on heavy paper. Satirical "death certificate" issued for the Southern Confederacy. Mourning border, each line in different typeface, with: Died, Near the South-Side Rail Road, / on Sunday, April 9th, 1865, / The Southern Confederacy, / Aged Four Years, / Conceived in Sin, Born in iniquity, Nurtured by Tyranny, Died of / a Chronic Attack of Punch. / Abraham Lincoln, Attending Physician. / U.S. Grant, Undertaker. / Jeff Davis, Chief Mourner. Below in smaller print an epitaph that ends with: And this one line shall grace your grave-- / Your death gave freedom to the slave." https://hdl.huntington.org/digital/collection/p16003coll6/id/5033

to all who celebrate...

1 year ago 4344 1301 55 123
NANCY HAS MET SLUGGO DOWNTOWN 

HE HAS JUST GOT PAID AT THE BAIT SHOP WHERE HE WORKS 

NANCY IS TRULY SURPRISED ABOUT HIS PAY

SLUGGO:THEY PAY ME IN WOIMS

SLUGGO IS HOLDING A TIN CAN FILLED WITH WOIMS (WORMS)

NANCY HAS MET SLUGGO DOWNTOWN HE HAS JUST GOT PAID AT THE BAIT SHOP WHERE HE WORKS NANCY IS TRULY SURPRISED ABOUT HIS PAY SLUGGO:THEY PAY ME IN WOIMS SLUGGO IS HOLDING A TIN CAN FILLED WITH WOIMS (WORMS)

WOIMSDAY

3 days ago 727 135 9 17
Preview
Understanding the risks to economic statistics | Brookings The Economic Indicators Initiative presents four papers framing the issues faced by the Federal Statistical System.

Brookings is partnering with Urban, AEI, Niskanen, Upjohn Institute to launch the Economic Indicators Initiative (EII), a collaborative effort with the mission of highlighting risks to the federal statistical system and strengthening the production of economic statistics

4 days ago 81 20 5 2
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Tell the baby to step up

4 days ago 2 0 0 0
Ludwig Straub, Clark Medalist 2026

Congratulations to Ludwig Straub @ludwigstraub.bsky.social of @harvard.edu, winner of the 2026 John Bates Clark Medal! www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/ho...

4 days ago 33 17 1 3
Ludwig Straub, Clark Medalist 2026

Had this already been announced and I missed it? If not, congrats to Ludwig Straub!

www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/ho...

4 days ago 0 0 0 0

If you teach intro to Econ and would be interested in being part of an RCT on AI homework tutor I have a good lead on funding. Participating faculty will get $500 to $1000. DM me or email sgitter@towson.edu
Please repost! Repost and I'll buy you a drink at ASSA 2027 or future conference

5 days ago 13 15 1 2
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This has been a fun one to write.
Draft coming soon.

5 days ago 9 2 1 0

i been saying

thehill.com/opinion/fina...

5 days ago 16 1 0 0

👏🏻give 👏🏻birdie👏🏻one

1 week ago 1 0 1 0

had to go see the landback skyscrapers for myself

1 week ago 1825 245 31 14
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So on the same day that BLS reported the lowest household survey response rate on record, the White House is proposing further budget cuts. Pretty much every economist that I've talked to says that we should be investing more money in the statistical system right now, not less.

1 week ago 112 41 4 3
Associate/Full Professor of Applied Economics & State Economist (# 372995) - HigherEdJobs Jobs in higher education. Faculty and administrative positions at colleges and universities. Updated daily. Free to job seekers.

If you have the experience required and an interest in serving as Minnesota State Economist, our department is hiring someone at the tenured level for that position: www.higheredjobs.com/faculty/deta...

1 week ago 8 3 0 0

Finally

bsky.app/profile/spro...

1 week ago 3 1 0 0

And they stress that whatever policies we adopt shouldn't embed assumptions about what the technology can and cannot do (which could change). Policy responses need to be flexible, ready to scale up or down based on how things play out.

1 week ago 6 2 1 0

12. A current list of seven members includes Philip Jefferson, Michelle Bowman, Christopher Waller, Lisa Cook, Michael Barr, and Stephen Miran, with what name missing?

NICE TRY, RUMPELSTILTSKIN

#LL108 #bestwronganswers

1 week ago 42 5 0 2

15th century Italians:

1 week ago 377 35 9 1

This is so, so well-articulated.

1 week ago 10666 3884 98 352
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1 week ago 39 8 1 1
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Figure 2. Breakeven pace of employment growth This is a line chart showing monthly data from 1960 to 2030, with the y-axis measuring monthly change in thousands, ranging from -100 to 300 thousand. The chart displays "Breakeven employment growth" as a black line, surrounded by a gray shaded area representing the "90-percent confidence interval." The breakeven employment growth line fluctuates between approximately 50 and 200 thousand throughout most of the historical period, generally trending downward after the 1980s. The confidence interval typically spans about 100 thousand above and below the main line. A horizontal line at zero marks the breakeven point. Near the end of the series, there is a vertical dashed line labeled "2026" indicating a projection point, with the breakeven employment growth appearing to decline toward zero by 2026.

Figure 2. Breakeven pace of employment growth This is a line chart showing monthly data from 1960 to 2030, with the y-axis measuring monthly change in thousands, ranging from -100 to 300 thousand. The chart displays "Breakeven employment growth" as a black line, surrounded by a gray shaded area representing the "90-percent confidence interval." The breakeven employment growth line fluctuates between approximately 50 and 200 thousand throughout most of the historical period, generally trending downward after the 1980s. The confidence interval typically spans about 100 thousand above and below the main line. A horizontal line at zero marks the breakeven point. Near the end of the series, there is a vertical dashed line labeled "2026" indicating a projection point, with the breakeven employment growth appearing to decline toward zero by 2026.

Breakeven job growth (the pace needed to maintain a steady unemployment rate) near-zero. Could make negative job growth almost as likely as positive job growth in any given month. 2: Any growth in potential GDP must come from productivity growth. (2/2) www.federalreserve.gov/econres/note...

1 week ago 14 5 0 2
Image of Figure 1. Potential labor force growth and its components. This is a combination chart showing annual data from 1960 to 2030. The y-axis measures annual rate in percent, ranging from -1 to 3 percent. The chart displays three variables: "Potential labor force growth" shown as a red line (measured in percent change), "Population change contribution" shown as gray bars (measured in percentage points), and "Potential LFPR change contribution" shown as blue bars (measured in percentage points). The potential labor force growth peaked in the early 1970s at about 2.8 percent, gradually declined to around 1.5 percent in the 1990s, and further decreased to about 0.5-0.7 percent by the 2010s. The population change contribution (gray bars) remains positive throughout the entire period but gradually decreases over time. The potential LFPR change contribution (blue bars) was positive from the 1960s through the 1980s, turned negative around 2000, and has remained mostly negative since then. A vertical dashed line marks the year 2026, where potential labor force growth is projected to be approximately 0.5 percent.

Image of Figure 1. Potential labor force growth and its components. This is a combination chart showing annual data from 1960 to 2030. The y-axis measures annual rate in percent, ranging from -1 to 3 percent. The chart displays three variables: "Potential labor force growth" shown as a red line (measured in percent change), "Population change contribution" shown as gray bars (measured in percentage points), and "Potential LFPR change contribution" shown as blue bars (measured in percentage points). The potential labor force growth peaked in the early 1970s at about 2.8 percent, gradually declined to around 1.5 percent in the 1990s, and further decreased to about 0.5-0.7 percent by the 2010s. The population change contribution (gray bars) remains positive throughout the entire period but gradually decreases over time. The potential LFPR change contribution (blue bars) was positive from the 1960s through the 1980s, turned negative around 2000, and has remained mostly negative since then. A vertical dashed line marks the year 2026, where potential labor force growth is projected to be approximately 0.5 percent.

Labor force growth could be near-zero starting this year, due to weak population growth and declining labor force participation. Such weak growth is unprecedented in the United States’ recent history. This has significant economic implications: (1/2) www.federalreserve.gov/econres/note...

1 week ago 20 12 1 2

🫡🫡🫡

1 week ago 1 0 0 0

pretending that the “too old” refers to the moon. The moon is too old

1 week ago 215 22 19 0

I'm on this!

1 week ago 9 1 0 0