We hope that our findings can contribute to a discussion about how the news media can best inform about the causes and impacts of climate change and the full scope of the societal transformations needed to secure a livable and sustainable future for all.
๐ Link: osf.io/preprints/so...
Posts by Fabian Dablander
4๏ธโฃ ๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฐ๐๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐๐
Causes, impacts, & mitigation were much more covered than aspects relating to adaptation.
5๏ธโฃ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ญ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ง ๐๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐๐ฌ
The overall pattern of reporting is very similar to German newspapers, with The Guardian being most similar to left-leaning outlets.
3๏ธโฃ ๐๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ญ-๐ซ๐ข๐๐ก ๐๐ข๐๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐๐๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ญ๐ฅ๐ ๐๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐๐ ๐
Reducing fossil fuels & shifting to renewables were the mitigation strategies that received the most attention.
Shifting to a vegan/vegetarian diet or reducing livestock farming was mentioned in only 3% of articles (versus 57.2% for reducing fossil).
2๏ธโฃ ๐๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐๐ ๐ ๐๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ ๐๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฅ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ๐ฌ
Agriculture is responsible for 1/3 of emissions, yet was mentioned ten times less than fossil fuels as a cause (in 5.8% of articles vs 59.7%).
Similarly, economic growth, overconsumption, carbon inequality appeared in only 2.4-6.3% of articles.
๐๐๐ซ๐ ๐๐ซ๐ ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐ค๐๐ฒ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ:
1๏ธโฃ ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ ๐๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐๐ ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ๐๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ซ 2018
We found a clear upward shift in coverage from late 2018 onward, coinciding with several key events, including heightened climate mobilization, the publication of the IPCC Special Report on 1.5ยฐC, and The Guardian's climate pledge.
We used IPCC-aligned questions covering causes, impacts, mitigation, and adaptation, and large language models for deductive content analysis. The Guardian provides easy access to all their articles using an open API, so we did not have to build custom scraping tools like in previous work.
Title page of our preprint
๐จ Climate change coverage in The Guardian
In a new preprint, Simon Wimmer,
@jmbh.bsky.social, and I analyzed over 18,000 articles about climate change in @theguardian.com (2010-2025) using large language models ๐งต
๐ Link: osf.io/preprints/so...
From EARTHSEED: THE BOOKS OF THE LIVING Choose your leaders with wisdom and forethought. To be led by a coward is to be controlled by all that the coward fears. To be led by a fool is to be led by the opportunists who control the fool. To be led by a thief is to offer up your most precious treasures to be stolen. To be led by a liar is to ask to be told lies. To be led by a tyrant is to sell yourself and those you love into slavery.
Octavia E. Butler, 1998:
โญNEW PAPER โญ
We collaborated with AWorld, the largest app for personal climate action, to examine behavioral patterns, data quality, and the links between users' actions, carbon footprints and psychological factors.
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
@fdabl.bsky.social @cameronbrick.bsky.social
After Intense Lobbying, Carney Allows Gas-Powered Data Centres in Alberta Energy firm pushed federal officials to scale back clean-electricity rules tied to AI sector by Taylor C. Noakes Updated 11:46, Mar. 27, 2026 | Published 6:30, Mar. 27, 2026
he Alberta electricity company Capital Power, which is developing a new, large artificial intelligence data centre in the province powered by natural gas, lobbied the federal Mark Carney government dozens of times in 2025 to eliminate clean-energy regulations, DeSmog has learned. These regulations were subsequently dropped from a fossil fuel accord that the prime minister signed with the Government of Alberta this past November, allowing new, large data centres fuelled by gas turbines to proceed. โWeโve got a new paradigm that allows us to look at growth capitalโ for Canadian gas-powered AI projects, Capital Power chief executive officer Avik Dey said in reaction to the Carney government announcing it would suspend the regulations.
The term โdata centreโ appears at least twenty-five times in notes from Capital Powerโs interactions with the federal government, while the term โemissionsโ appears seventeen times, and โclean-energy regulationsโ and โnet zeroโ appear each at least fourteen times.
The AI boom is itself driving a massive development of gas-power generation: over 1,000 gigawatts worldwide, a quarter of which is in the United States. Though AI data centres can be powered by any form of electricity, the gas industry has marketed gas power as cheap, efficient, and reliable.
What a stunning demonstration of how data centre development is directly and materially boosting fossil fuels. After ferocious lobbying the Carney government caved and killed off environmental rules to allow fossil gas power plants to be built for data centres:
thewalrus.ca/after-intens...
A staircase diagram with six levels rising from bottom-left to top-right. Each level on the left represents a stage in the causal chain of climate change, connected by a dashed arrow to a corresponding intervention on the right. From bottom to top: Root Drivers (economic system, fossil finance, colonial and historical structures, geopolitics) connects to Transformative System Change (economic restructuring, post-colonial redress, geopolitical shifts); Human Activities (consumption and production patterns) connects to Socio-technical and Behavioural Change (electrification, behaviour change, market incentives); Energy and Land Systems connects to Infrastructure Transition (renewables, grids, land-use redesign); Emissions connects to End-of-pipe Controls (CCS); Atmospheric GHG Concentrations connects to Carbon Dioxide Removal (including NETs); Earth's Energy Imbalance connects to Geoengineering (SRM). A diagonal arrow runs across the full diagram from Structural/Preventative at the bottom-left to Reactive/Compensatory at the top-right.
1/ Yesterday @wmo-global.bsky.social made Earth's Energy Imbalance a headline #climate indicator for the first time.
I think this could be a significant reframing of climate discourse, and it's worth paying close attention to why. ๐งต
Screenshot showing the Climate Shift Index from Climate Central for March 19, 2026. There is a change in likelihood of CSI 5 across nearly the entire Western USA.
Even in a world of extremes, some events still stand out to me. This is one. All-time monthly records are being shattered.
The size of this ridge across the western U.S. is truly striking for March, and we see a very clear climate change connection.
Explore: csi.climatecentral.org/climate-shif...
This was a very rewarding and insightful collaboration, and you can read a short summary of this work โ commissioned by the Dutch Ministry for Climate Policy and Green Growth โ and the full report here: seven.uva.nl/en/content/n...
Across 3 sessions, we brought together stakeholders from policy, science, civil society, and practice to jointly map the structures underlying the two behaviours.
We identified feedback loops that could accelerate or hinder progress, and distilled a set of policy recommendations with high leverage.
This has implications for policy: the most impactful interventions are unlikely to be isolated campaigns or one-off incentives, but efforts to change the structures that shape behaviour.
This is where a systems perspective is especially useful. Instead of locating behaviour change primarily at the level of the individual, it asks how personal, social, and structural factors interact to make certain behaviours easier or harder.
These factors do not operate in isolation. They interact in ways that can either support change or generate friction that reinforces the status quo.
Take home insulation, for example. Whether people insulate depends not only on motivation or costs, but also on the availability of skilled installers, the stability of government policy, the availability of trusted advice, and the experiences and expectations of others around them.
Behaviour change is often framed narrowly as a matter of individual choice: give people better information, the right incentive, or a small push, and change will follow.
But many climate-relevant behaviours do not work like that. They are shaped by the broader systems in which people are embedded.
Simplified Causal Loop Diagram for Insulating to the Standard
We recently published a report from a project at SEVEN, in which we used group model building to map the systems shaping home insulation and shifting electricity use away from peak hours in the Netherlands: seven.uva.nl/en/content/n...
It also highlights something broader about behaviour change ๐งต
This has implications for policy: the most impactful interventions are unlikely to be isolated campaigns or one-off incentives, but efforts to change the structures that shape behaviour.
This is where a systems perspective is especially useful. Instead of locating behaviour change primarily at the level of the individual, it asks how personal, social, and structural factors interact to make certain behaviours easier or harder.
These factors do not operate in isolation. They interact in ways that can either support change or generate friction that reinforces the status quo.
Take home insulation, for example. Whether people insulate depends not only on motivation or costs, but also on the availability of skilled installers, the stability of government policy, the availability of trusted advice, and the experiences and expectations of others around them.
Behaviour change is often framed narrowly as a matter of individual choice: give people better information, the right incentive, or a small push, and change will follow.
But most climate-relevant behaviours do not work like that. They are shaped by the broader systems in which people are embedded.
๐จ Techno-optimism reduces willingness to address climate change ๐จ
In a new preprint, @maiensachis.bsky.social, @fdabl.bsky.social, and I examined the causal effect of techno-optimist beliefs on the willingness to contribute to addressing climate change.
๐ Read the paper: lnkd.in/eE847_jK
How do scientists balance science with protest? My new piece for @theconversation.com, explores how scientists transition into activism and sustain their engagement.
This is based on my recently published ethnographic paper journals.plos.org/climate/arti...
theconversation.com/how-climate-...
No one trains teachers for this part of the job.
Watch The Hardest Lesson - a short film about what it's really like to teach during a #climate crisis.
Not the facts.
The feelings.
The silence.
The responsibility.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=4H-5...
Important new @annualreviews.bsky.social review on #AMOC collapse. ๐โ ๏ธ
๐ www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
Here are 8 key takeaways from Dijkstra & van Westen (2026) on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and its risks.
๐๐งต