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Posts by Richard Greenfield

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Five Long-Term Strategic Questions for Disney’s Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Disney is refreshing its approach to earnings calls by seeking analysts’ long-term strategic questions for management to address on its upcoming earnings call, rather than taking live questio…

Five Long-Term Strategic Questions for Disney's Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings

Disney is refreshing its approach to earnings calls by seeking analysts’ long-term strategic questions for management to address on its upcoming earnings call $DIS

3 hours ago 0 0 0 0
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Snap Growth Hacking Raises Concerns on DAUs/Engagement Ever… Snap Growth Hacking Raises Concerns on DAUs/Engagement Ever since becoming a public company, Evan Spiegel, Snap’s Co-Founder, has been critical of growth hacking. On Snap’s first-ever e…

⚡️ Snapchat Growth Hacking Raises Concerns on DAUs/Engagement ⚡️ $SNAP

Ever since becoming a public company, Evan Spiegel, Snap’s Co-Founder, has been critical of growth hacking...

2 days ago 1 0 0 0
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NFL to Critics: YouTube Is Free TV. Deal With It. Earlier today, Front Office Sports reported (link) that the NFL was finalizing an agreement with YouTube to expand to five games in the coming season, up from one game last season, adding the four …

NFL to Critics: YouTube Is Free TV. Deal With It.

Assuming today’s YouTube licensing of five games news is accurate, it clearly illustrates that the NFL is not terribly concerned by the FCC inquiry, what appears to be a narrow DoJ inquiry, and Congressional grandstanding...

5 days ago 1 0 0 0
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The $72 Billion Netflix Question Plus Nine Others for Q1 2026 Earnings Here are our ten key questions for Netflix management on tonight’s Q1 2026 earnings discussion (our Q4 2025 questions can be found here). 1) The $72 Billion Question. You were prepared to a w…

The $72 Billion Netflix Question Plus Nine Others for Q1 2026 Earnings
$NFLX @netflix

6 days ago 1 0 0 0
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The Big Chill: How Judge Nunley’s Injunction Could… The Big Chill: How Judge Nunley’s Injunction Could Ice Broadcast M&A Later today, California District Court Judge Troy Nunley will hold a hearing on whether to issue a preliminary injunct…

⚡️ The Big Chill: How Judge Nunley’s Injunction Could Ice Broadcast M&A ⚡️ $NXST

Given the harshness of Nunley’s March 28th Temporary Restraining Order, we believe the most likely outcome will be a preliminary injunction barring Nexstar and Tegna from further integration...

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Clearing Up the Paramount Equity Syndication for WBD… Clearing Up the Paramount Equity Syndication for WBD Confusion When Paramount agreed to buy Warner Bros. Discovery, the Ellison family and RedBird Capital agreed to backstop the entire equity porti…

⚡️ Clearing Up the Paramount Equity Syndication for WBD Confusion ⚡️ $PSKY $WBD

Concurrent with closing, Paramount will issue a 10-year warrant to all existing public PSKY Class B shareholders representing...

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Disney Brings Back Discounted Partial Day Tickets at… Disney Brings Back Discounted Partial Day Tickets at Walt Disney World Earlier today, Disney announced “Walt Disney World Announces ‘After 2pm’ Summer Ticket Offer,” with discounted 2-d…

⚡️ Disney Brings Back Discounted Partial Day Tickets at Walt Disney World ⚡️

Earlier today, Disney announced “Walt Disney World Announces ‘After 2pm’ Summer Ticket Offer,” with discounted 2-day and 3-day tickets for entry after 2 pm... $DIS

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Paramount’s $110 billion Warner Bros. gamble | Decoder
Paramount’s $110 billion Warner Bros. gamble | Decoder YouTube video by Decoder with Nilay Patel

Everyone Who Buys Warner Bros Regrets It, Why Does Paramount Believe it Can Succeed?

thanks for having me on the Decoder Pod @reckless.bsky.social

www.youtube.com/watch?v=QlhP...

1 month ago 40 4 4 0
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Will Disney CEO Josh D’Amaro Do What Iger and Chapek Would Not? Listen (3:42 mins) Tomorrow marks new Disney CEO Josh D’Amaro’s first day on the job. We believe there are three bold moves that D’Amaro must make to reinvigorate Disney’s l…

Will Disney CEO Josh D'Amaro Do What Iger and Chapek Would Not? $DIS

We believe there are three bold moves that D’Amaro must make to reinvigorate Disney’s lackluster stock price performance over the past decade…

1 month ago 2 1 0 0
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Game of Streams: David Ellison’s Plan to Compete with Netflix called Paramount+HBO Listen (8:48 mins) Two companies dominate connected TV (CTV) streaming: YouTube and Netflix, representing nearly half of streaming time spent on TVs (based on Nielsen Gauge January 2026 data). Whil…

Game of Streams: David Ellison's Plan to Compete with Netflix called Paramount+HBO

Paramount wants to be more than a survivor in the streaming wars. It believes it can catapult itself into a daily use streaming platform that can compete head-on with Netflix... $PSKY $WBD

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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Roku to Break Out Platform Revenue for the… Roku to Break Out Platform Revenue for the First Time Ever Investors have been asking Roku to break out the components of platform revenue for as long as we can remember. Earlier today, at an inves…

⚡️ Roku to Breakout Platform Revenue for the 1st Time Ever ⚡️

Investors have been asking @Roku to breakout the components of platform revenue for as long as we can remember. Earlier today, at an investor conference, $ROKU CFO, Dan Jedda, stated they would begin

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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Why is the NFL, the Most Broadcast Friendly League, Under Attack by Broadcast TV Advocates? The NFL completed its last round of media rights deals in March 2021 with agreements that spanned 11 seasons from 2023-2033, with an option to exit each agreement after the 2029 season (2030 for ES…

Why is the @nfl, the Most Broadcast Friendly League, Under Attack by Broadcast TV Advocates?

"the overwhelming majority of NFL games ARE ON broadcast and, more importantly, EVERY single NFL game is available over-the-air in each team’s local market [for free]"

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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Can Paramount Grow $12 Billion of Combined EBITDA, Where Warner Bros. Discovery Failed? Listen (2:49 mins) Paramount management, led by CEO David Ellison, laid out their investor pitch for the acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery this morning (link). Key to making the transaction mat…

Can Paramount Grow $12 Billion of Combined EBITDA, Where Warner Bros. Discovery Failed?

Key to making the transaction math work is the expectation of at least $6 billion in synergies by the end of 2029, to reduce leverage from 6.5x at closing to 3x within three years of closing. $PSKY $WBD

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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FCC Chair Unfiltered: Protecting Local News, Sports on Broadcast TV and May Sue a Network FCC Chairman Brendan Carr did not hold back in a wide-ranging, must-watch conversation with Semafor’s Ben Smith yesterday. The interview came shortly after Carr issued an FCC Public Notice (l…

FCC Chair Unfiltered: Protecting Local News, Sports on Broadcast TV and May Sue a Network

@BrendanCarrFCC did not hold back in a wide-ranging, must-watch conversation with @semaforben yesterday. The interview came shortly after Carr issued an FCC Public Notice seeking comments on how consumers...

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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Would Netflix Be Attacking Paramount’s Backers if They… Would Netflix Be Attacking Paramount’s Backers if They Were About to Walk Away? Everyone is asking us the same question: will Netflix match if the Warner Bros. Discovery Board determines Para…

⚡️ Would Netflix Be Attacking Paramount’s Backers if They Were About to Walk Away? ⚡️

Everyone is asking us: will @Netflix match if the @wbd Board determines @Paramount’s “revised proposal” from earlier today is a “Company Superior Proposal” compared to the current Netflix agreement?

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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Maverick, Don’t Do It: Ellison’s Warner Bros. Gamble Is a Mission He Should Abandon (For Now…) Paramount firmly believes its current $30 bid for all of Warner Bros. Discovery is superior to Netflix’s $27.75 bid combined with the spin-out of Discovery Global. However, even after Paramou…

Maverick, Don't Do It: Ellison's Warner Bros. Gamble Is a Mission He Should Abandon (For Now...)

2 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Paramount Is Now on the Clock: One Week… Paramount Is Now on the Clock: One Week Warner Bros. Discovery (with Netflix’s consent) is giving Paramount one week to come up with their best and final offer, including accepting all of the…

⚡️ Paramount Is Now on the Clock: One Week ⚡️

Warner Bros. Discovery (with Netflix’s consent) is giving Paramount one week to come up with their best and final offer... $PSKY $WBD $NFLX

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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$65 YouTube TV Sports Bundle Set to Accelerate… $65 YouTube TV Sports Bundle Set to Accelerate Cord-Shaving Over the last few months, investors have started to question whether multichannel video industry sub losses are starting to bottom out, p…

⚡️ $65 YouTube TV Sports Bundle Set to Accelerate Cord-Shaving ⚡️ $GOOGL

Over the last few months, investors have started to question whether multichannel video industry sub losses are starting to bottom out, particularly as...

2 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Trump says he'll stay out of Netflix, Paramount Skydance fight to take over WBD Trump in December said he would be involved in the review of whether Netflix should be allowed to buy parts of Warner Bros. Discover, as WBD leadership wants.

🚨 The Battle for Warner Bros may have just ended $WBD $NFLX $PSKY

“I’ve been called by both sides,” Trump said. “It’s the two sides, but I’ve decided I shouldn’t be involved. The Justice Department will handle it.”

www.cnbc.com/2026/02/04/t...

2 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Zuck’s Reckoning: Can Meta Beat Google in AI and Bankrupt OpenAI? Listen (5:23 mins) With Meta stock flat over the past year and underperforming the S&P 500, which rose 15%, we have eight key questions for Mark Zuckerberg and the Meta management team heading …

Zuck's Reckoning: Can Meta Beat Google in AI and Bankrupt OpenAI? $META

Eight Questions for tonight's Q4 2025 Earnings Call

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Snap Finally Set to Breakout Major Investment in… Snap Finally Set to Breakout Major Investment in AR Hardware: Specs We have been begging Snap management to break out the financials of their Specs division for the past 18 months (link), so that i…

⚡️ SNAP: Finally Set to Breakout Major Investment in AR Hardware: Specs ⚡️ @snap @Snapchat

We have been begging Snap management to break out the financials of their Specs division for the past 18 months...

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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The Battle for Warner Bros. Will Make a Great Succession Spinoff Series on Netflix Yesterday, we joined TBPN with hosts Jordi Hays and John Coogan (full 30 minute segment embedded below) to discuss the current state of the bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD), focusing on…

The real question for Paramount becomes is winning actually losing...Do they want to overpay and meaningfully over-lever Paramount to get there? We believe there are better ways for David Ellison and Paramount to win long-term

3 months ago 4 0 1 0
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Reactions to December 2025 Nielsen Gauge Earlier today,… Reactions to December 2025 Nielsen Gauge Earlier today, Nielsen released its monthly share of TV viewing chart, The Gauge (embedded to the right). Linear TV, combining broadcast TV and cable TV, dr…

⚡️ Reactions to December 2025 Nielsen Gauge ⚡️

Linear TV, combining broadcast TV and cable TV, dropped to an all-time low of 41.6% in December 2025 vs. 46.2% last year with streaming TV hitting a new all-time high of 47.5%.

3 months ago 1 0 0 0
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13 Questions for Netflix’s Q4 2025 Earnings Tonight Listen (6:27) Here are our 13 key questions for Netflix management on tonight’s Q4 2025 earnings discussion (our Q3 2025 questions can be found here). 1) Why so confident in regulatory approva…

13 Questions for Netflix’s Q4 2025 Earnings Tonight

6 of questions relate to $NFLX's in-process $WBD acquisition

3 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Peak Irony: The “Worthless” Asset Paramount’s Bid Cannot Live Without Listen (7:28 mins) Investors and industry execs continue to ask us why Paramount does not simply buy Warner Bros. and HBO, replicating Netflix’s accepted bid, rather than bidding for the enti…

Peak Irony: The "Worthless" Asset Paramount's Bid Cannot Live Without
$PSKY $WBD $NFLX

3 months ago 2 0 1 0
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Lightning – LightShed Partners Lightning

⚡️ Surprised Neither Disney nor Paramount Bid Aggressively for Sony Pay-1 Deal ⚡️

While Hollywood and certain members of Congress have feared that Netflix’s in-process acquisition of Warner Bros. would dampen their desire to buy from third-parties, Netflix’s aggressive bid...

3 months ago 2 0 1 0
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LightShed’s Top 20 TMT Predictions and Events to Watch for in 2026 Listen (41:45 mins) Welcome everybody to the 2026 edition of LightShed’s annual TMT predictions.  Last year we culled the list to 17 predictions (click here), and our accuracy was a little bet…

LightShed’s Top 20 TMT Predictions and Events to Watch for in 2026

3 months ago 1 0 0 0
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The Reason Why Larry Ellison is Only Investing $12 Billion in Warner Bros. Discovery Listen (4:29) On yesterday’s episode of The Town podcast, Puck’s Matt Belloni asked Redbird Capital’s Gerry Cardinale: “If Larry is prepared to go all in on this, why is the…

The Reason Why Larry Ellison is Only Investing $12 Billion in Warner Bros. Discovery $PSKY $WBD $NFLX

@mattbelloni.bsky.social got the answers on The Town podcast

4 months ago 9 1 0 0
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The 12 Juiciest Nuggets from Warner Bros. Discovery’s 14D-9 Filing Earlier today, Warner Bros. Discovery filed a 14D-9 explaining the entire chain of events that led the WBD Board of Directors to move forward with Netflix’s offer and reject Paramount’s offer. Whil…

The 12 Juiciest Nuggets from Warner Bros. Discovery's 14D-9 Filing
While the document addresses many issues we have written about, there were a significant number of new “nuggets” of information that illustrate just how hard it will be for Paramount to win, even with a higher bid.

4 months ago 1 0 0 0
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The Three Critical Questions Paramount’s David Ellison Needs to Answer Listen (7:13 mins) As the Warner Bros. Discovery saga drags on, there are several important Paramount questions investors need answered: 1) Why is Paramount Buying All of WBD vs. Just Warner Bros. …

The Three Critical Questions Paramount's David Ellison Needs to Answer

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