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Posts by Skoo Bly User

The issue is there isn’t a “Dem nom” in California. Everybody runs in a single primary and the top two go to November. With only two Republicans vs. a huge number of Dems splitting their vote, there is a real chance that the Nov ballot could be Republican vs Republican if Dems don’t coalesce

1 hour ago 1 0 1 0

You know how people get that surgery to break their legs in a way that they get taller by a couple inches? I think you just created the market for whatever the reverse would be.

1 hour ago 1 0 0 0

“For the sake of argument” is basically the same, though. As a matter of principle (or maybe just style), I try to avoid unnecessary Latin. Among other things, I’ll also cut “inter alia” whenever I see it. Even i.e. and maybe e.g. (outside of citations) are better avoided.

2 hours ago 0 0 1 0

Feels like there must be some weird story behind that 2020 outlier! I can’t think of an obvious one, though.

3 hours ago 0 0 0 0

Is this analogy anything? If automakers had sold most people enclosed golf carts and called them “EVs” while car guys/pros got real-deal EVs, the average person might reasonably (but perhaps incorrectly) conclude that EVs could never replace ICE cars, even if experts tried to explain otherwise

8 hours ago 6 0 1 0

The only good thing about him being rich and famous for so long is that he developed a truly amazing collection of haters across multiple generations.

21 hours ago 9 0 0 0

People forget or never knew that US parties weren’t strictly ideological until, like, 1994, and it still took another decade or so past that to fully sort out. It was absolutely normal for some very conservative Dems in Congress to be to the right of some quite liberal Republicans.

1 day ago 6 1 0 0

I think you could probably by statute create an automatic new seat whenever a justice hits 18 years, and say only the 9 most junior justices are allowed to hear cases. Or convert SCOTUS to a temporary (but lengthy) gig for existing appeals ct judges, then they resume their circuit judgeship after

1 day ago 3 0 0 0

“Making it easier for people to follow the traditional tenets of their religion” is now an outrageously left-wing thing to do

2 days ago 1 0 0 0
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Exactly. Especially in the Cold War/nuclear age, it became a much riskier situation if the president, say, fell into a coma, leaving nobody (or multiple people) claiming legitimate command authority should an urgent situation arise. It’s an emergency/backup provision, not a general political tool.

3 days ago 2 0 0 0

This is a hard thing with inflation measures, quantifying when a thing is just *better*. Like, a pound of beef is a pound of beef, but “a mobile phone” in 1990 vs. 2010 vs. now are three dramatically different items. You can’t just ignore a thing getting better, but it’s also not apples to apples

4 days ago 4 0 1 0
Vintage Twitter screenshot of tweet from @realDonaldTrump: Who is paying for that tedious Smokey Bear commercial that is on all the time - enough already!
10:50 PM - 7 Jan 2015|

Vintage Twitter screenshot of tweet from @realDonaldTrump: Who is paying for that tedious Smokey Bear commercial that is on all the time - enough already! 10:50 PM - 7 Jan 2015|

“And then they start Twitter beef with Smokey the B—wait, hang on, he did what?”

5 days ago 23 1 0 0

“Ask your doctor if Clavicular is right for you.”

(The answer is no.)

5 days ago 12 0 0 0

Exactly, most places couldn’t realistically have a policy like this, but if you’re running the place that CAN, you absolutely should!

5 days ago 1 0 1 0

Two states split their electoral votes by congressional districts. Everyone else is winner take all. Nobody is proportional, though IMHO that would be better. (Maybe you’re thinking of presidential primary delegates, which are sometimes proportional? But never in the general election.)

5 days ago 5 0 2 0

The House of Representatives and state legislatures can be gerrymandered. But the electoral college (outside Maine and Nebraska) just uses state borders, which don’t change

6 days ago 4 0 1 0
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Looks to me like, if this passed before 2020, Biden would’ve gained one more EV from Maine and maybe 3 from Alaska. If this existed in 2024, Trump would have won at least 533-5 (NH + Omaha as the only Harris votes). Both the risk and reward are entirely one-sided, and on different sides.

6 days ago 0 0 0 0

Just eyeballing it, I think every one of the orange states has voted Dem 3x in a row, while the green ones are mostly swingy. So if a Dem wins pop vote, they likely get similar number of EV they’d always have had, while if Repub wins, they’d get an almost unanimous EV. That seems pretty asymmetric!

6 days ago 0 0 1 0

Looks to me like, if this passed before 2020, Biden would’ve gained one more EV from Maine and maybe 3 from Alaska. If this existed in 2024, Trump would have won at least 533-5 (NH + Omaha as the only Harris votes)

6 days ago 0 0 0 0

Just eyeballing it, I think every one of the orange states has voted Dem 3x in a row, while the green ones are mostly swingy. So if a Dem wins pop vote, they likely get similar number of EV they’d always have had, while if Repub wins, they’d get an almost unanimous EV. That seems pretty asymmetric!

6 days ago 0 0 2 0

The electoral college has absolutely nothing to do with gerrymandering.

6 days ago 8 0 1 0

It’s really not as weird as people think. Prime ministers in Westminster systems like Canada’s aren’t elected by direct popular vote either, and until this week, Carney didn’t even have a majority of the Commons. It’s just that the EC has only one purpose, while Congress is totally separate.

6 days ago 11 0 1 0

The Confederate States existed for a little over four years, the entirety of which consisted of the Civil War. Neither existed (or would make any sense) without the other. What else *could* any Confederate-associated organization be about?

6 days ago 0 0 0 0
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Sure, that clears it up…

6 days ago 1 0 0 0

Sounds like the recurring “Monsignor Martinez” show from King of the Hill, which I just learned was considered for a live-action spinoff. They even filmed a pilot!

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
Preview
Rogers Park Church Finds Way To Build A Parking Lot Despite Alderwoman's Opposition Ald. Maria Hadden said she’s “dismayed” St. George’s Cathedral found a legal workaround to build the lot after she denied its request for a zoning change.

This is actually pretty close to a true statement about Mar Awa III, the Catholicos-Patriarch of the Assyrian Church of the East! (The guy who famously gave Leo a Cubs jersey, bc the Assyrian Church is based in Chicago) blockclubchicago.org/2024/10/15/r...

1 week ago 3 0 0 0

Larry Ellison’s wife called in a favor after they bought up all the news channels

1 week ago 0 0 0 0

Right, and if we get to that point, forget needing Fetterman, you’d have people like John Kennedy out there demanding Trump’s resignation

1 week ago 3 0 1 0

In the scenario where Dems get anything like that kind of margin, we’d be so far beyond any normal political shift that it’s basically impossible to predict how the remaining Republicans would respond. Would mean Dems won places like SC and LA, not just TX and Ohio.

1 week ago 3 0 1 0

Burdick v. United States, 236 U.S. 79 (1915) said you can reject a pardon (there, because it would take away your fifth amendment right not to testify)

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