Aaron Astor: "Péter Magyar" is an almost too-perfect Hungarian name. It'd be like a guy named "Johnny America" running for President of the United States.

in their schedule versus Montréal’s 5, including the 4/11 TD Garden home game, Boston looks like a slight favorite. [4/4]

which indicate Ottawa as the favorite to finish 4th, but at this point, models don’t really matter – what does is who shows up to win and gets it done each night.//It’s a toss-up as to whether the Boston Fleet or the Montréal Victoire claim the top seed: with 6 games left [3/4]

will play each other a total of 5 times (OTT v NY once, TOR v NY twice, and TOR v OTT twice, including a game on 4/25, the last day of the regular season). I’ve modeled some playoff qualification probabilities for each team based on recent form, home ice, and strength of schedule, [2/4]

The charts in this image show that 5 of the 21 games remaining in the Professional Women’s Hockey League (PWHL) regular season are going to be played between the three teams most realistically vying for the fourth and final playoff spot: the Toronto Sceptres (TOR), the Ottawa Charge (OTT), and the New York Sirens (NY). OTT and NY will play one more game against each other; TOR will play two more against NY and two more against OTT (one of which will happen on the last day of the regular season). These five games represent 15 of the 63 standings points left to be contested in the PWHL regular season. According to the author’s simulation model, OTT, TOR, and NY have 49%, 39%, and 11% probabilities of earning the last playoff spot, respectively.

The race for the last PWHL playoff spot should be a thriller: 3 standings points separate 4th place from 6th (the Toronto Sceptres, 34; the Ottawa Charge, 33; the New York Sirens, 31), and the 3 teams realistically vying for 4th [1/4]

#pwhl
#pwhl2026regularseasonforecast

or even the New York Sirens (6.5%) or Vancouver Goldeneyes (5.0%) could move ahead and qualify instead with timely winning streaks.

Looking forward to seeing April’s games play out!

[5/5]

and finish with 43 standings points, they’ll only have a 50/50 chance of moving on to the playoffs. Here’s to next season.

• The Ottawa Charge have almost a 3 in 4 (74.5%) chance of earning the fourth and final playoff spot, but the Toronto Sceptres (14.5%) →

[4/5]

PWHL standings as of 31 March 2026: Boston (51 standings points), Montréal (46), Minnesota (42), Ottawa (33), Toronto (31), New York (27), Vancouver (27), and Seattle (22). Boston and Toronto have six games left to play; the other teams have seven apiece.

• With a 99.63% qualification probability, the Minnesota Frost would have to tank hard not to get into the playoffs.

• The Seattle Torrent haven’t been eliminated from the playoffs just yet, but even if they win all their remaining regular season games in regulation →

[3/5]

According to Cate’s simulation model, the Boston Fleet have a 71.2% probability of finishing the 2026 PWHL regular season in first place, the Montréal Victoire and Minnesota Frost are almost certain to qualify for the playoffs as well, and the Ottawa Charge are the front-runners for the fourth and final playoff spot with a 74.5% qualification probability. This snapshot shows these and related probabilities in charts.

• The Montréal Victoire haven’t clinched their spot yet, but even if they were to forfeit all their remaining games this regular season, they’d still have a 72 in 73 chance of qualifying, so basically, they’re in, too. →

[2/5]

According to Cate’s simulation model, the Boston Fleet have a 71.2% probability of finishing the 2026 PWHL regular season in first place, the Montréal Victoire and Minnesota Frost are almost certain to qualify for the playoffs as well, and the Ottawa Charge are the front-runners for the fourth and final playoff spot with a 74.5% qualification probability. This snapshot shows these and related probabilities in a table.

So, here are the latest PWHL regular-season forecast numbers from the Cateydel Desktop:

• The Boston Fleet have clinched their playoff spot and have a 71% chance of finishing the season in first place for the top playoff seed. →

#pwhl
#pwhl2026regularseasonforecast

[1/5]

Transgender women athletes banned from female events at Olympics by IOC Transgender women athletes are now excluded from the Olympics after the IOC agreed to a new eligibility policy on Thursday

despicable. fuck this.

A woman in a light purple wig sits in passenger seat of zamboni, holding a banner which states "no ICE, no more, no kings, no fear" in same font and colors as Minnesota Frost team iconography.

Absolute Queen behavior from the Zamboni Rider today at the Minnesota Frost game.
No ICE
No War
No Kings

No Fear.

The Minnesota Frost Rally Baby.

May your team rally to qualify for the playoffs, whichever team that is! In the spirit of rallying, here’s a picture of the Minnesota Frost Rally Baby on the GCA Jumbotron. 👶 [10/10]

with a 57.1% qualification probability. The Ottawa Charge and Vancouver Goldeneyes also have moderate chances of qualifying (37.4% and 28.0%), while the Toronto Sceptres and Seattle Torrent are the biggest long shots (10.5% and 10.3%). [9/10]

• The Fleet, Frost, and Victoire all have more than an 80% probability of finishing in the top 4 and making the playoffs (92.3%, 83.3%, and 80.9%). The New York Sirens stand a strong chance of making the playoffs for the first time in their 3-year history, [8/10]

but the median and most likely scenario points to a 46-point requirement. [7/10]

• Almost ¼ of the modeled scenarios say that the 4th-place team will need 46 standings points to make the playoffs. There are some scenarios in which the 4th-place team would need as many as 50 points (0.556) or as few as 42 points (0.467), [6/10]

• The Boston Fleet are the most likely to win the league with a 46.9% probability, followed by the Minnesota Frost (23.3%) and Montréal Victoire (18.5%). [5/10]

are up for debate, but provided you believe the assumptions, here’s who’s most likely to win the regular season, what it’ll take for a team to make the playoffs, and who’s most likely to qualify: [4/10]

Top half of image: a pie chart of probabilities of teams earning the top PWHL 2025-2026 playoff seed (Boston, 46.9%; Minnesota, 23.3%; Montréal, 18.5%; all other teams, 11.3%). Bottom half: a column graph of probabilities of teams qualifying for any of the four available playoff spots. Boston’s probability is highest at 92.9%, whereas Seattle’s is lowest at 10.3%.

simulates the outcomes of games based on overall winning percentages to date, head-to-head winning percentages to date, home ice advantage, and random factors, with more predictive weight toward recent games. My model’s assumptions (like any model’s assumptions) [3/10]

Distributions of 2025-2026 season-end standings point scenarios for each PWHL team, as forecast in a 10,000-scenario simulation. Boston, Minnesota, and Montréal have the highest probabilities of earning the top playoff seed at 46.9%, 23.3%, and 18.5%, respectively, and all three teams have at least an 80% chance of making the playoffs. New York, Ottawa, and Vancouver have the best chances of earning the fourth and final playoff spot with 57.1%, 37.4%, and 28.0% qualification probabilities.

since the last time I did one of these — last time, the teams didn’t even have names yet — but now that I’ve got bandwidth for it again, I’ve put together a new model to run 10,000 scenarios of possible endings to the current season. Each scenario [2/10]

PWHL standings as of February 23. The Boston Fleet have the league’s best record with 30 points out of a possible 42 in 14 games played (9 points above breakeven), whereas the Toronto Sceptres are the farthest out of first place with only 17 points out of a possible 48 in 16 games played (7 points below breakeven).

Folks, after a long hiatus due to health issues and day job demands, here’s a simulation-based forecast of Professional Women’s Hockey League (PWHL) playoff qualification probabilities for the 2025-2026 season. It’s been a while [1/10]

#pwhl
#pwhl2026regularseasonforecast

a man in a suit and tie is wearing a crown and saying yeah boyy ! Alt: Flavor Flav says YEAH BOOYYYEEEE,!!!

If the USA Women’s Hockey team wants a real celebration and invite ,,, I’ll host them in Las Vegas. Do some nice dinners and shows and good times.

I’m sure I can get a hotel and airline to help me out here and celebrate these women for real for real. 👍🏾👍🏾👍🏾

Jack Hughes: Go Woke, Get Gold.

JACK HUGHES 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸
rode the rollercoaster to end regulation, gets the golden goal

Megan Keller

MEGAN KELLER WITH A DIRTY DRAG MOVE AND A GOLD MEDAL WINNING GOAL 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸

Bad Bunny’s closing messages during his Super Bowl performance:

“The only thing more powerful than hate is love”
“Together, we are America”

I just got off the phone with Elizabeth's dad...she and her mom were freed tonight! Updated story: sahanjournal.com/education/co...

rep omar, liam ramos and his dad, rep castro!

liam and his dad are home!

and someone please get rep. castro a coat!