Anyone know whether today is a ‘ceasefire’ day or a ‘destroy your civilisation’ day yet?
Posts by Andrew Farrand
THREAD: The IEA global energy review 2026
* CO2 record high, but growth nearly ground to halt
* Clean energy shaved 3bn tonnes off CO2
* Fossil-fuel power pushed into reverse
* Age of Electricity "confirmed"
* "Extraordinary" solar growth
* Batteries up 40%
* EVs up 20%
1/10
It's not just that critical fertilizer stocks are stuck inside the Strait.
⭕ High fuel prices are incentivizing agriculture to focus on biofuels.
⭕ We're due for an El Niño mini warming cycle.
⭕ Trump and Elon slashed the food aid safety net.
The world is headed for a food crisis.
A new NBC News Decision Desk poll shows that 75% of all Democrats sympathize more with Palestinians than with Israelis.
It also shows that 74% of all of Gen Z, total, sympathizes more with Palestinians than with the Israelis.
The AI datacenter buildout is huge compared to past projects like the interstate highway system, the Apollo program, and the US railroad boom. But its still modest compared to global clean energy investment or oil and gas investment:
Rs were so proud of themselves for winning some Latino votes in 2024. Good luck holding onto them while publicly feuding with the Catholic Church!
Back in my hometown of Baltimore, the public water utility has announced plans to reduce water fluoridation because... its fluoride supplier in Israel has cut production because too many of its workers have been called up for military service.
Photograph of Pope Leo XIV and the Imam of the Grand Mosque of Algiers, viewed from behind, praying side-by-side in the Grand Mosque today, on the first day of Leo's visit to Algeria.
Just as inspiring as this image is the number of Algerian friends on my social media feeds sharing it today.
A little تعايش goes a long way in times like these.
Al Jazeera headline: BREAKING US naval blockade of Iran's ports has begun
A nation that fought its first wars to uphold freedom of navigation now decides to play pirate.
Happy 250th, America.
"Too many people are suffering in the world today. Too many innocent people are being killed. And I think someone has to stand up and say there’s a better way."
Simple as that.
Reminder that in addition to Russia/Ukraine issues, Orbán was also vetoing more sanctions against violent West Bank settlers
www.eunews.it/en/2026/02/2...
Thank you to Hungary's opposition and ordinary voters for handing so many of the worst people their worst day in quite a while 👏
Crazy figures from OECD on the 2025 int'l aid collapse:
⚫ Total aid fell 23.1% y-o-y, reaching 2015 levels.
⚫ The $174.3bn given was just 0.26% of donors' GNI, down from 0.34% in 2024.
⚫ Germany🇩🇪 surpassed the US🇺🇸 as world's largest donor ($29.1bn).
⚫ For first time ever, all top 5 donors cut aid.
People need to understand how bad, how devastating, how unjustified Israel’s bombardment of Beirut is — it’s not just yet another of the strikes that have become routinized. Catastrophic civilian harm and human suffering that simply must not be shrugged off as normal and forgotten. Stop the madness.
Hard to see Iran ceding control of Hormuz. Does that create a precedent?
Imagine a scenario where Trump seizes the Panama Canal and charges countries what he likes for using it. It fits with the Donroe Doctrine, his disregard for norms and int'l law, his love of tariffs and the leverage they bring.
"Once the links between citizen and conflict have been severed, you can tell yourself whatever story you want about who you are and what you are doing in the world."
www.nytimes.com/2026/04/04/m...
Best paragraph explaining why the Iron Dome does not actually save lives
As we head into whatever madness Trump+Hegseth have cooked up for the Gulf this weekend, your regular reminder that every time they talk about destroying another Iranian boat, base or missile launcher, *it is not a sign of strength but a sign the WH still doesn't grasp how asymmetric warfare works.*
The US and Israel can't possibly know the exact percentage - just look at how off Israel's estimates of Hezbollah's arsenal turned out to be right under its nose - but at least it's an admission that early estimates of Iran's remaining capabilities were way off.
Potentially even more game-changing, it gives Iran the possibility of capturing American airmen, something that would give them substantial new leverage in suing for peace.
Why did the US bomb a girls' school in Minab, killing 180 on the war's first day?
Palantir compressed bureaucracy into an "efficient" system, reducing targeting decisions to just 3.6 seconds – while removing the friction and human discretion that had been critical (but underappreciated) safeguards:
Since everyone is a moon fan now, may I interest you in moonmoons www.newscientist.com/article/2182...
Doesn’t get much clearer than that.
The Art of (undermining all the leverage you had that might have led to) the Deal.
NYT article text: People briefed on intelligence assessments said Mr. Trump’s frustration reflected the inability of the current Iranian government to coordinate a response and make a decision about the American peace proposals. Israeli officials have said the communication problems in Iran are not dissimilar to the problems with hostage negotiations during the Gaza war. In Gaza, offers from the United States and Israel went to Hamas leaders in Qatar, and then were conveyed in written notes to leaders in Gaza, a time-consuming process that introduced confusion.
Targeting Iranian decision-makers with airstrikes makes it hard for Iran to make decisions. Who knew?
Incredible stuff from the US and Israeli sides here: www.nytimes.com/2026/03/30/u...
"'France has (among) the lowest carbon footprints of any country in the world, and didn't get there because it wanted to save the planet. It got there to prevent precisely what is happening,' said Currie,... referring to energy supply concerns amid the Iran war."
Incredible to pick a war of choice and lose it within a month
Good for you for calling a spade a spade, I guess. But damn, the media sure sets the bar LOW.
52/ Amazing how so many ppl are down on green tech coz they live in the US & narrative is clean tech is gay & energy dominance blah
Remember how Trump always lies?
All the serious money -Jeffries in this case -telling their clients to double down on cleantech
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
The dipshits who made US colleges cancel their Middle East Studies departments are confused why everyone in the region seems to hate them no matter how many bombs and ignorant memes they drop. 🤡