Screenshot 2025-11-25 at 16.02.04.png
Just read this paper that revisits Weitzmanโs 1974 question on when policymakers should use taxes versus quotas to correct externalities in stochastic networked economies. It shows if shocks are positively correlated (like a global energy price jump) linear taxes win...
Just wrote some "High Performance" wild boostrap for SVARs in Rcpp and it is five times slower than Matlab. What a success bro ๐
Forthcoming in AEJ: Macroeconomics: "What Drives the Recent Surge in Inflation? The Historical Decomposition Roller Coaster" by Drago Bergholt, Fabio Canova, Francesco Furlanetto, Nicolรฒ Maffei-Faccioli, and Pรฅl Ulvedal. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
๐ง๐๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ
We also put together a tutorial package which allows you to apply the things we do in the paper yourself: doi.org/10.34894/KND...
#economics #accounting #finance #management #business #textualanalysis #nlp
6/7
My five cents on forecasting at central banks: Why do forecasts at central banks fail? - 1
open.substack.com/pub/rgpy/p/w...
Work on it as soon as I defense my thesis. looks nice
Always will be. Look at ECB forecasts ๐
Congratulations
How could I miss it ๐ซ I should read his threads b4 asking an R related question.
I wonder which R packages economists use for creating nice tables in R. GT is excellent but has very poor LATEX support. So far my favorite is tinytable. Thx. @andrew.heiss.phd
Congratulations to the ten finalists of this yearโs #YoungEconomistPrize!
They will showcase their research and discuss it with top academics and policymakers at this yearโs #ECBForum on Central Banking in Sintra, Portugal.
The overall winner will be awarded โฌ10,000 europa.eu/!WFFQJq
Okay, a little late in sharing. But in academic time, this is practically breaking news ๐ Our @nber.org Working Paper No. w33158 โEconomic Surveillance using Corporate Textโ was (somewhat recently) featured by Harvard Law School Forum on Corporate Governance corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2025/02/11/e...
Textual factors combine word embedding and topic modeling in a scalable, data-driven framework for text-based predictions, variable/exposure construction, and model interpretation, from Lin William Cong, Tengyuan Liang, Xiao Zhang, and Wu Zhu https://www.nber.org/papers/w33168
youtu.be/cfc5lhohGhg?...
Many Thanks. Looking forward to using it hopefully.
Hey @zed.dev. Do you have any plan to provide jupyter notebook support for zed editor.
Just started working on #Python version of Forecasting principles book. STL decomposition for today.
youtu.be/t3CvrPKAmEc?...
Confession: reading Piketty's capital book very first time. Worse is that I am reading German version as a non native speaker.
Just started working on #Python version of Forecasting principles book. STL decomposition for today.
youtu.be/t3CvrPKAmEc?...
Academic conference. You invented academic conference.
Very timely paper.
10 year ago, Oli Coibion ( @empctmacrotx.bsky.social ) and I had a paper in AEJ Macro about inflation expectations in the U.S. (www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...). We found that oil/gasoline prices strongly predict inflation expectations. This "iron law" continues to hold.
#inflation #EconSky
Alright! Tomasz' @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social workshop on Structural and Predictive Macro Analyses using the R Package bsvars โค๏ธ๐ for the Workshops for Ukraine ๐๐ by @dariia.bsky.social has just been released on youtube:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=2iO0...
It's good! ๐๐
#bsvars #rstats #econsky
Thanks #rstats โค๏ธโค๏ธโค๏ธ
I agree. But wages are also critical. Top AI minds would always prefer the US. Germany is not able to attract top minds with such a high tax burden and low level of net income.
Working with time series in R is a torture to me. Base R vs tidy principles are two different universes. Any suggestions ?
