It is remarkable how reliable this is. ONP was up, and it was a question of the future of populism, now they’re down and it’s their failure, the actual government is ambiguously kind of supporting a war, there’s inflation coming, fuel prices are up, but through it all the Greens stay on 12
Some of the best journalism on party finance and organisational structure I've seen in a long time. Much of it aligning with a known pattern over decades, but still interesting to see - and adds to my suspicion of PHON as a lasting force.
www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
“Mum, can we get a JD Vance, pleeeeeeease…..”
“No, we have JD Vance at home.”
This is a great thread that attests to how turning up, shaking hands, putting yourself in potentially awkward positions and projecting efficacy can really work for a politician.
If Matt Goodwin is speaking in Budapest, 5pm today, he has kept v quiet about being there. He posted extensively about Hungary's 2018, 2022 election results, but nothing at all on 2026
“Fidesz lost power so democratic backsliding isn’t really that much of a thing” is the worst, most complacent take possible. The minimalist definition of democracy as a system in which parties lose elections is a great place to start, but that’s all it is.
What a joy it was to wake up in Australia this morning to the news out of Hungary. A wonderful day for my Hungarian friends and colleagues, and a reminder for the rest of us that politics is always open and contingent, that nothing is destiny. What a great day.
The bleak trend in new openings in politics academic jobs should be clearly explained to prospective PhD applicants.
Landing an academic job is much, much harder than it was a few years ago.
It's always good to have a target market
If we are lucky, Victoria might actually be able to elect a properly democratic upper house this November. Time to put old mate Glenn Druery out of business
Adem Somyurek and Bernie Finn likely waiting in the wings
🚨What you won't read in the British media: on X, journalist @twelves.bsky.social has looked at Matt Goodwin's new book, Suicide of a Nation, and found that is packed full of fake quotes and material that appears to have been made up by AI.
That match up between lower and upper house votes - and a related drop in the Liberal vote (about 17% down in each) - tells you that something serious is going on. If this continues with the Farrar by-election (9 May) and Vic state election (28 Nov), we're probably talking a serious realignment
Following the SA election, keep seeing some version of "One Nation got 22% of the total vote, but only 0 or 1 or 2 seats haha". Sure. That's the electoral system. If we had proportional rep, people would not be laughing. They also got 24% in the Upper House, where they will win probably 3 seats.
Um, the second-biggest party in the polls right now is One Nation. Populism has arguably never been as "alive" in Australia as this very moment.
Like this piece says, preferential voting is great, and on balance, I think mandatory voting is probably a net positive. But they don't save you from populism.
The thing that "killed" populism in Australia in the late 90s and early 2000s for a whole is that John Howard adopted One Nation's policy platform, mainstreamed it. And that was a horrible development.
Um, the second-biggest party in the polls right now is One Nation. Populism has arguably never been as "alive" in Australia as this very moment.
Clive Palmer and Ralph Babet reunited at last
I really don't think after almost 30 years of One Nation that voters have suddenly gone "hey, I like them!" ON have done nothing particularly different. The story here is that the Coalition are in total political identity meltdown mode. ON are not the only party that should be capitalising on that.
I keep looking at these projections thinking that the one big thing that could arrest ON's rise is seriously-well-funded community independents in the McGowan mode in every single Coalition seat. But there are real limits to waiting on one guy/organisation to fund those for the good of lib democracy
One Nation (Hansonist)
One Nation (Ashbyist)
One Nation (Joyceist)
One Nation (Queensland)
One Nation (City/Country)
One Nation (MAGA)
One Nation (Hansonist-Joyceist-Katterist)
One Nation (Patriotic)
One Nation (United Patriots)
One Nation (Reform)
One Nation (Parliamentary)
One Nation (Bernardiist)
If this actually happened, within a year we would have more One Nation splinter parties than there are Nepali communist parties
Graph of average annual fees for BA/BSc or equivalent courses in the OECD showing England as the most expensive and Nordics the least
Anglosphere agony vs Nordic nirvana.
(PS Can't believe I'd never seen this graph before, so grateful to @stephenkb.bsky.social for sharing in his fab morning newsletter (www.ft.com/inside-polit...)
Matt Canavan elected as Nationals leader and Clive Palmer announces he will run again for Parliament. What a bumper day for right-wing populism in Australia.
I know I wrote the book on populism and performance, but god, I didn't mean the performance thing literally
🎉 New publication 😍 The 4th wave of the #farright is marked by #mainstreaming & #normalisation - but how can we distinguish between them? In our new article, @gefjonoff.bsky.social and I map the existing literature, introduce a conceptual framework & outline research avenues. doi.org/10.1017/S147...
Well done to Nigel Farage for convincing Matt Goodwin to run for an urban seat with a large ethnic minority population. I think we now can be sure who did the numbers for Revolt on the Right.
screenshot of GB News interview with Matt Goodwin with banner "Green Party Wins By-Election"
*deep breath* a hahah ahHahahahahHAhahahhahhhaaaaaaaaaheeheeeeee heehehe
