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The Distance Between Decision and Consequence How we engineered consequence out of view — and what happens when it returns.

The Nendaaghe Dena lived inside consequence.
The Silk Road stretched it. Amazon hid it.
The Strait of Hormuz brings it back.
Same mechanism. Every time.

uortego.substack.com/p/the-distan...

#SupplyChain #Geopolitics #Systems #TradeRoutes #Chokepoints #GlobalTrade #Risk #Infrastructure #Iran

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The Indo-Pacific strategy just sank in Iran#Block2 #chokepoints #continentalpowers #France #India #IndoPacificStrategy #Japan #maritimepowers #Military #Opinion #SouthKorea #StraitofHormuz #UK #USIncoPacificstrategy

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5/6 This massive deployment targets strategic #chokepoints like the Malacca Strait. The objective: securing energy supply lines while challenging the US Navy's historical dominance in deep-sea operations. ⛽🛡️

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5/6 Ce déploiement massif cible les #chokepoints (points de passage stratégiques) comme le détroit de Malacca. L'enjeu : garantir la sécurité des approvisionnements énergétiques tout en contestant la supériorité historique de l'US Navy dans les eaux profondes. ⛽🛡️

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Original post on mastodon.social

www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/mar/2... "These [food system] vulnerabilities are exacerbated by the use of just-in-time #supplychains & the funnelling of much of the world’s #trade through a number of #chokepoints. Some people have long […]

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China refers to its heavy reliance on the narrow strait of Malacca for energy imports and trade as the ‘Malacca dilemma’. Peter Hermes Furian / Shutterstock

China refers to its heavy reliance on the narrow strait of Malacca for energy imports and trade as the ‘Malacca dilemma’. Peter Hermes Furian / Shutterstock

[8/8] Au total, une vingtaine de points de passage structurent les flux mondiaux. Tous combinent risques géopolitiques, climatiques ou techniques. Cette concentration spatiale révèle la forte vulnérabilité des réseaux de la mondialisation. #HGGSP #geography #chokepoints #shipping

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From the strait of Hormuz to Malacca, global trade relies almost entirely on these five narrow waterways The vital strait of Hormuz has been effectively closed to shipping since the start of the conflict in Iran.

[1/8] Gokcay Balci (University of Leeds) et Ebru Surucu-Balci (University of Bradford) analysent la dépendance du commerce mondial à quelques détroits stratégiques. Ils montrent la vulnérabilité des flux face aux tensions géopolitiques et aux aléas climatiques. #HGGSP #geography #chokepoints

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#crude #oil
Disruptions to #trade caused by conflicts can also hurt activity but are less likely to meaningfully affect the US economy this time b/c it is less exposed to the most relevant #chokepoints, chart #GoldmanSachs

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Chokepoints - Wikipedia

I started reading the book #Chokepoints. What strikes me so far is that it’s difficult to predict just how devastating the reign of Trump 2 will prove to be on the global economy. Having an ignorant, thoroughly corrupt malignant Putin asset atop 🇺🇸, is so utterly dangerous. Yet no one is stopping him

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[6/6] En cas de blocage, les navires contournent le cap de Bonne-Espérance. Cette route plus longue augmente les coûts et les délais. Un rappel géographique majeur. 90% du commerce mondial circule par mer et quelques détroits suffisent à en contrôler l’essentiel. #geography #chokepoints #sealanes

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Détroits et canaux : quand la guerre menace les artères du commerce mondial GEOPOLITIQUE - Site d'information et revue papier animés par Jean-Baptiste Noé. Articles, cartes, podcasts, vidéos, proposés par nos experts.

[1/6] AFP - Quelques goulets d’étranglement structurent l’économie mondiale. Cinq passages concentrent l’essentiel du commerce maritime mondial. La guerre autour de l’Iran menace directement plusieurs de ces artères stratégiques. #geography #chokepoints #globaltrade #sealanes

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Mapped: The World’s Oil Chokepoints Oil supply chokepoints move over 90% of global maritime crude. See which routes—like Hormuz and Malacca—matter most.

#oil #chokepoints #Iran
www.visualcapitalist.com/mapped-the-w...

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Original post on mastodon.social

theconversation.com/the-oil-price-surge-is-j... "This narrow corridor the Strait of #Hormuz] is one of the world’s most #critical #chokepoints - around a 5th of the world’s #oil passes through […]

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Carte du trafic maritime à 8h00 UTC (c) Marine trafic

Carte du trafic maritime à 8h00 UTC (c) Marine trafic

[6/6] #Ormuz illustre la dépendance des économies globalisées à quelques points de passage. Un détroit étroit devient un levier géopolitique majeur. La mer est un espace stratégique où s’articulent commerce, énergie et conflit armé. #geography #maritimesecurity #chokepoints

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Ormuz : blocage du commerce maritime GEOPOLITIQUE - Site d'information et revue papier animés par Jean-Baptiste Noé. Articles, cartes, podcasts, vidéos, proposés par nos experts.

[1/6] AFP - Le trafic maritime via le détroit #Ormuz est suspendu par plusieurs armateurs. Cette artère stratégique concentre une part majeure du pétrole exporté vers l’Asie. 60 navires liés à la France sont bloqués. #geography #maritimesecurity #chokepoints

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Two destroyers could end China - Tom Bilyeu and Peter Zeihan

#Geopolitics #Maritime #Chokepoints

Original timestamp: 00:36:36

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Want to stop Trump bullying your country? Retaliate Faced with economic coercion, Europe has trodden carefully. My experience tells me that’s not enough

Want to stop Trump bullying your country? Retaliate.

Faced with economic coercion, Europe has trodden carefully. Edward Fishman tells the @theguardian.com that won't be enough: www.theguardian.com/books/2026/f...

#Chokepoints: How #Economic Warfare is Changing the World is out now.

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La zone du canal de Panama aujourd’hui. Tracé, écluses, lacs artificiels, axes et ponts, cartouche avec les flux maritimes régionaux. Carte de Jean-Benoît Bouron, Géoconfluences, 2026.

La zone du canal de Panama aujourd’hui. Tracé, écluses, lacs artificiels, axes et ponts, cartouche avec les flux maritimes régionaux. Carte de Jean-Benoît Bouron, Géoconfluences, 2026.

[8/8] L’avenir du canal dépend d’un triple équilibre. Maintenir la performance logistique, sécuriser l’accès à l’eau et préserver la souveraineté nationale. Le canal illustre les tensions entre mondialisation, limites environnementales et gouvernance territoriale. #geography #chokepoints #Panama

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Contrôle militaire des États-Unis sur la Zone du Canal de Panama (1903–1999). Carte de Géoconfluences, 2026.

Contrôle militaire des États-Unis sur la Zone du Canal de Panama (1903–1999). Carte de Géoconfluences, 2026.

[1/8] @geoconfluences.bsky.social Sylvain Domergue (Sciences Po Bordeaux) analyse le canal de Panama et montre comment ce corridor articule souveraineté nationale, flux mondiaux, rivalités de puissance et contraintes environnementales. #geography #chokepoints #Panama urlr.me/NAfgaq

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#Chokepoints by @edwardfishman.bsky.social spotted in Waterstones Islington! 📚

Chokepoints: How #Economic Warfare is Changing the World is published in paperback TODAY - get your copy to understand what’s happening to the world #economy.

Available at @waterstones.bsky.social: bit.ly/49LWuU7

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[5/5] La mer Rouge s’impose comme un goulet d’étranglement majeur, au même titre que Ormuz ou Malacca. Elle rappelle que les mers sont des espaces de circulation mais aussi de confrontation, exposant durablement le commerce mondial aux tensions géopolitiques. #HGGSP #geography #chokepoints

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Géopolitique des mers. La mer Rouge : nouveau goulet d’étranglement du commerce mondial « Le marin » diffuse chaque mois une chronique en partenariat avec le club Demeter, composée d’analyses des enjeux maritimes d’un pays ou d’une diagonale géostratégique. Dans ce douzième épisode, Clai...

[1/5] Thibaud Teillard analyse la crise de la mer Rouge, devenue depuis fin 2023 un point de tension majeur du commerce maritime. Les attaques contre les navires révèlent la dépendance de la mondialisation à quelques passages étroits, vulnérables et politisés. #HGGSP #geography #chokepoints

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🌏 How much do you really know about the world economy?

Urgent and razor-sharp, #Chokepoints by @edwardfishman.bsky.social is the essential guide to our Age of Economic Warfare. America weaponised economics - and now China, Europe and Britain are racing to follow.

🗓 Out 29 Jan in paperback

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How Small Waterways Make Big Powers Vulnerable? - Stratheia Maritime chokepoints underpin global trade and energy flows, yet their vulnerability poses major risks to economic and security stability.

From Hormuz to Malacca, maritime chokepoints expose how efficiency in globalization creates systemic risk.
#Chokepoints #Geopolitics #Globalization
stratheia.com/how-small-wa...

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[6/6] Un blocage de ces détroits forcerait la Chine à contourner l’Australie ou à congestionner Malacca côté malaisien, avec des coûts élevés. Cette géographie donne à Jakarta une réelle marge diplomatique face à Pékin et Washington. #geography #maritimetrade #chokepoints

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Indonesia’s sea lanes give it overlooked leverage over China | The Strategist The power dynamic between Indonesia and China is more complex than the one-way economic dependence that some experts assume, since China depends on Indonesian waters for ships carrying its exports and...

[1/6] Alfin Febrian Basundoro et Trystanto Sanjaya montrent que la relation entre Indonésie et Chine ne relève pas d’une simple dépendance économique. La configuration maritime indonésienne confère à Jakarta un pouvoir stratégique discret mais central.
#geography #maritimetrade #chokepoints

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“The future belongs to whoever controls the narrow places where the world must pass.”

uortego.substack.com/p/while-kiss...

#Geopolitics #Chokepoints #China #Greenland #USA #Russia

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While Kissinger Slept: A Map He Never Saw The Great Game Moves from Borders to Bottlenecks

While Kissinger slept, power moved from borders to bottlenecks — chokepoints, cables, canals, fabs. The real map of 21st-century power is the narrow places everything must pass through.
uortego.substack.com/p/while-kiss...

#geopolitics #chokepoints #supplychains #China #Greenland #USA #Russia

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Aunque el petróleo venezolano pasaba por Malaca, China lo necesitaba. EEUU acaba de demostrar: controlo las rutas Y los recursos. Doctrina Monroe: sigue vigente.
Fin del hilo actualizado 🧵⚓ #Geopolítica #ChokePoints #Venezuela #Taiwan #Panamá #Groenlandia #DoctrinaMonroe​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

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Economic risk due to maritime chokepoint disruptions

a The economic risk for each maritime chokepoint, broken down by the economic loss type. The chokepoints are grouped in three categories for readability; high ( > USD100 million per year); medium (USD10-100 million per year) and low ( < USD10 million per year). b The economic risk as a percentage of the total maritime trade value of a country, highlighting countries with the largest relative economic risk. The hatched pattern indicates countries not included in the analysis. The basemap is from GADM.

Economic risk due to maritime chokepoint disruptions a The economic risk for each maritime chokepoint, broken down by the economic loss type. The chokepoints are grouped in three categories for readability; high ( > USD100 million per year); medium (USD10-100 million per year) and low ( < USD10 million per year). b The economic risk as a percentage of the total maritime trade value of a country, highlighting countries with the largest relative economic risk. The hatched pattern indicates countries not included in the analysis. The basemap is from GADM.

[8/8] La sécurité des échanges mondiaux repose sur une lecture géographique fine des réseaux maritimes. Renforcer la résilience suppose diversification des routes, coopération internationale et anticipation des risques climatiques et politiques.
#geography #maritimetrade #chokepoints

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