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๐ŸŽพ Australian Open 1R Emilio Nava vs Kyrian Jacquet Why Jacquet +1.5 Sets Is the Most Rational Play

Jacquet doesnโ€™t need the upset.
He just needs to compete.

+1.5 sets โ‰ˆ 62%
open.substack.com/pub/quantspo...

#AustralianOpen #TennisAnalysis #TennisBetting
#Underdog #DataDriven
#EloRatings #SetHandicap
#NavaVsJacquet

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Only 1 of Rapid Wienโ€™s last 7 head coaches outperformed expectations โ€” and itโ€™s not who youโ€™d think.

Maybe the real problem isnโ€™t the coaches...

#SKRapid #BundesligaAT #EloRatings

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Cue the maths: predicting snooker's next champion with Elo Elo, part 2: How maths, models and millions of simulations might tell us who lifts the trophy

The #WorldSnookerChampionship is about to break off! ๐Ÿคฉ I've calculated the #EloRatings of all #Snooker players and used it to predict their winning odds. Check out who's the favourite to win at the #Crucible: blog.recommend.games/posts/world-...
#147sf #SnookerWM

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Elo ratings explained How to measure players' skills in games

Have you ever wondered what those #EloRatings on #BoardGameArena are and what they mean? I've explained them at exhausting length in my latest blog post: blog.recommend.games/posts/elo-ra... #BoardGames #Elo

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๐Ÿ”ฎ UCL Predictions Before Final Round

โœ… Top 8: Liverpool, Barcelona, Arsenal secured. Inter 98.41%.
๐Ÿ”ฅ Villa, Atalanta, Lille, Feyenoord fighting for spots.

๐Ÿ”’ Top 24: PSV locked. Dinamo, City, PSG, Benfica in the battle.
โŒ Out: Leipzig, Zvezda, Salzburg, etc.

#UCL #FootballStats #EloRatings

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๐Ÿ“Š #UCL Simulation After 6 Rounds
Key insights:
โŒ Young Boys, Slovan, Bologna, Leipzig are 100% out.
Slim chances for Sturm, Salzburg, Girona, Zvezda, Shakhtar, Sparta in Top 24.
โœ… Liverpool secured Top 8. Arsenal, Barรงa, Inter close.
#footballanalysis #championsleague #eloratings #uclplayoffs #uefa

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๐Ÿ”ฅ EFL Championship Simulations 2024/25 ๐Ÿ”„โšฝ๏ธ

๐Ÿ† Title Race:
Burnley ๐ŸŸฃ 31.38%
Sheffield Utd ๐Ÿ”ด 30.96%
Leeds ๐ŸŸก 28.39%
๐Ÿšจ Relegation:
Portsmouth 48.27%
Plymouth 39.26%
QPR 33.34%
Who wins the title, and who goes down? ๐Ÿ’ญ
#Championship
#Football
#Simulations
#EloRatings
#PromotionBattle
#RelegationBattle

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๐Ÿ”ฅ Premier League Simulations 2024/25 ๐Ÿ”„โšฝ๏ธ

๐Ÿ† Title Race:
Liverpool 72.79%, Arsenal 14.57%, Man City 8.85%.

๐Ÿšจ Relegation:
Southampton 87.78%, Ipswich 70.68%.

Who takes the title? Who goes down? ๐Ÿ’ญ

#PremierLeague #Football #Simulations #EloRatings #Liverpool #RelegationBattle

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๐Ÿ“Š Europa League Simulation after 5 Rounds ๐Ÿ“Š

After 5 rounds, I ran 10,000 simulations using Elo ratings.

Visuals reveal point thresholds for Top 8 (advancement) & Top 24 (qualification). ๐Ÿ“ˆโšฝ

How's your team doing? Dive in and explore the insights!

#EuropaLeague #EloRatings #footballstats #UEL

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๐Ÿ“Š Conference League Simulation after 4 Rounds

After 4 rounds of group matches, I ran 10,000 simulations using Elo ratings.

Check out the visualizations for point thresholds needed to reach Top 8 (playoff advancement) and Top 24 (qualification).

๐Ÿ“ˆ #ConferenceLeague #EloRatings #footballstats

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La Liga

๐Ÿ”„ This weekโ€™s updated La Liga projections are in!
๐Ÿ“Š Teams fighting for European spots.
๐Ÿ“‰ Relegation drama intensifies.
๐ŸŽฏ Surprises at the top of the table?

Explore the results in the visuals!
#LaLiga #EloRatings #SeasonSimulation #FootballStats #Barcelona #Realmadrid #Atleti #Betis #Girona

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Serie A

๐Ÿ”„ Updated Serie A projections for the 2024/2025 season!
๐Ÿ”ฅ The race for the Scudetto is heating up.
๐Ÿ“‰ Relegation battles are as unpredictable as ever.
๐Ÿ“ˆ Can Napoli keep their momentum?

Visuals tell the story!
#SerieA #EloRatings #FootballStats #SeasonSimulation #Inter #Lazio #Atalanta

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Bundesliga

๐Ÿ”„ Fresh projections for the Bundesliga season (2024/2025)!
๐Ÿ“ˆ European qualification spots up for grabs.
๐Ÿ“‰ Intense fight to avoid relegation.
๐Ÿ”ฅ Can [mention a notable team] stay on top?

Check out the visuals for details!
#Bundesliga #EloRatings #SeasonSimulation #FootballAnalysis #Bayern

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Ligue 1

๐Ÿ”„ Updated projections for Ligue 1 โ€“ 2024/2025!
๐Ÿ“Š How are teams shaping up for Europe?
๐Ÿ“‰ Relegation zone battles remain tight.
๐ŸŽฏ Surprising contenders at the top?

Dive into the numbers in the visuals!
#Ligue1 #FootballAnalysis #EloRatings #SeasonSimulation #PSG #Monaco #Lille #Nice #Lens

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