Experts debate presenting Bayesian likelihood ratios to juries; call for transparency and validation At a technical panel, researchers and practitioners debated whether forensic experts should present Bayesian likelihood ratios in court, focusing on juror comprehension, model uncertainty, instrument differences and the need for clear documentation and empirical validation.

Forensic experts are grappling with how to present complex Bayesian likelihood ratios to juries, emphasizing the need for transparency and empirical validation to avoid misleading conclusions.

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#US #JurorComprehension #CitizenPortal #StatisticalValidation #EvidenceTransparency

Experts at NIST panel urge transparency and caution in using likelihood ratios for forensic testimony NIST-affiliated statisticians and an Innocence Project attorney debated whether likelihood ratios should be used in court, stressing model uncertainty, the need for robust data and disclosure, and warning that courts may exclude or undermine such evidence without transparency.

Experts warn that relying on likelihood ratios in forensic evidence could be misleading without robust data and transparency.

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#US #CitizenPortal #ProbabilisticTestimony #EvidenceTransparency #ForensicScience #ModelUncertainty

Donut wheel of transparency results for the National Planning Policy Framework from the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government. The scores (0-3) were 2 for diagnosis, 3 for proposal, 2 for implementation, 2 for testing+evaluation.

The MHCLG National Planning Policy Framework has PASSED our #EvidenceTransparency test.

The policy clearly explained the reasoning behind the proposed planning changes.

Read here 👉 senseaboutscience.org/transparency...

Donut wheel of transparency results for the Get Britain Working White Paper from the Department for Work and Pensions, Department for Education and HM Treasury. The scores (0-3) were 2 for diagnosis, 1 for proposal, 1 for implementation, 0 for testing+evaluation.

The DWP, DfE and HM Treasury's Get Britain Working White Paper FAILED our #EvidenceTransparency test.

If we can’t see the evidence behind policies, we can’t follow the motivation, decide whether we agree, or judge whether they work.

Read here 👉 senseaboutscience.org/transparency...

Donut wheel of transparency results for the Water (Special Measures) Bill from the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs. The scores (0-3) were 3 for diagnosis, 2 for proposal, 3 for implementation, 3 for testing+evaluation.

The Defra Water (Special Measures) bill has PASSED our #EvidenceTransparency test.

The bill clearly laid out the rationale behind its decision making and noted the benefits and costs of the proposal.

Read here: senseaboutscience.org/transparency...