#KissYourAssGoodbye

I’ve followed oceanic heat for 46 years and this is the scariest collection of maps I’ve ever seen. Ocean Heat Content in the North Pacific now (1st image) vs 1 year ago (2nd image) has more than doubled. Borneo is in the lower left corner. Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTAs) for the date now (3rd image) vs 1 year ago (4th image) reveal much less warming. This makes it crystal clear that the tropical Pacific Ocean just below the surface is warming at an incredible rate and much faster than the actual sea surface. The depth profile of water temperature anomalies for the date as of April 3 along the equator in the Pacific compared to a 1980 - 2000 average baseline (last image) verifies this conclusion - and notice there is even more subsurface heat just north of the equator (1st image). First 2 maps from: Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric and Earth Science, University of Miami: https://isotherm.rsmas.miami.edu/heat/webp/pacific.php 3rd and 4th maps from: earth.nullschool.net 5th image from: U.S. Climate Prediction Center, NOAA: CPC.ncep.noaa.gov

Bunch of slow boiling frogs, only not so slow anymore.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/1GjPqk...

The main reason g l o b a l w a r m i n g is accelerating and will continue to accelerate is that ocean heat uptake, especially in the uppermost 300 meters of ocean depth, has gone into hyperdrive in just the last few years - since 2020. The ocean absorbs about 90% of the growing Earth Energy Imbalance but in recent years more and more of this heat absorption has shifted to the uppermost layer so that the ocean, which was once a vast heat sink has now become a heat source for the atmosphere. This fundamental shift was not predicted and is now greatly accelerating atmospheric warming, along with associated increasing water vapor (a powerful greenhouse gas) on average over the oceans. Ocean heat uptake in the uppermost 300 meters is exceptionally fast, with this surface layer absorbing approximately 40% of the total excess heat accumulated in the ocean since 1960. This upper 300 meter layer acts as the primary heat sink for anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, experiencing faster warming rates than deeper layers. The warming in this layer has accelerated much faster in just the last few years due to its more rapid thermal and thus density stratification as well as a thinning mixed layer immediately below the surface. So now the ocean surface has become a new primary heat source for the atmosphere. [One ZJ is 10 to the 21st power joules which is roughly 10 to 20 times the total annual global electricity production.] The annual average ocean heat uptake by the top 2,000 meters of the global ocean for the years: 1958–1985: 2.9 ± 0.5 ZJ per year 1986–2022: 9.2 ± 0.4 ZJ per year 2007–2022: 10–13 ZJ per year 2020 to 2021: 19 ± 6 ZJ 2021 to 2022: 18 ± 8 ZJ. 2024: 16 ZJ more than in 2023. 2025: 23 ZJ more than in 2024. The 2025 surge in ocean heat uptake was driven by a combination of long-term human-caused factors and specific atmospheric shifts: 1. The continued rise in atmospheric concentrations of CO2, methane, and nitrous oxide remained the fundam…

Climate models did not predict these changes. It’s the rate of warming which is worsening heating of the uppermost ocean and sea surface. There isn’t time for the heat to mix deeper and now it can’t because the upper layer has become too density stratified and the mixed layer has thinned so much that the warm water remains largely trapped in the uppermost layer including the sea surface. We will soon get the data from 2025 showing just how much the heat uptake has continued to shift to the uppermost layer, specifically the upper 300 meter layer (general data for the upper 2,000 meters is already available and that was used to calculate the 2025 ocean heat uptake). This will allow us to more accurately predict how much more rapid atmospheric warming will soon get. But we already know the warming rate will be far above the most recent predictions. IMO we are now looking at more than 2 degrees C (3.6 degrees F) of global average atmospheric 2 meter height warming by about 2030 over the 1880-1920 baseline, possibly even an astounding though now realistic 4 degrees C ( 7.2 degrees F) depending on whether the now expected Super El Niño (already occasionally producing + 6 degree C (+ 10.8 F) subsurface temperature anomalies in parts of the equatorial Pacific) with potentially record shattering intensity fully materializes over 2026, much more than 3 degrees C (5.4 degrees F) by 2040, possibly 6 degrees C (10.8 degrees F) soaring to ~10 degrees C thereafter. Warming is now surprisingly fast because we vastly underestimated how fast the feedback cascade would come and how profoundly many of the feedbacks compound each other. IMO the net result of all foreseeable feedbacks including unsurvivable dew point temperatures, increased storminess, catastrophic floods as well as droughts, water shortages, crop failures, famine, disease, loss of other species, ecosystem collapse, rising economic inequality, political unrest, social breakdown, wars over disappearing resources, go…

We have opened Pandora’s box and there is no going back. We must immediately and drastically reduce our greenhouse gas emissions to have any hope of curtailing the worst impacts. The longer we delay the more hopeless it will be.

None of the really extreme climate impacts we've been seeing were ever forecast. Any of the optimistic messaging is based on woefully underestimated numbers. We are entering hell with no off ramp.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/p/1AYX...

In an extraordinary part of the climate change story the Agulhas Ocean Current continues to strengthen and is now far stronger than the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) even at great distance in the Agulhas extension current far to the southeast from the Cape of Good Hope. The ACC still overall carries more water in a much broader current but the Agulhas is now pumping an extraordinary amount of increasingly warm water including increasing leakage from the overheating southern South Atlantic into the South Indian Ocean and from there increasingly directly into the Southern Ocean, massively heating it around Antarctica. The ACC is classically characterized as about 5 times stronger than the Agulhas (and the Gulf Stream) but that appears to be quickly changing. The consequences for Antarctic ice and global climate are dire. Image: Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTAs) for the date in the Southern Ocean between Africa and Antarctica as of yesterday from earth.nullschool.net with an SSTA of + 5.3 degrees C (+ 9.5 degrees F) in an eddy of the eastern extension of the Agulhas where it joins the ACC thousands of kilometers out in the open ocean.

This is never in the news, never once mentioned on The Weather Network yet this is what's coming for us all. It's highly unlikely you're going to survive this let alone your children.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/19hJ2S...

Record high surface ocean heat is circumpolar around Antarctica now (first image). Make no mistake, the only thing keeping the yellow hot cells ( + 3.0 degree C (+ 5.4 F) (and over)) anomalies away from the west and east coasts (they were right against the coasts until ~6 weeks ago) is the accelerating sea ice and ice shelf melting flooding the sea surface with colder, fresh meltwater which is lighter than seawater and remains stable at the surface. Most of the sea ice has vanished now and so much is gone that Emperor Penguins are dying en masse because many have no sea ice to rest on which is required during annual molting. Emperor Penguins are the tallest penguins in the world at about 3.6 to 4.3 feet (well over a meter) when full grown (2nd image). Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTAs) for the date above + 3 C (+ 5.4 F) are in yellow (first image, latest data from yesterday at earth.nullscholl.net ). An SSTA of + 8 degrees C (+ 14.4 degrees F) above the average for the date is shown in the tiny green circle in the image several hundred km south of the Agulhas Current (far south of the southern end of Africa). The actual SST at this location is now 21.1 degrees C (70.0 degrees F) where the average for the date is 13.1 C (55.6 F). SSTs and surface air temperatures are surging around Antarctica because of polar amplification of g l o b a l w a r m I n g and changing ocean currents in response to this warming which is bringing heat up from the deep ocean where it was mostly stored until recently. Now the excess heat in the growing Earth Energy Imbalance (which is due to sea ice loss year to year and increasing uppermost ocean stratification and thinning of the mixed layer) is accumulating at the sea surface instead, which is transferring more heat to the atmosphere in an unforeseen severe feedback loop, greatly accelerating planetary warming.

SSTs and surface air temperatures are surging around Antarctica because of polar amplification of g l o b a l w a r m I n g and changing ocean currents in response to this warming which is bringing heat up from the deep ocean where it was mostly stored until recently. Now the excess heat in the growing Earth Energy Imbalance (which is due to sea ice loss year to year and increasing uppermost ocean stratification and thinning of the mixed layer) is accumulating at the sea surface instead, which is transferring more heat to the atmosphere in an unforeseen severe feedback loop, greatly accelerating planetary warming. We are now on course to reach 3 degrees C (5.4 degrees F) above average global 2 meter height (compared to the 1850 to 1900 baseline) air temperature by 2030 and 4 degrees C (7.2 degrees F) by 2040. Most climate scientists believe a 3 degree C rise puts us on a course to near human extinction because it will trigger a feedback cascade into runaway warming of ~ 10 degrees C (18 degrees F) by the 22nd century

Just in case you were wondering if your shiny new solar panels were going to save us all, they're not. We're fucked.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/p/1EP9...

"Key NIH research institute told to remove references to 'pandemic preparedness'

This'll end well.

#healthcare #pandemic #NIH #kissyourassgoodbye

It is absolutely stunning that the North Pacific Marine Heat Wave (NP MHW) still maintains Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTAs) for the date of + 5.6 degrees C (+ 10.1 degrees F) in mid February way out in the middle of the North Pacific and a good 700 km north of the Kuroshio Extension ocean current. The NP MHW appears now to no longer be an annual oscillation but rather a self reinforcing - via synergistically nonlinearly amplifying feedbacks - permanent feature of the ocean atmosphere system in our warming world. It looks like SSTAs could reach over + 10 C (+ 18 F) by late summer (this happened last summer but much nearer northern Japan and over just a small area) over a large area of the North Pacific which would be catastrophic for the ocean biome - and for weather and climate in much of the northern hemisphere mid latitudes next winter - the intensity of mid latitude cyclones would go off the charts.

Image: Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTAs) for the date, yesterday, from earth.nullschool.net. Data in lower left from tiny green circle in mid upper part of image.

The wheels are off the cart. We're not going to reverse or stop this. Human activity provided the fuel to ramp this up while destroying the natural systems that maintained balance. Our life support is collapsing.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/17UFFb...

This is g l o b a l w a r m i n g. Temperatures will be 10 to 20 degrees C (18 to 36 degrees F) above average in most of the U.S. on Christmas Day. Then temperatures will plunge to 6 to 16 degrees C below average on New Year’s Day in the Midwest and surrounding areas. These enormous temperature swings with a large bias to warming will only worsen in future years. But the scariest thing in these maps is actually the warming of both polar regions, especially in Antarctica. The red and orange oval in East Antarctica is a new but persistent feature of the last 2 months. It’s part of huge changes occurring in the Southern Ocean that will massively accelerate sea ice and ice shelf melting and trigger glacial calving in Antarctica as well as massively accelerate warming worldwide. We are headed to 2 degrees C (3.6 F) of global average warming by about 2030. Warming will continue to accelerate unless we throw everything we’ve got at reducing our greenhouse gas emissions to zero by then. If we can eliminate fossil fuel burning, stop consuming red meat, and re-wild half of all agricultural lands then we might be able to limit warming to about 2 to 3 degrees C. Otherwise we are on a course to 8 to 14 degrees C or more of warming by next century. At 2 degrees C humanity’s future is bleak. At over 3 degrees C it’s extinction.

We're fucked is the basic message here. No there's nothing 8 billion of us can do. At this stage there's nothing any number of us could do.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/1JvWWe...

Temperature anomalies for the date are predicted to be up to about + 28 C (+ 50 F) above average for the date in large parts of the Arctic and in the Indian Ocean side of the Antarctic on Christmas Eve. Massively increasing storminess and warm air intrusion in the polar regions is dramatically accelerating warming and ice melt. As more sea ice melts, albedo drops and lighter meltwater freshens the uppermost ocean layer making it density stratified and stable with much less vertical mixing which causes the surface layer to warm faster and it in turn further warms the atmosphere. No one predicted this massive rate of warming of both polar regions. The warming rate in Antarctica, not just in the air over the ice but particularly in the sea around and under it - because about half of the continent is sea between the islands under the ice sheet - brings massively accelerating and catastrophic sea level rise because of the vulnerability of under sea based glaciers.

Temperature anomalies for the date are predicted to be up to about + 28 C (+ 50 F) above average for the date in large parts of the Arctic and in the Indian Ocean side of the Antarctic on Christmas Eve. Massively increasing storminess and warm air intrusion in the polar regions is dramatically accelerating warming and ice melt. As more sea ice melts, albedo drops and lighter meltwater freshens the uppermost ocean layer making it density stratified and stable with much less vertical mixing which causes the surface layer to warm faster and it in turn further warms the atmosphere. No one predicted this massive rate of warming of both polar regions. The warming rate in Antarctica, not just in the air over the ice but particularly in the sea around and under it - because about half of the continent is sea between the islands under the ice sheet - brings massively accelerating and catastrophic sea level rise because of the vulnerability of under sea based glaciers.

"No one predicted this massive rate of warming of both polar regions."

In other words, the trend of huge underestimation of impacts in the climate system continues. We're toast.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/1D7oPt...

AI is giving workers the illusion of expertise — and quietly making them worse at their jobs, researchers say Researchers say that overrelying on AI can dull critical thinking, distort expertise, and disrupt how workers learn and advance.

A fitting addition to the end of everything. This should speed our trip over the cliff right along.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.businessinsider.com/ai-making-wo...

Santa says we’ve all been very naughty so he may not make it out of the North Pole Christmas Eve because temperatures there will be more than + 28 degrees C (+ 50 degrees F) above the average for the date so his sleigh may not even budge in the slush. Image: forecast 2 meter air temperature anomalies for the date on December 24 from GFS model via ClimateReanalyzer.org by Sam Carana

HOHOHO Merry #kissyourassgoodbye mas.

www.facebook.com/share/17qcrg...

The widely used RCP8.5 pathway scenario used in “worst case” global climate modeling underpredicted the area of + 5 degrees C (+ 9 degrees F) to + 12 degrees C (+ 21.6 degrees F) average of temperature anomalies for the date for 90 days running ending November 30 across the Arctic by more than a factor of 3. It also underpredicted the maxima by about 4 degrees C (7.2 degrees F). December - February will likely be worse. Both the north and south polar regions are warming so rapidly now that they will likely be sea ice free in summer by 2027 if not 2026. The drop in albedo will further accelerate g l o b a l w a r m i n g. We have reached the point that we have no choice but to implement stratospheric aerosol injection without delay to prevent catastrophic planetary wide warming.

Congratulations we did it. We're officially fucked. At best stratospheric injections delay our extinction while we drive home the final coffin nails. At worst strat injections are the final nail. Stop breeding for fuck sake.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/17meX6...

You know, I was never much of a fan to begin with, but now these guys can definitely KISS my ass

#KissYourAssGoodbye

Text is for all images The Kara Sea in the Arctic Ocean north of Siberia on average begins to freeze over in September in the northern parts and October in the southern parts, with the entire sea usually ice-covered by December. This year it may not freeze at all. Some of the largest stores of frozen methane hydrates in the world lie on the shallow sea floor here. The shallowest parts of the Kara Sea are in its central and southeastern regions, with over 40% of the sea being less than 50 meters (160 feet) deep. Current Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTAs) for the date in the Kara Sea are up to + 3.0 degrees C ( + 5.4 F). September saw anomalies for the date of + 6 to + 15 C (+ 10 to + 27 F). Saltwater in the ocean freezes at about - 2 degrees C (+ 28 degrees F) depending on exact salinity so the current anomalies for the date are about + 5 C (9.4 F) above the freezing point. The Kara Sea floor has also warmed, primarily due to the influx of warmer Atlantic currents and the thawing of subsea permafrost. The sea floor in the western part of the sea has seen the most significant warming, with bottom sediments reaching temperatures up to + 5.0 C (+ 9.4 F) in some areas, which is consistent with the loss of ice-bearing permafrost at those sea floor locations. Methane releases to the atmosphere are increasing and atmospheric values measured here are significantly above the global average. The warming power of methane in the atmosphere is about 80 times that of carbon dioxide over the first 20 years. The South Kara Sea shelf, particularly offshore from the Yamal Peninsula, contains the largest known deposits of seafloor methane in the Kara Sea. This is an area of massive seabed methane escape, primarily due to thawing subsea permafrost, with extensive gas releases observed over an area of at least 7,500 square km in water depths greater than 20 meters, according to Phys.org and AGU Publications. Image: Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies for the date on 23 Nove…

Everything is just fine, we don't need ice on the Arctic ocean anyway.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/1SvBPG...

Text is for both images The problem here is Blue Ocean Events (BOEs) (less than 1 million square km of sea ice remaining) at both poles are looking increasingly likely in 2026. Arctic sea ice coverage and especially thickness has decreased significantly year to year and Antarctic sea ice is thinning rapidly now with warmer water rising from below. A Double BOE introduces unprecedentedly large non linearities into the trend. And the next El Niño adds what could this time be a quasi permanent step increase of up to about + 0.3 degree C (+ 0.5 F) if it is intense which looks increasingly likely - also in 2026. I believe warming on the order of half a degree C in 2026 alone is a significant possibility. I hope I’m wrong because otherwise the curve will take off much more steeply and we could reach + 3 C (+ 6 F) of warming two decades earlier - in the 2030s. Once we hit + 2.5 C (+ 5 F) there is probably no stopping a rise to + 8 C (+ 14 F) or higher. + 3 C is generally thought by most climate scientists to be human extinction level warming. On the other hand, if renewables switch out fossils as aggressively as possible and most of us go vegetarian, we stop demanding McMansions and multiple intercontinental jet trips each year, etc. AND we find and implement a large scale atmospheric carbon sequestration solution, we could bend the curve slowly down. But we have no time to waste. If we do see on the order of a + 0.5 C rise in 2026, I think we will have no choice but to implement large scale stratospheric aerosol injection to forestall catastrophic warming. That will come with other risks to life on Earth many of which are as yet unknown.

John is trying really hard to be optimistic here. Unfortunately the only thing we'll possibly do large scale is the stratospheric injection, which will likely just be another death nail.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/1Ddknv...

For both images The Southern Hemisphere mid latitude Marine Heat Waves are intensifying rapidly as is meltwater from sea ice around Antarctica. These are Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTAs) FOR THE DATE and just 7 days apart so any increase is more than seasonal warming. At this rate of far above seasonal warming we are headed to a first ever recorded Blue Ocean Event (less than 1 million square kilometers of sea ice remaining) around Antarctica by March 2026. An El Niño which could reach record intensity looks increasingly likely by summer 2026. A first ever recorded Arctic Blue Ocean Event looks increasingly likely by October 2026. The rate of of g l o b a l w a r m i n g in 2026 will likely set a record by year’s end. We are in a world of trouble. We must drive down global greenhouse gas emissions to net zero and then well below zero - post haste - or the planet will not be habitable for humans within our childrens’ lifetimes. Image 1. Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTAs) for the date on 21 November 2025, looking down over the South Pole Image 2. Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTAs) for the date on 14 November 2025, looking down over the South Pole Images from earth.nullschool.net

We really should have gotten our heads out of our asses decades ago.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/1BjQWu...

Text covers all three images. The warm Agulhas Current off the southern end of Africa is one of the most powerful boundary currents in the world. It typically flows southward along the east coast of Africa, turns west off the southern tip of Africa and then mostly doubles back on itself and turns east, only contributing a minor portion of its flow to the more southerly Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) which is 5 x larger than any other current in the world. But that isn’t happening now. Instead almost all of the Agulhas is flowing directly into the ACC. What’s really concerning though is that the Agulhas has been running much warmer than usual - and it is usually quite warm to begin with. This massive additional heat flux into the ACC is occuring as multiple large marine heat waves are rapidly building just north of the ACC, particularly in the SW and SE South Pacific and the SE South Atlantic. Virtually the entire ACC is now significantly anomolously warm for the date. This has dire implications for increasing sea ice melt around Antarctica. We appear to be headed toward the first ever Blue Ocean Event (less than 1 million square km of sea ice remaining) which was expected to first occur in the Arctic and by a wide margin in number of years. But it’s becoming ever more likely that a BOE will occur first in Antarctica - and we could be just 3 months away form it. A BOE is a BFD for global climate because open ocean absorbs vastly more solar radiation than does sea ice. But whats even worse is a BOE in the Antarctic will hasten one in the Arctic. The g l o b a l w a r m i n g impacts of just an Antarctic BOE will be massive and much greater than from one in the Arctic. That’s because the sea ice around Antarctica extends much further equatorward than in the Arctic so the solar radiation is over a larger area and gets more intense sunlight. But the impacts of both will be even worse - they will be catastrophic to habitability of many species including that…

An El Niño is expected by summer according to the U.S. Climate Prediction Center. El Niños can raise global average surface air temperatures by several tenths of a degree C or more. The coming one could be intense judging by the unusually warm water in place not only in the western tropical Pacific but also in other massive marine heat waves in the North Pacific centered at about 43 degrees North extending all across the North Pacific and in the SW South Pacific extending from Australia and New Zealand roughly a third of the way across the South Pacific. These MHWs will intensify the El Nino greatly. All of these MHWs are intensifying except for the North Pacific one but it is retaining much of its surface heat despite the approach of winter because the heat extends quite deep and it will warm back up again by late next spring. We are heading into uncharted waters. Image: current Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTAs) for the date including + 6.3 degrees C (+ 11.3 degrees F) in the open ocean well offshore of the southern end of Africa (from earth.nullschool.net). The blue color around Antarctica shows cooler than average for the date water because of cold melt water at the surface from both accelerating melt from Antarctic sea ice and accelerating continental glacial melt.

"We are heading into uncharted waters." Loosely translates to #kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/1AAuhX...

Text covers both images. "It can’t be stated strongly enough how fast the climate feedback cascade is now ramping up. Surface air temperatures in the Arctic are now predicted to be up to + 20 degrees C (+ 36 degrees F) above the average for the date on November 17. The month of October averaged + 5 to + 10 degrees C (+ 9 to + 18 degrees F) above average for the date across the Arctic. Last January through March (3 months running) were up to + 10 to 15 C (+ 18 to + 27 F above average across large parts of the Arctic. Blue Ocean Events in both polar regions are becoming likely much sooner all the time and could even come in 2026. That will send the Earth into much more rapid, catastrophic warming. Time has run out. Unless the world acts aggressively without delay to rapidly reduce our greenhouse gas emissions, the next El Nino could bring the world near + 2 C and we could see + 3 C within another 15 years. We are on course to irreversible extinction level warming even for humans. We are now past + 1.5 C (+ 2.7 F) which was predicted to take about 15 more years just 3 years ago."

We got it wrong. We're a lot more fucked than anyone thought. If someone is telling you we can limit warming to 2.5C by 2100 they're lying. Or even 3C by 2050 they're hoping for something that can't likely happen.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/1befsQ...

CanSIPS Multi Model Ensembles predict El Niño (positive (warm) central equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature anomaly) solidly in place by May. El Niños raise global average surface (2 m) air temperatures by up to + 0.3 C. Even larger and more persistent increases are possible with global warming.

Pssst, guess what, we're fucked. El nino is coming for dinner. Warming is about to kick our ass over the cliff. 2C by 2030 and 3C by 2040. All of those who ignored reality and banged on about la nina should get your heads out of your asses.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/1A8NN4...

Climate driven collapse isn't just for developing countries and the global south. It's coming for everyone, everywhere and we're all going down.

#kissyourassgoodbye

Just a screenshot of my favourite bullet points. We are already on the hothouse earth trajectory(not maybe) and the feedbacks already at play aren't shutting down if we ramp up industrial scale development (solar, wind). More weak, underwhelming, spineless messaging. Again.

#kissyourassgoodbye

"Change course now", holy fuck.

The UN in 2040 when we're over 3C and everyone is dying rapidly.
"Change course now" to avoid the worst impacts. Blessed fuck, someone needs to grow a pair and lay it out.

Stop breeding, you're children will die horribly, in short order.

#kissyourassgoodbye

"Climate justice" sounds great but that's about it. As climate collapse continues to to intensify and spread, no amount of man made laws will do a damned thing. We're all going down. There will be lots of tears, pain and screaming. That's reality, deal with it.

#kissyourassgoodbye

Been a while since I've talked about Arctic sea ice...but yeah, things are bad. The Central Arctic is experiencing the lowest sea ice extent since at least 1979. Abnormal warmth has been prominent in the far north and may continue through November, slowing sea ice growth further. One major impact of less ice over the Arctic Ocean further into the cold season will be greater coastal erosion from storms. Global sea ice extent (so including the Antarctic, where it is Spring) is also very low for the time of year.

Well this is fantastic, who needs ice? We all do that's who.

Everyone gets fixated on BOE and what not. By the time there's a BOE I'm not sure it's going to matter to us one way or another.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/17rd2Q...

Text is for both images. This is a forecast for the 3 months running average for this coming January 1 - March 31 of the height anomaly of the 500 mb pressure surface for the northern hemisphere. The average height according to climatology is 5,600 m (18,000 ft) in northern hemisphere winter. It tells you the relative amount of heat in the atmosphere between the surface and that altitude. The anomalies over the NE Pacific are by far the highest I have ever seen for a 3 month average anomaly anywhere in the world. January and March individually show values literally off the charts - in the violet range. These hyper anomalies are due to the predicted enormous wintertime heat release from the record mega marine heat wave in the North Pacific (current sea surface temperature anomalies are shown in last image) as wintertime mid latitude cyclones with high winds suck out much of the accumuated excess heat from the ocean. They won’t suck all of it out by any means because the heat extends to several hundred meters deep. Next year the record Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies will likely be significantly higher and so will the winter 2026-2027 500 mb pressure surface heights. Global warming is accelerating and the Earth Energy Imbalance has more than doubled just in the last few years. The excess heat is being absorbed by the uppermost ocean, not the deep ocean as it was until just a few years ago, due to increasing stratification of the uppermost ocean caused by global warming feedbacks. Average surface air temperatures and average sea surface temperatures are rising faster than at any other time in Earth’s history. We are in big trouble. First two images from tropicaltidbits.com Last image from earth.nullschool.net

Once again, ocean stratification has been the game changer. Massive amounts of heat the depths of the seas used to absorb are now fed back to the atmosphere regularly. Building solar farms and batteries won't stop this. We're fucked.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/14Mrtj...

Text is for both images. The Global Forecast System model now predicts a + 1.6 C Northern Hemisphere average 2 m height air temperature anomaly in 7 days, compared to a 1981-2010 baseline. The global average anomaly compared to pre-industrial times is forecast to be + 1.8 C. These values show a massive increase of about + 0.3 to + 0.4 C just since October 1. I suspect this is due to heat transfer to the atmosphere from the record North Pacific marine heat wave. This global increase is associated with rising temperature anomalies in both polar regions and increasing continental heat waves virtually worldwide. Marine heat waves have amplified considerably in 2025 globally despite ENSO neutral conditions shifting to a weak La Niña. There is now little chance of returning below the + 1.5 C (above pre-industrial) threshold that the IPCC consistently warned about. We will likely see ENSO neutral and a trend towards El Niño later in 2026 which will assuredly raise global temperatures further. + 2.0 C appears likely by 2030 or sooner if we get a strong El Niño which is likely. Even with no El Niño, marine heat waves are likely to continue amplifying which is now definitively contributing to atmospheric warming. The Earth Energy Imbalance is increasing and that extra heat is being absorbed increasingly by the far upper ocean, not the deep ocean as it was until just a few years ago, due to increasing upper ocean stratification associated with increasing polar ice melt and cloud cover reduction feedbacks. We are on a trajectory to + 3 C sometime in the 2030s. A climate feedback cascade is already beginning and if we do not massively cut greenhouse gas emissions post haste, human extinction is becoming likely by mid century.

"We are on a trajectory to +3 C sometime in the 2030's".

3°C is where human extinction really gains momentum and is realistically no longer avoidable in this timeframe.

"Human extinction is becoming likely by mid century".

#fucked
#kissyourassgoodbye
#collapse

www.facebook.com/share/1CoFJU...

Right on schedule.

#kissyourassgoodbye

Meanwhile on the east coast. The silent killer of #collapse. I'm finally exceptional.

#kissyourassgoodbye

Last winter for three months running, the temp anomaly in the Arctic was 10-15°c above normal, a record. It's currently forecast to be 15-20°C. If this happens there'll be no denying we've lost the Arctic. I believe we already have.

#kissyourassgoodbye

This text is for both images. This image is a stunning and staggering snapshot of rapidly accelerating global warming which is becoming an order of magnitude (10 times) worse in the polar regions. Not only is much of the Arctic’s (the Arctic is from 66.5 to 90 degrees north latitude) surface air temperature forecast to be + 15 C to + 20 degrees C (+ 27 to + 36 degrees F) above the average for the date, much of the Antarctic (66.5 to 90 degrees south latitude) will approach that. Image is a forecast map for 7 days from now from the U.S. Global Forecast System model from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction, part of the National Weather Service. In the Arctic the magnitude of warming strongly increases poleward. The Arctic Ocean is now mostly ice free. In the Antarctic the temperature anomaly maxima is at about 75 degrees south latitude because the South Pole (90 degrees south) is at high elevation in the middle of the Antarctic ice sheet. Last winter much of the Arctic was + 10 to + 15 degrees C (+ 18 to + 27 degrees F) above the average for the date for 3 months running from January 1 to March 31. I was hoping that record wouldn’t be eclipsed so soon. It appears it will be shattered. We are entering the catastrophic phase of global warming.

While everyone is busy squabbling over king trump this is happening. Everything besides this is trivial. We are watching the sixth mass extinctions' end game. It's accelerating rapidly and there's not a damned thing anyone can do to stop it.

#kissyourassgoodbye

www.facebook.com/share/1BoH4a...