June 18 6AM CST (intermediate advisory) 3-day forecast track cone from NHC showing landfall near the Oaxaca-Guerrero border during the day on Thursday at Cat 2 intensity. Hurricane warning around the Oaxaca coastline roughly between Acapulco and Puerto Ángel, with a hurricane watch extending about 100km west. Tropical storm warning to the east until about Salina Cruz.
June 17 21:00 UTC 4-day rainfall forecast graphic from the Weather Prediction Center showing a swath of 16-20" (400-500mm) of rainfall along the southern Oaxaca coastline and 8-16" (200-400mm) in inland Oaxaca and southeast Guerrero. NHC/WPC: "RAINFALL: Erick will produce rainfall totals of 8 to 16 inches, with maximum totals of 20 inches, across the Mexican states of Oaxaca and Guerrero. This rainfall will lead to life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Rainfall totals of 3 to 5 inches, with maximum totals of 8 inches, are expected across the Mexican states of Chiapas, Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco."
(East Pacific) NHC has upgraded #Erick into a Category 1 #hurricane with 75mph (120km/h) winds. Continued intensification alongside extreme rainfall is expected.
www.hurricanes.gov (en/esp)
#mexico #mxwx #oaxaca #guerrero #acapulco #marquelia #puertoescondido #puertoangel #salinacruz
