❄️⏳ Missed your shot at the 2026 Nenana Ice Classic jackpot? Don’t panic… we’ve crunched the numbers and spotted the sweet spot for 2027. Will you guess right next year? ⬇️ tinyurl.com/3rhap336 #NenanaIceClassic #AlaskaWin #TananaRiver #SpringIsComing #GuessTheIce #Alaska #Gambling
For those working on their #NenanaIceClassic guesses, this is what the snow pack is looking like in Fairbanks:
Time series plot of the date/time of ice break-up on the Tanana River at Nenana each year 1917 to 2025. The 10 earliest and latest dates/times are highlighted along with an estimate of the time varying mean via piece-wise linear regression.
Ice went out of the Tanana River at Nenana at 456pm AKDT (if you have a ticket that’s 356pm AKST) according to the #NenanaiceClassic. While an April 27 break-up is unremarkable for the past 30 years, in the 74 years 1917 to 1990, the ice went out this early only 3 times. #akwx #climate #Spring2025
Tanana River at Nenana: we have break-up. Sunday April 27 456 AKDT and Tripod is gone. #NenanaIceClassic #akwx @climatologist49.bsky.social
Tanana River at Nenana 415pm Sunday: big open water but tripod was only drifted a little ways downstream. #NenanaIceClassic #Spring2025 #akwx
Photo from 754am AKDT Sunday, April 27 from the dock at Nenana looking across the Tanana River with the tipped over tripod still connected to the ropes to the clock tower. A ridge is seen on the far side of the river with blue skies above.
The tripod on the Tanana River at Nenana tipped over Saturday evening but Sunday morning it's still in place and clock is running. The tripod must move 100 feet downriver to stop the clock. Past 50 years the median break-up date is April 30. Image courtesy of #NenanaIceClassic. #akwx #Spring2025
Tanana at Nenana: the tripod tipped early Saturday evening but it has to move downriver to stop the clock. Water level has come up just under one foot Friday evening to Saturday evening. #NenanaIceClassic #Spring2025 #akwx
Webcam image from the dock at Nenana looking east across the Tanana River at 941am Thursday. April 23, 2025 to the ridge beyond and mostly blue skies above.
Tanana River at Nenana: increasing melt water on top of the ice Thursday morning. Narrow open channel visible at the bottom has been there for some days. Iamge courtesy Nenana Ice Classic #NenanaIceClassic #Spring2025 #Alaska #akwx
#Alaska #IcePool #NenanaIceClassic Get your guesses turned in!
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Heads up, @matt.akmemo.com @gavelalaska.bsky.social #GavelClassic #VolcanoClassic #NenanaIceClassic
Photo taken March 18, 2025 1252pm AKDT looking east from Nenana across the Tanana River. The tripod is erected in the same place each March and will be used to determine the exact time of break-up, which typically occurs in late April or early May.
In case you were wondering, why yes, the tripod on the Tanana River at Nenana is still standing. Tuesday early afternoon +5F (-15.0C), northwest wind 6 mph. Webcam photo courtesy Nenana Ice Classic. #akwx #Alaska #NenanaIceClassic @climatologist49.bsky.social
