It's a 3 point race in Minnesota w/ Obama at the 47% danger line. Not a sign of an incumbent set for reelection #RttWH
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Here's a great piece explaining why Nate Silver is presenting a false reality. #rttwh @NumbersMuncher @AriFleischer
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Obama suffering significant early vote drop-off in VA compared to 2008. Romney in good shape. #RttWH
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And here's why Obama is pulling out of FL. #RttWH
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Team Obama is now running TV ads in Minnesota. I warned that MN was in trouble 2 weeks ago. #RttWH
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Romney is +5 again w/ Gallup... 51-46. This is no blip. #RttWH
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"Top Obama advisers see a Romney win in Virginia." #RttWH
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Earlier this week I called NV for Obama & VA, FL, & CO for Romney. National Journal just confirmed NV & FL call. #RttWH
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Obama shifting resources out of FL, Romney out of NV. #RttWH
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New poll coming in WI, race tied at 49%. Romney up 51-47 among those most likely to vote. #RttWH
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Why Do I think @MittRomney Will Win? It's Called Math. #RttWH @numbersmuncher @AriFleischer
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ABC poll Romney 50 Obama 47. I see a pattern here. #rttwh
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Obama needs to pull out of VA, FL, & CO to focus on IA< NH & OH, but the fear of bad press is forcing his hand & he's wasting money. #RttWH
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More rumblings about Obama pulling folks from FL, VA & CO. I already see each as Romney states. #RttWH
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Is Ohio really lost to @MittRomney ? Maybe not. #RttWH
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New AP poll confirms gender gap is gone. It's 1 reason I see a @MittRomney winning. #RttWH
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New poll by Democratic polling firm finds MI tied at 47%. A UVA poll of registered voters (not likely) finds Romney ahead 46-45 in VA #RttWH
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Michael Barone on Romney's gains in the suburbs. #RttWH
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Romney has been at 50% or better in the Gallup poll since Oct. 16... #RttWH
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No bias here, Robo-polls are as accurate as live operator polls. #RttWH @numbersmuncher @seanmdav
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My take on the Obama/Romney contest:"right now Romney is the candidate with the momentum and the likely victor." #RttWH
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Other fascinating tidbit. Appears one of the campaigns is polling in Oregon. If Oregon is in play that's a major story. #RttWH
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I see 6 states in play, NV, CO, IA, WI, OH & NH. FL, NC & VA are Romney. Current map is 237 EV for Obama and 248 for Romney. #RttWH
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Rumor: Obama for America has ceased polling in VA. 1/2 the Obama campaign staff pulled out. Stand by my call, VA no longer in play. #RttWH
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I'm on talking to @C4Show about the election and swing states. #RttWH
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Rasmussen tracking poll has Romney up 50-46. Couple that with Gallup & I wonder if we're see a late break to Romney. Time will tell. #RttWH
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Current Polls: PPP:R48/O48, Monmouth:R48/O45, ARG:R49/O47, RAS:R49/O47 - all w/i MoE of Gallup's supposed 52/45 "oultlier" results. #RttWH
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New Battleground poll confirms trend found in many recent polls, small gender gap for women. Like 2004 and 2010. #RttWH
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Gallup: R52/O45, NBC: R47/47, PPP: R48/O48, Rasmussen: R49/47 - all mesh w/ MoE. The clear outlier is IBD: R42/O48. #RttWH @NumbersMuncher
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On this day in 2004 & 2008 the RCP averages reflected the actual margin of victory. #RttWH
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