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Trump Tries to Use the Connivance of Imperial Expansion, But Are American’s Buying It? The right way to understand President Trump’s imperial language is not to begin with empire. It is to begin with power. The imperial story…

Dear #BlueWizards, When Hegseth spews imperialist rhetoric, just know that it is all a con meant to preserve regime security for him and Trump.

johnrraymondesq.medium.com/trump-tries-...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social

5 4 1 0
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Trump Shit the Bed with His Iran War, But This Time He Has No One to Cleanup His Mess President Trump has spent his entire adult life being rescued from the consequences of his own conduct. When he overreached in business…

Dear #BlueWizards, Trump is finding out that he can't fail his way upward with his illegal war on Iran.

johnrraymondesq.medium.com/trump-shit-t...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

5 0 3 0
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The Real Story Is That Putin Needed the Iran War Bump — Even When That Help Was Always Going to… Of course the Iran war helped Putin in the short term. Anyone with a pulse should have been able to see that. Oil prices rose. Russia got…

Dear #BlueWizards, Analysts have been circling the Iran-Trump-Putin analysis, while still missing my original points...

johnrraymondesq.medium.com/the-real-sto...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

2 0 1 0
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Dear Leader Jefferies, If You Are Going to Pretend to Speak for the People, You Need to Do a Better… Leader Jefferies, the problem is no longer that your message is too cautious. The problem is that it no longer survives contact with…

Dear #BlueWizards, I am going to just say it: @hakeem-jeffries.bsky.social reminds me of a dead-eyed psychopath.

johnrraymondesq.medium.com/dear-leader-...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

13 0 3 0
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Trump’s Reaction to Mueller’s Death, Given Kirk, Proves MAGA Was Always a House of Cards Let us stop pretending this is complicated. Charlie Kirk’s murder did not prove that the American left is uniquely depraved. It proved that…

Dear #BlueWizards, Kirk v. Mueller tells you everything you need to know about Trump and MAGA.

johnrraymondesq.medium.com/trumps-react...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

7 1 1 0
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Did Elon Musk Personally Order the Shutoff of Russian Starlink Terminals in Occupied Ukraine? He may have. That is not a crazy theory. It is not even a hard theory. It has already been established that Musk personally ordered a battlefield-affecting Starlink shutdown during Ukraine’s 2022 coun...

Dear #BlueWizards, Elon Musk was a clown. He is still a clown. And he will continue to be a clown for the foreseeable future.

www.johnrraymond.greatlibrary.io/post/did-elo...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

7 2 3 0
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Dear MAGA, I Know You Are Dumb, But Even You Aren’t This Dumb Let us begin with the obvious. Iran did not reveal that President Trump lies. Intelligent people knew that years ago. What Iran has…

Dear #BlueWizards, Trump's Iran lies can only work on the dumbest of the dumb.

johnrraymondesq.medium.com/dear-maga-i-...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

9 1 3 0
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Why I Think Vlad Vexler Is Directionally Correct About Moscow’s Mobile-Internet Blackouts Vlad Vexler is right about the coup talk. The mobile-internet blackouts inside Russia are not evidence that Putin is about to be overthrown, and analysts who treat every disruption in Moscow as proof ...

Dear #BlueWizards, I think @vladvexler.bsky.social is 100% correct to crap all over the bullshit coup talk we are hearing.

www.johnrraymond.greatlibrary.io/post/why-i-t...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

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Putin Outlines How He Wants Trump to Fumble Him the Football Next The latest Putin “offer” to stop helping Iran in exchange for the U.S. ending support for Ukraine should not be understood as diplomacy, bargaining, or even extortion in the narrow sense. It is someth...

Dear #BlueWizards, Just a heads up. Putin is asking Trump to fumble him the football again. The fucking nerve of these assholes

www.johnrraymond.greatlibrary.io/post/putin-o...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

7 0 1 0
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Dear Pete, Who Benefits from You Surrendering the Taxation Frame If Not the Corrupt and Ultra Rich Dear Pete: when you say the wealthy are paying too little, but immediately add that proposals like a 5 percent billionaire wealth tax are…

Dear #BlueWizards, @petebuttigieg.bsky.social is not a real progressive - and it shows.

johnrraymondesq.medium.com/dear-pete-wh...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

6 0 1 0
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Ukraine Now Appears to Be the Price of Europe’s Help President Trump’s Iran war has clarified the fault lines inside the Western alliance, and the clarification cuts against both Trump and…

Dear #BlueWizards, If Ukraine isn't price of support for Trump in Iran, then the alliance is fucking up badly.

johnrraymondesq.medium.com/ukraine-now-...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

3 0 2 0
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Dear NATO, Now Is the Time for Discipline You are no longer dealing with a normal alliance dispute. You are dealing with a breach condition. A central actor has behaved in ways that…

Dear #BlueWizards, With him miscalculating in Iran, it is time for NATO to discipline Trump.

johnrraymondesq.medium.com/dear-nato-no...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

7 1 3 0
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Dear John Roberts, It Was Your Traitorous Ass Who Helped Light the Bed on Fire, You Dumbfuck Dear John Roberts, I do not listen to traitors like you or your orange god. I do not listen to men who betray the republic and then demand reverence from the people they endanger. I do not listen to r...

Dear #BlueWizards, It is difficult for me to express just how much I hate people like John Roberts. I fucking hate them so much

www.johnrraymond.greatlibrary.io/post/dear-jo...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

15 6 4 0
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The Geometry of a Quagmire: How the Iran War Proves Itself a Miscalculation In my earlier article, The Geometry of Miscalculation in the Iran War, I made a narrower and, I think, more disciplined claim than the usual instant hot takes. I did not argue that the opening move ha...

Dear #BlueWizards, A follow up, and yes, Trump's Iran war looks more and more like a miscalculation by the day.

www.johnrraymond.greatlibrary.io/post/the-geo...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

5 1 2 0
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His Praise of Trump’s Illegal War with Iran Is Proof NATO’s Chief Chucklefuck Mark Rutte Must Go Let me be straightforward and disclose the premise plainly: I have been lobbying NATO to get rid of Mark Rutte for a long time. I have not…

Dear #BlueWizards, No, I didn't forget about Rutte. The man is too fucking stupid to lead the NATO alliance. He must resign or leave.

johnrraymondesq.medium.com/his-praise-o...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

5 1 1 0
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What We Are Seeing in the World What we are seeing in the world is not the triumphant consolidation of authoritarian power. It is the outward persistence of familiar forms…

Dear #BlueWizards, I worked on this article overnight - before reporting of Joe Kent resigning from the directorship of the NCC.

johnrraymondesq.medium.com/what-we-are-...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

1 0 1 0
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Yes, Trump Is Dangerous, But Only Because the Fucking Moron Serves a Foreign Master Trump is plainly not a mastermind. He is a semi-literate brute with a predator’s instinct for fear, loyalty, humiliation, and domination, but with a visibly weak grasp of language, logic, and conseque...

Dear #BlueWizards, When you look at this one post, it should be clear that Trump is too much of a moron to be the mastermind.

www.johnrraymond.greatlibrary.io/post/yes-tru...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

12 3 5 1
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Why Moscow’s Mobile Internet Blackouts Are About Ukrainian Pressure First and Coup Fear Second A great many people want the story to be simple. They want to hear that President Putin turned off mobile internet in Moscow because he fears a coup. That story is emotionally satisfying because it fl...

Dear #BlueWizards, Wrt Moscow internet blackout, coup rumors are rumors, but Ukrainian capabilities are demonstrated to be real

www.johnrraymond.greatlibrary.io/post/why-mos...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

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All You GOP Shills Who Said Trump Would be the Peace President Needs to Apologize Before Shutting the Fuck Up President Trump and his media auxiliaries sold the country a simple lie. They said he would be the man who ended wars, avoided new ones, and restored “peace through strength.” That was not some vague ...

Dear #BlueWizards, The GOP shills telling us Trump was for peace need to shut the fuck up.

www.johnrraymond.greatlibrary.io/post/all-you...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

5 0 2 0
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Why Trump Doesn’t Care That His Boss in the Kremlin Is Helping Iran Kill Americans Troops If you still cannot understand why President Trump does not care that Russia is helping Iran kill American troops, then you are still making the same mistake that has broken so much analysis of him fo...

Dear #BlueWizards, It is a sad day when you have to confront the fact the President of the U.S. doesn't care if our troops die.

www.johnrraymond.greatlibrary.io/post/why-tru...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

10 5 5 0
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The Epstein Files: The Iran and Ukraine Wars and Why We Still Need Transparency I have been wrong before, and I intend to say so plainly when I am.

Dear #BlueWizards, As both the Ukraine and Iran wars rage, transparency wrt Epstein matters more now than ever.

johnrraymondesq.medium.com/the-epstein-...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

5 2 2 0
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Being Right About Iran Does Not Make Marjorie Taylor Greene a Good Person Marjorie Taylor Greene can be right about President Trump’s war with Iran and still remain exactly what she has long demonstrated herself…

Dear #BlueWizards, Until MGT apologizes for attacking minorities, she cannot be trusted more than broken clock can be trusted.

johnrraymondesq.medium.com/being-right-...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

8 0 1 0
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Trump’s Brazen Alignment With Russia I said within a day or two of the Iran war’s opening that it would hand Russia a windfall. That was not clairvoyance. It was method.

Dear #BlueWizards, It is now so obvious that Trump-Iran helps Russia. Even those who are bad at analysis can see it clearly now.

johnrraymondesq.medium.com/trumps-braze...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

10 3 5 0
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How the West Survives After Pax Americana Kyle and Vaush are right about the diagnosis and wrong about the horizon.

Dear #BlueWizards, I fill in the blank for @kylekulinskishow.bsky.social and @vaush.gg.

johnrraymondesq.medium.com/how-the-west...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

4 0 1 0
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The Geometry of Miscalculation in the Iran War Strategic miscalculation is usually discussed as if it were obvious at the moment a decision is made. Analysts look at a war that went…

Dear #BlueWizards, With my latest simulation work, I try to answer the miscalculation question wrt the Trump-Iran war.

johnrraymondesq.medium.com/the-geometry...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

4 0 2 0
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Why Didn’t the Trump Administration Sell the Iran War to the American Public? Was the Trump administration simply incompetent? That is the question most analysts implicitly ask when they notice the strange sequencing of the Iran war. The United States moved forces into the Middle East. Tankers, naval assets, and supporting logistics were positioned to support strikes. Operational readiness clearly existed. Yet the administration made almost no effort to prepare the American public for a major war.If this conflict had been planned jointly with Israel — as many commentators

Dear #BlueWizards, At risk of beating a dead horse, I make sense of why Trump didn't sell the Iran war to the American public.

www.johnrraymond.greatlibrary.io/post/why-did...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

8 2 3 0
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Understanding Netanyahu’s Place Within the Axis of Authoritarians History is being flattened, and once that happens the causal structure disappears. Operation Spider’s Web on June 1, 2025 was not just another successful Ukrainian strike. It hit Russia’s strategic av...

Dear #BlueWizards, People keep getting the axis of authoritarians wrong, and not just Trump's place, but also Netanyahu's.

www.johnrraymond.greatlibrary.io/post/underst...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

7 1 2 0
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Meta Analysis: Recalculating the War Analyst Board for 2026 The analyst board has to be recalculated for 2026. For too long the commentary ecosystem surrounding the wars in Ukraine and Iran has been padded with analysts who either misunderstand the structure o...

Dear #BlueWizards, After revising the list for 2026, our own @realjakebroe.bsky.social is now the world's top war analyst. Congrats!

www.johnrraymond.greatlibrary.io/post/meta-an...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

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Dissolving Anders Puck Nielsen’s "Nuanced" Strawman Argument Strategic analysis fails when it begins by asking the wrong question. In his latest video, Anders Puck Nielsen constructs a simplified version of the Trump–Putin debate and then proceeds to dismantle ...

Dear #BlueWizards, @anderspucknielsen.dk's latest analysis of Trump-Putin totally misses the boat.

www.johnrraymond.greatlibrary.io/post/dissolv...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

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Part 3: How the Iran War Weakens the United States and Strains Support for Ukraine Wars do not merely consume men and machines. They consume attention, political will, and the finite industrial output of nations. When a state enters multiple conflicts simultaneously, the decisive qu...

Dear #BlueWizards, Make no mistake, Trump is wasting our weapons in Iran in order to make it harder for us to support #Ukraine.

www.johnrraymond.greatlibrary.io/post/part-3-...

@aoc.bsky.social @georgetakei.bsky.social @realjakebroe.bsky.social @markhamillofficial.bsky.social @avindman.bsky.social

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