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US Markets Eye CPI, Fed Minutes This Week US CPI expected Mar 24, 2026 and 10-yr yield near 3.85% (Investing.com Mar 23); Fed minutes and China PMI can reprice markets this week.

US Markets Eye CPI, Fed Minutes This Week: US CPI expected Mar 24, 2026 and 10-yr yield near 3.85% (Investing.com Mar 23); Fed minutes and China PMI can reprice markets this week. 👈 Read full analysis #USMarkets #CPI #FedMinutes #Investing #FinanceNews

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EUR/USD drops to 1.1780!

Hawkish Fed minutes catch markets off guard. With US GDP & PCE data on Friday, the next big move could be just days away.

Here's what you need to be watching: go.thinkmarkets.com/46fLw7e

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Lessons from the Fed Minutes: Why Division and Dissension Are Likely to Dominate Monetary Policy in 2026 - Inflation Watch Why the Fed Minutes Matter More Than the Press Conference With so much dissension and disagreement in the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the minutes of recent meetings have become more revealin...

Lessons from the Fed Minutes: Why Division and Dissension Are Likely to Dominate Monetary Policy in 2026
inflationwatch.drduru.com/lessons-from...
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📊 repricing hinges on how markets interpret pause duration vs. inflation progress and internal FOMC division.

$SPY $QQQ #FOMC #FedMinutes

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“.. with several of these participants highlighting the possibility of a disorderly fall in equity prices ..” 👀

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Stock Market Today: Nasdaq Falls Further; Fed Minutes, Retail Earnings in Focus — Live Updates - The Wall Street Journal Stock Market Today: Nasdaq Falls Further; Fed Minutes, Retail Earnings in Focus — Live Updates  The Wall Street Journal

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Stock Market Today: Nasdaq Falls Further; Fed Minutes, Retail Earnings in Focus — Live Updates - The Wall Street Journal Stock Market Today: Nasdaq Falls Further; Fed Minutes, Retail Earnings in Focus — Live Updates  The Wall Street Journal

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Stock Market Today: Nasdaq Falls Further; Fed Minutes, Retail Earnings in Focus — Live Updates - The Wall Street Journal Stock Market Today: Nasdaq Falls Further; Fed Minutes, Retail Earnings in Focus — Live Updates  The Wall Street Journal

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Stock Market Today: Dow Jones Index Wavers Ahead Of Fed Minutes; Palantir Sells Off (Live Coverage) The Dow Jones index wavered ahead of the Fed minutes. Palantir stock sold off in Wednesday trading. The post Stock Market Today: Dow Jones Index Wavers Ahead Of Fed Minutes; Palantir Sells Off (Live Coverage) appeared first on Investor's Business Daily.

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Stock Market Today: Dow Jones Futures Waver Ahead Of Fed Minutes; Palantir Sells Off (Live Coverage) - Investor's Business Daily Stock Market Today: Dow Jones Futures Waver Ahead Of Fed Minutes; Palantir Sells Off (Live Coverage)  Investor's Business Daily

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TSX seen lower following weaker global sentiment; Fed minutes in focus Investing.com - Canada’s main stock exchange futures slipped lower Wednesday, matching the weaker global sentiment after tech-dominated losses on Wall Street during the prior session. By 06.55 ET (10:55 GMT), the S&P/TSX 60 index standard futures contract had inched up by just over 2 points, or 0.2%, to 1652.51. Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed Tuesday 0.4%, just under 100 points, lower at 27,823.88. Technology shares were the worst-hit on Wall Street, weighed by uncertainty over monetary policy, as investors locked-in recent profits in the sector. Reports that the U.S. government was considering taking equity stakes in major chipmakers also weighed on the sector. At home, July’s inflation eased more than expected, but markets aren’t convinced a Bank of Canada rate cut will land as soon as September. Canadians moved $23 billion into U.S. assets last month, and foreign investment in homegrown stocks remains lackluster. Air Canada (TSX:AC), meanwhile, jumped after reaching a last-minute deal to avert a strike, though it paused financial forecasts to assess the recent disruption. The new housing price index for July is due later in the session, and is expected to show a minor bounce of 0.1% after the prior month’s 0.2% drop. Fed’s minutes in focus Away from Canada, the minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting are due for release later Wednesday, and could show the extent of the dissent over monetary policy within the central bank. Two FOMC members dissented at the last meeting, favoring a rate cut while the majority opted to keep rates unchanged. Markets are currently indicating an 84% chance for a quarter-point rate cut at the Fed’s next policy meeting in September. Crude bounces after losses Oil prices rose Wednesday, bouncing after the previous session’s losses as traders awaited fresh news over the next steps to end the war in Ukraine. At 06:55 ET, Brent futures gained 1.1% to $66.50 a barrel, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 1.2% to $62.51 a barrel. Prices settled down more than 1% on Tuesday on optimism that a deal to end the war seemed closer, which would likely lead to an easing of sanctions on Russia and an increase in global supply. Gold prices edged higher Wednesday, rebounding after losing ground this week amid heightened uncertainty over U.S. interest rates before a key central bank conference. spot gold rose 0.3% to $3,326.09 an ounce and gold futures for October gained 0.3% to $3,368.45/oz. The yellow metal saw limited demand even as sentiment in broader financial markets turned largely risk-off, with Wall Street and global stocks logging steep losses this week.

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Stock Market Today: Dow Futures Fall Ahead of Fed Minutes, More Retail Earnings — Live Updates - The Wall Street Journal Stock Market Today: Dow Futures Fall Ahead of Fed Minutes, More Retail Earnings — Live Updates  The Wall Street Journal

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Fed minutes, Target earnings, Musk’s ambitions - what’s moving markets Investing.com - U.S. stock futures slipped lower Wednesday ahead of the release of the minutes from the last Federal Reserve policy meeting. Target heads up a deluge of earnings from the important retail sector, while semiconductors will also be in the spotlight as the U.S. government weighs up taking stakes in the sector. Tesla CEO Elon Musk is also reportedly shelving his political ambitions. 1. Fed minutes could show divisions Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to speak at the Jackson Hole symposium at the end of the week, but investors may not have to wait until then for clues about the central bank’s next move as the minutes of the last meeting are due later in the session. The Fed has maintained its policy rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range for all of this year, with some policymakers, and Powell in particular, expressing worries that the Trump administration’s tariffs could reignite inflation. However, this stance has resulted in severe criticism from President Donald Trump, and some Fed officials have recently broken ranks, calling for lower interest rates. These minutes could show how deep divisions run after Governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman dissented at the last meeting, marking the first time two voting Fed officials have done so since 1993. Investors and economists are betting the Fed will cut rates by a quarter of a percentage point next month with perhaps another reduction of similar size to come later in the year. The annual Jackson Hole gathering kicks off with informal interviews ahead of the formal agenda release Thursday evening. Powell’s key address on Friday morning will focus on the economic outlook. 2. U.S. futures fall ahead of Fed minutes U.S. stock futures slipped lower Wednesday, with investors cautiously awaiting the release of minutes from the last Federal Reserve policy meeting as well as earnings from a number of major retailers. At 03:00 ET (07:00 GMT), the S&P 500 futures traded 12 points, or 0.2%, lower Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 75 points, or 0.3%, and Dow futures fell 85 points, or 0.2%. The major indices closed in a mixed fashion Tuesday, with the S&P 500 falling 0.6% and the NASDAQ Composite dropping 1.5%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed marginally higher. Investors are likely to trade in a cautious manner Wednesday ahead of the key release of minutes from the last Fed policy meeting [see above] as they seek clues about future monetary policy ahead of the Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole symposium later in the week. There are also more quarterly earnings due from a number of major retailers, including Target [see below], Lowe’s and TJX before the bell. U.S. companies have posted their strongest earnings beats in more than three years during the second quarter, according to an analysis by Jefferies, adding that the “difference between actual & consensus earnings growth is 12.3%, the widest spread since 1Q’22.” 3. U.S. government looking at semiconductor equity stakes The U.S. government is weighing taking equity stakes in semiconductor firms receiving CHIPS Act subsidies to build factories in the country, according to a Reuters report. Apart from Intel (NASDAQ:INTC), Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick is also exploring deals with Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE:TSM) and Samsung (KS:005930) that would see Washington secure ownership interests in return for billions in grants, the report said. The move would mark a historic shift in U.S. industrial policy, giving the government direct influence over companies key to national security. The White House has already confirmed talks with Intel on a potential 10% stake. Washington last year allocated $6.6 billion to TSMC, $6.2 billion to Micron and $4.75 billion to Samsung, according to the report. 4. Target’s results in spotlight Target (NYSE:TGT) heads the earnings flow Wednesday, as the focus remains on the retail sector this week, with reports due from a host of big-box retailers and home improvement chains. The struggling retailer reports fiscal second-quarter earnings before the bell, with investors looking for signs that it is getting back on track given annual sales have been roughly stagnant for about four years. Wall Street expects the big-box retailer to report earnings per share of $2.03 and revenue of $24.93 billion for the last quarter, according to a survey of analysts by LSEG. “We see increasing longer-term sales and margin risks for Target given slowing digital sales growth, a lack of scale in digital advertising and third-party marketplace, elevated tariff, pricing and merchandising headwinds, and increasing competitive threats from Walmart (NYSE:WMT) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN),” analysts at Bank of America said, in a note late last week. Investors will also look for what the retailer says regarding tariffs, as Target’s imports account for roughly 50% of its cost of goods sold, versus Walmart’s 33%. Home Depot (NYSE:HD) was the first of the major big-box retailers to report this week, with the U.S. home-improvement chain keeping its annual forecasts intact despite posting muted quarterly results on Tuesday. Earnings are also due from Lowe’s Companies (NYSE:LOW) and TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX) before the open. 5. Musk shelving political ambitions - WSJ Elon Musk is quietly shelving his plans to start a political party, according to a report in the Wall Street Journal, a move that will likely be welcomed by Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) shareholders. The Tesla CEO had in July said he would start a new party, called the America Party, to represent voters unhappy with both the Republicans and the Democrats. This followed a major falling out with U.S. President Donald Trump, largely over Musk’s criticism of Trump’s “big beautiful bill,” which he claimed would undermine his efforts to cut government spending as part of the Department of Government Efficiency. However, Musk has since made few actual moves towards establishing the third party, and the WSJ reported Musk as telling allies that he wants to focus his attention more on his companies, and is reluctant to alienate powerful Republicans . Any sidelining of Musk’s political ambitions is expected to offer some relief to Tesla shareholders, who had grown increasingly concerned that he was becoming distracted from his responsibilities at the electric car-maker. (Reuters contributed reporting.)

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Stock futures are little changed as investors await retail earnings, Fed minutes: Live updates - CNBC Stock futures are little changed as investors await retail earnings, Fed minutes: Live updates  CNBC

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#Fed Open Market Committee members see risks #tariffs will cause #persistent #inflation, using the word persistent 3x in: #FedMinutes (June 17-18, 2025) www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/p...

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Stock Market Today: Dow Jones Index Rises Ahead Of Fed Minutes; Nvidia Hits New High (Live Coverage) The Dow Jones Index rose Wednesday ahead of the Fed minutes. Nvidia set a new high, while Microsoft rallied on an upgrade. The post Stock Market Today: Dow Jones Index Rises Ahead Of Fed Minutes; Nvidia Hits New High (Live Coverage) appeared first on Investor's Business Daily.

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Futures muted, Trump on copper tariffs, Fed minutes ahead - what’s moving markets Investing.com - U.S. stock futures are mostly quiet, with traders digesting a slew of tariff news this week and gearing up for minutes from the Federal Reserve’s June policy meeting. President Donald Trump insists that his new tariff deadline will not be altered, while hinting at broadening his trade agenda to include a 50% tariff on copper. Meanwhile, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett is reportedly a major contender to be Trump’s pick to replace current Fed Chair Jerome Powell. 1. Futures muted U.S. stock futures were muted on Wednesday as investors assessed tariff comments from Trump and looked ahead to the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting. By 03:31 ET (07:31 GMT), the Dow futures contract were broadly unchanged, S&P 500 futures had dropped by 3 points, or 0.1%, and Nasdaq 100 futures had edged down by 14 points, or 0.1%. The main averages on Wall Street were mixed at the end of trading on Tuesday, with sentiment broadly steady despite a flurry of trade-related headlines. Trump sent out letters to a slew of countries detailing the elevated levies they now face, but markets took heart from the White House’s decision to extend the deadline for these duties to kick in to August 1. The tariffs were previously set to come into effect today. “Market participants have largely shrugged off President Trump’s latest set of threats to raise tariffs on a range of countries, focusing on the fact that today’s ;deadline’ for re-imposing the “reciprocal tariffs” from 2nd April has, as widely expected, been extended,” said Jonas Goltermann, Deputy Chief Markets Economist at Capital Economics, in a note. 2. Trump says copper tariffs incoming Still, Trump insisted at a cabinet meeting on Tuesday that the new deadline will not be pushed back any further, after stating earlier this week that it was “not 100% firm.” He added that negotiations are going well with the European Union and China, but flagged that the EU is days away from receiving its own tariff letter. The president also raised the prospect of a 50% tariff on imported copper, in the latest sign that his aggressive trade agenda involves not just countries, but specific sectors as well. Copper is a particularly crucial metal who uses apply to vehicle production, military hardware, power grid infrastructure and more. Other levies on everything from pharmaceuticals to semiconductors could soon be unveiled, Trump suggested. Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent claimed that Trump’s levies have raked in $100 billion in income for the U.S. this year and predicted that the number could climb to $300 billion by the end of December. Bessent flagged that the major collections began in the second quarter, when Trump instituted a baseline 10% duty and lifted tariffs on items like steel, aluminum and autos. Analysts have noted that tariff revenues have become key for the White House, as the funds could help offset the cost of a multi-trillion-dollar tax-cuts and spending package which Trump signed into law last week. 3. FOMC minutes ahead Traders are now keeping tabs on the upcoming publication of the minutes from the Fed’s June meeting, as they hunt for possible insights into how the central bank sees interest rates evolving in the coming months. Policymakers left borrowing costs unchanged at a target range of 4.25% to 4.5% at the gathering, citing the prudence of a wait-and-see approach to future decisions as the impact of Trump’s tariffs becomes clearer. At recent events, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has reiterated the argument for this cautious stance, but indicated that officials would probably have already been cutting rates if not for the uncertainty around the tariffs. Investors have largely stuck to bets that the Fed will slash rates twice before the end of 2025, with the first expected to come in September, potentially followed by another in December. But the trajectory remains murky, especially as Powell faces intensifying pressure from Trump to quickly reduce rates. Trump again hit out at the Fed leader on Tuesday, calling him "terrible" and urging him to resign so he can appoint a new chair who will lower borrowing costs. 4. Hassett among top contenders to become next Fed Chair - WSJ White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett is emerging as a “serious contender” to replace Powell as the next Fed Chair, the Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday. Hassett is one of Trump’s closest economic advisers, and is now seen as a preferred pick over earlier favorite Kevin Warsh, a former Fed governor, the WSJ reported. Hassett met Trump over the Fed job at least twice in June, the WSJ report said, citing people familiar with the matter. The WSJ report comes amid speculation that Trump could expedite his selection of Powell’s successor, possibly unveiling the decision later this year. Trump had appointed Powell to the post in 2017. 5. Oil subdued Crude prices hovered around the flatline after industry data showed a sharp increase in U.S. crude inventories amid concerns tariffs could curb demand for oil. At 03:30 ET, Brent futures had inched up by 0.1% to $70.19 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were mostly unchanged at $68.36 a barrel. Both contracts climbed to a two-week high on Tuesday, driven by supply disruption concerns which stemmed from fresh Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping lanes. The American Petroleum Institute reported during the previous session a sharp, unexpected rise in U.S. crude oil inventories for the week ending on July 4, with a build of 7.1 million barrels, far exceeding the forecast 2.8 million‑barrel draw. Market watchers now await confirmation from the Energy Information Administration report, due later in the day, especially as the Independence Day holiday weekend usually sees strong travel demand. With valuations skyrocketing in 2024, many investors are uneasy putting more money into stocks. Unsure where to invest next? Get access to our proven portfolios and discover high-potential opportunities. In 2024 alone, ProPicks AI identified 2 stocks that surged over 150%, 4 additional stocks that leaped over 30%, and 3 more that climbed over 25%. That's an impressive track record. With portfolios tailored for Dow stocks, S&P stocks, Tech stocks, and Mid Cap stocks, you can explore various wealth-building strategies.

Click Subscribe. #FuturesMarket #TrumpNews #CopperTariffs #FedMinutes #MarketTrends

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Futures muted, Trump on copper tariffs, Fed minutes ahead - what’s moving markets Investing.com - U.S. stock futures are mostly quiet, with traders digesting a slew of tariff news this week and gearing up for minutes from the Federal Reserve’s June policy meeting. President Donald Trump insists that his new tariff deadline will not be altered, while hinting at broadening his trade agenda to include a 50% tariff on copper. Meanwhile, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett is reportedly a major contender to be Trump’s pick to replace current Fed Chair Jerome Powell. 1. Futures muted U.S. stock futures were muted on Wednesday as investors assessed tariff comments from Trump and looked ahead to the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting. By 03:31 ET (07:31 GMT), the Dow futures contract were broadly unchanged, S&P 500 futures had dropped by 3 points, or 0.1%, and Nasdaq 100 futures had edged down by 14 points, or 0.1%. The main averages on Wall Street were mixed at the end of trading on Tuesday, with sentiment broadly steady despite a flurry of trade-related headlines. Trump sent out letters to a slew of countries detailing the elevated levies they now face, but markets took heart from the White House’s decision to extend the deadline for these duties to kick in to August 1. The tariffs were previously set to come into effect today. “Market participants have largely shrugged off President Trump’s latest set of threats to raise tariffs on a range of countries, focusing on the fact that today’s ;deadline’ for re-imposing the “reciprocal tariffs” from 2nd April has, as widely expected, been extended,” said Jonas Goltermann, Deputy Chief Markets Economist at Capital Economics, in a note. 2. Trump says copper tariffs incoming Still, Trump insisted at a cabinet meeting on Tuesday that the new deadline will not be pushed back any further, after stating earlier this week that it was “not 100% firm.” He added that negotiations are going well with the European Union and China, but flagged that the EU is days away from receiving its own tariff letter. The president also raised the prospect of a 50% tariff on imported copper, in the latest sign that his aggressive trade agenda involves not just countries, but specific sectors as well. Copper is a particularly crucial metal who uses apply to vehicle production, military hardware, power grid infrastructure and more. Other levies on everything from pharmaceuticals to semiconductors could soon be unveiled, Trump suggested. Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent claimed that Trump’s levies have raked in $100 billion in income for the U.S. this year and predicted that the number could climb to $300 billion by the end of December. Bessent flagged that the major collections began in the second quarter, when Trump instituted a baseline 10% duty and lifted tariffs on items like steel, aluminum and autos. Analysts have noted that tariff revenues have become key for the White House, as the funds could help offset the cost of a multi-trillion-dollar tax-cuts and spending package which Trump signed into law last week. 3. FOMC minutes ahead Traders are now keeping tabs on the upcoming publication of the minutes from the Fed’s June meeting, as they hunt for possible insights into how the central bank sees interest rates evolving in the coming months. Policymakers left borrowing costs unchanged at a target range of 4.25% to 4.5% at the gathering, citing the prudence of a wait-and-see approach to future decisions as the impact of Trump’s tariffs becomes clearer. At recent events, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has reiterated the argument for this cautious stance, but indicated that officials would probably have already been cutting rates if not for the uncertainty around the tariffs. Investors have largely stuck to bets that the Fed will slash rates twice before the end of 2025, with the first expected to come in September, potentially followed by another in December. But the trajectory remains murky, especially as Powell faces intensifying pressure from Trump to quickly reduce rates. Trump again hit out at the Fed leader on Tuesday, calling him "terrible" and urging him to resign so he can appoint a new chair who will lower borrowing costs. 4. Hassett among top contenders to become next Fed Chair - WSJ White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett is emerging as a “serious contender” to replace Powell as the next Fed Chair, the Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday. Hassett is one of Trump’s closest economic advisers, and is now seen as a preferred pick over earlier favorite Kevin Warsh, a former Fed governor, the WSJ reported. Hassett met Trump over the Fed job at least twice in June, the WSJ report said, citing people familiar with the matter. The WSJ report comes amid speculation that Trump could expedite his selection of Powell’s successor, possibly unveiling the decision later this year. Trump had appointed Powell to the post in 2017. 5. Oil subdued Crude prices hovered around the flatline after industry data showed a sharp increase in U.S. crude inventories amid concerns tariffs could curb demand for oil. At 03:30 ET, Brent futures had inched up by 0.1% to $70.19 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were mostly unchanged at $68.36 a barrel. Both contracts climbed to a two-week high on Tuesday, driven by supply disruption concerns which stemmed from fresh Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping lanes. The American Petroleum Institute reported during the previous session a sharp, unexpected rise in U.S. crude oil inventories for the week ending on July 4, with a build of 7.1 million barrels, far exceeding the forecast 2.8 million‑barrel draw. Market watchers now await confirmation from the Energy Information Administration report, due later in the day, especially as the Independence Day holiday weekend usually sees strong travel demand. With valuations skyrocketing in 2024, many investors are uneasy putting more money into stocks. Unsure where to invest next? Get access to our proven portfolios and discover high-potential opportunities. In 2024 alone, ProPicks AI identified 2 stocks that surged over 150%, 4 additional stocks that leaped over 30%, and 3 more that climbed over 25%. That's an impressive track record. With portfolios tailored for Dow stocks, S&P stocks, Tech stocks, and Mid Cap stocks, you can explore various wealth-building strategies.

Click Subscribe. #FuturesMarket #TrumpTariffs #CopperPrices #FedMinutes #MarketNews

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Just dropped: Fed hiked rates 0.75% today. Silence on further moves, but markets sizzle! Tune in next for more economic twists. 📉 #InterestRates #FedMinutes #Finance $$ learn how you can get finiancial grant as us citizen: tinyurl.com/hsidnl

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US bonds saw a sharp uptick today amid dovish Fed hints, with long-dates rallying 2% as markets brace for rate cuts. 📈💰 #Bonds #FedMinutes #USMARKET learn how i got $1256 grant for my business: tinyurl.com/financialhel...

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Federal Reserve announces rate hike to 6% as inflation cools - a balancing act for the economy. #FedMinutes #Economy #InterestRates

(Note: While the word "Heres" wasn't directly used and the post adheres to Twitter... learn how i got $1256 grant for my business: tinyurl.com/financialhel...

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Fed minutes saw rising inflation, jobless risks as of May meeting By Howard Schneider WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. Federal Reserve officials at their last meeting acknowledged they could face "difficult tradeoffs" in coming months in the form of rising inflation alongside rising unemployment, an outlook buttressed by Fed staff projections of increased risks of a recession, according to newly released minutes of the May 6-7 session. The combination of inflation and unemployment rising in tandem would leave central bank officials forced to decide whether to prioritize fighting inflation with tighter monetary policy or cutting interest rates to support growth and employment. "Almost all participants commented on the risk that inflation could prove to be more persistent than expected," as the economy adapted to higher import taxes proposed by the Trump administration. "Participants noted that the (Federal Open Market) Committee might face difficult tradeoffs if inflation proves to be more persistent while the outlooks for growth and employment weaken," the minutes said. "Participants agreed that uncertainty about the economic outlook had increased further, making it appropriate to take a cautious approach until the net economic effects of the array of changes to government policies become clearer." The prospect of rising unemployment and higher inflation was outlined in staff briefings that projected a "markedly" higher inflation rate this year due to the impact of tariffs and a job market "expected to weaken substantially" with the unemployment rate rising above long-run estimates of full employment by the end of this year and remaining there for two years. The results of the May meeting and the more detailed account of it reflected in the minutes have since been overtaken by U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to delay the most aggressive tariffs, in particular the 145% levy on Chinese imports that threatened to grind a large share of global commerce to a halt. The shift caused many analysts to lower recessions risks that Fed staff as of early May had considered "almost as likely as the baseline" of slowing but continued growth. But in theory those stiff tariffs are only on hold until July pending negotiations over final tax rates that have kept Fed officials and business executives in the dark about the economic landscape they may face in the next few months. The uncertainty still felt today was also the watchword at the meeting in early May, when the Fed decided to hold the benchmark policy rate steady in the 4.25% to 4.5% range. In a press conference after the meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated the central bank was effectively sidelined until the Trump administration finalizes its tariff plans and the impact on the economy becomes clearer, a view reiterated by Powell and other Fed policymakers in the weeks since. As of early May officials also noted that volatility in bond markets in the weeks before the meeting "warranted monitoring," and noted that a change in the U.S. dollar’s safe-haven status, along with rising Treasury bond yields, "could have long-lasting implications for the economy." The Fed next meets on June 17-18, when the central bank will release new projections from policymakers about their outlook for inflation, employment and economic growth in coming months and years, and the projected interest rate they feel would be appropriate. At their March meeting the median projection among policymakers was for two quarter point interest rate cuts by the end of 2025.

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Nvidia, Costco, and Fed minutes: What to watch in the stock market this week - Quartz Nvidia, Costco, and Fed minutes: What to watch in the stock market this week  Quartz

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📅 Today’s Focus: FOMC Minutes Drop
The Fed’s May meeting minutes will reveal how policymakers view inflation, growth, and the path ahead.
Markets are watching for clues on rate cuts—or delays.
Stay tuned.

#FOMC #FedMinutes #InterestRates #MacroOutlook #Ultimamarkets

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