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Posts by Steve Cicala

22 hours ago 3 0 0 0

shocking to compare the rapidity of these "deliberations" with the court's complete lack of action on impoundments, emoluments, and declarations of war

1 day ago 417 89 9 0

Kudos to these brilliant legal minds for reinventing conservative motivated reasoning as the only method of legal analysis that will protect the legitimacy of the supreme court.

1 day ago 2 0 0 0

God said to Abraham ‘kill me a son’. Abe said ‘Man, you must be puttin’ me on’. God said nope, Abe said whut. God said ‘you can do what you want Abe, but next time you see me coming, you better run’.

2 days ago 77 5 8 1

Even Gene Fama is calling it a bubble.

4 days ago 0 0 0 0

Unless we're building the cars in space, who cares about how many tons of material are involved? Seems like an odd metric to wrangle over.

5 days ago 1 0 1 0
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Opinion | The Affordable Car Is Dead. What Happened? (Gift Article) This is how cars got so ridiculously, forbiddingly expensive.

This is a really important piece. Detroit has been coddled for decades through bipartisan protectionism. The US should let China sell affordable EVs, get them to invest by building EV manufacturing here, and let Detroit complete. And if Detroit can't complete, they don't deserve to be in business.

6 days ago 77 27 5 2
Trump Account Election
Select if you want to open a Trump account for eligible children so they can receive any contributions available to them.

Trump Account Election Select if you want to open a Trump account for eligible children so they can receive any contributions available to them.

WTF

6 days ago 2 0 0 0
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(Not) Thinking About the Future: Financial Information and Maternal Labor Supply* Abstract. Does information about the long-run financial costs of reduced labor supply increase mothers’ working hours? We document descriptively that long-

#QJE May 2026, #8, “(Not) Thinking About the Future: Financial Information and Maternal Labor Supply,” by Costa-Ramón (@anacostaramon), Slotwinski, Schaede (@ursina), and Brenøe: doi.org/10.1093/qje/...

6 days ago 7 2 1 0
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I agree on the focus on ships, not WH pump and dump schemes, BUT:

Higher prices are how the market rations scarcity. The “shortage” described here is what happens when govs prevent markets from functioning. There’s no difference in Q, just who is getting it.

1 week ago 0 0 0 0

i will vote for any candidate who offers up this slogan

1 week ago 16892 3422 166 0

cc: All Dem POTUS aspirants.

Also cc: all centrist DC pundits who have already pre-written their "no accountability, we must all come together" drivel pre-set to publish in November 2028.

1 week ago 253 68 5 4

I pray the new government does not make the mistake the US made after it unseated a lawless authoritarian.

There is no such thing as "looking forward, not backward."

It's either swift and complete accountability for criminal behavior, or a return to lawless corruption. Take it from US.

1 week ago 15 3 0 0

Big “you can’t fire me, I quit” energy.

1 week ago 2 0 0 0
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I had the privilege of organizing economist amicus briefs in support of the parties challenging the administration’s most recent round of worldwide tariffs. The cases are Burlap and Barrel, Inc. v. Trump. and Oregon et al. v. Trump, both before the U.S. Court of International Trade.

1 week ago 79 16 1 4

Amici include AEI colleagues (incl. @kylepomerleau.bsky.social & @michaelrstrain.bsky.social) and folks from other thinktanks and academia (incl. @dacemoglumit.bsky.social, @danieldbunn.bsky.social, @stevecicala.bsky.social, @kclausing.bsky.social, @jasonfurman.bsky.social & @omzidar.bsky.social).

1 week ago 8 3 1 0

I'm telling you the shift away from embarrassment in Iran is Greenland.

1 week ago 3 1 1 0
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Also, it hasn't reopened, and there are no plans for it to reopen.

1 week ago 4 1 0 0

Split screen between a gaudy aspiring coronation and the American Pope washing the feet of migrants.

Eat shit forever, Amen.

1 week ago 14 0 0 0

Call it the “Iran Terror Premium.”

-Peter Navarro, WSJ, 3/12/2026

1 week ago 5 0 0 0

$1M per ship -> $1.8B every two weeks.

(Likely paid in ¥, to further sanction-proof Iran & strengthen China)

1 week ago 11 1 0 0
A WHOLE CIVILIZATION
WILL DIE TONIGHT
My son needs lunch, and I have to put his backpack together, but a whole civilization will die tonight, so I'm wondering if they've closed their schools.
Like, a snow day, maybe, except instead of snow it's
"keep your children home so if you die, you die together" — instead of "well open back up once the plows have cleared" it's
"we don't know if we'll be here tomorrow, hold your babies tight."
It's just "talk" I'm told, which I've been told before.
"It's how the president makes his deals." But I've never heard anyone talk about other human beings this way, and I'm not certain I can look my son in the eyes if we all agree to stomach it one more time.
A civilization will die tonight, but as I zip up his backpack and kiss him off to school I think: if this is what we call leadership then I'm not entirely sure ours isn't already dead.
@michaelfdubois
Mukad A QuBoy
@michacifdubois

A WHOLE CIVILIZATION WILL DIE TONIGHT My son needs lunch, and I have to put his backpack together, but a whole civilization will die tonight, so I'm wondering if they've closed their schools. Like, a snow day, maybe, except instead of snow it's "keep your children home so if you die, you die together" — instead of "well open back up once the plows have cleared" it's "we don't know if we'll be here tomorrow, hold your babies tight." It's just "talk" I'm told, which I've been told before. "It's how the president makes his deals." But I've never heard anyone talk about other human beings this way, and I'm not certain I can look my son in the eyes if we all agree to stomach it one more time. A civilization will die tonight, but as I zip up his backpack and kiss him off to school I think: if this is what we call leadership then I'm not entirely sure ours isn't already dead. @michaelfdubois Mukad A QuBoy @michacifdubois

Brutal.

1 week ago 9377 4032 3 192

It depends on how many smiley faces you put next to it.

1 week ago 1 0 0 0

This, but nudges.

1 week ago 8 0 1 1

Of all people, the USHMM did not understand the assignment. Their job was to warn and prevent, not comply in advance.

2 weeks ago 220 66 4 2
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Russia Designates Tufts University ‘Undesirable’ Organization - The Moscow Times Russia’s General Prosecutor’s Office on Tuesday designated Tufts University and its Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy as “undesirable” organizations.  The designation effectively bans the U.S.-base...

A good day to be a Jumbo.

www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/03/31/r...

2 weeks ago 2 0 0 0
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Look the job of the @nytimes.com Washington reporter is to tell you who said what, not to inform the NYT audience about important matters of fact

2 weeks ago 9 7 1 0

Yes, I’m sure it was the backlash that was pivotal.

2 weeks ago 8 0 0 0

Crazy two-three weeks coming up:

▪️Infrastructure week
▪️Repeal and replace Obamacare
▪️End Iran war
▪️Reopen Hormuz
▪️Finish review of withheld Epstein files

2 weeks ago 6 1 0 0

Funiculars available on request at the to-be-launched Camp, 🇨🇭edition.

2 weeks ago 3 0 2 0