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Posts by Thomas Saalfeld

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‘Starmer in peril’: what the papers say about Mandelson vetting row Speculation over the prime minister’s future dominates UK front pages after the Guardian revealed Peter Mandelson failed his security vetting

www.theguardian.com/media/2026/a...

5 days ago 0 0 0 0
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#Wahltrend #Bundestagswahl (10.04.26): AfD: 25,5%, CDU/CSU: 25,3%, Grüne: 13,9%, SPD: 13%, Linke: 10,4%, FDP: 3,4%, BSW: 3,1%, Sonstige: 5,4% ➤ dawum.de/Bundestag/ | #Wahlumfrage #btw2029 #Sonntagsfrage

1 week ago 6 3 0 0
Visual with text reading "Digitalisation Research Seminar – DigiSem 2026, Berlin, September 21–22" with the theme "Balancing digital safety between risks, rights, and regulation"

Visual with text reading "Digitalisation Research Seminar – DigiSem 2026, Berlin, September 21–22" with the theme "Balancing digital safety between risks, rights, and regulation"

CfP: DigiSem 2026 – Digital Safety
📅 21–22 Sept 2026 | Berlin
Early career researchers: submit abstracts on AI risks, social media regulation, vulnerable groups, cybercrime & more.
ℹ️ www.cais-research.de/en/news/digi...
@weizenbauminstitut.bsky.social @bidt.bsky.social @bredowinstitut.bsky.social

4 weeks ago 7 7 0 2
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Morning!

1 month ago 20 8 1 0

Interesting to do a compare and contrast with the UK-Australia deal. Australian farmers seem unhappy (contrast UK-Aus where UK farmers worried). Looking forward to @samuelmarclowe.bsky.social comments.

4 weeks ago 11 8 0 0
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York, Southampton: UK universities flock to India - but will they succeed? Nine UK universities are setting up campuses in India, but enrolment is expected to be modest initially.

bbc.com/news/article...

4 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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📚 End-of-week highlight: the Festschrift for @thomas-saalfeld.bsky.social, my PhD supervisor, arrived.
Delighted to have contributed to this wonderful volume. It brings back many happy Bamberg memories. Huge thanks to @jmfernandes86.bsky.social and @javiermcanto.bsky.social, and congrats to Thomas 🎉

1 month ago 9 4 1 0

Thank you, Lucas. I am extremely grateful to Jorge Fernandez and Javi Martinez for conceptualizing this project and bringing it to fruition. Above all, seeing the list of distinguished contributors who have accompanied, influenced and shaped my professional journey is truly humbling.

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
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Philosoph und Soziologe - Jürgen Habermas ist tot Der Philosoph und Soziologe Jürgen Habermas ist tot. Er starb nach Angaben des Suhrkamp Verlags im Alter von 96 Jahren in Starnberg. Habermas zählte zu den wichtigsten Denkern der Gegenwart - er prägt...

www.deutschlandfunk.de/juergen-habe...

1 month ago 1 0 0 0

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 30% (+2)
CON: 19% (-1)
LAB: 17% (-2)
GRN: 15% (+2)
LDM: 14% (-1)
SNP: 2% (=)

Via Techne UK, 11-12 Feb.
Changes w/ 14-15 Jan.

2 months ago 35 10 2 7
Säulendiagramm der Sonntagsfrage zur Bundestagswahl von INSA für BILD

Säulendiagramm der Sonntagsfrage zur Bundestagswahl von INSA für BILD

Sonntagsfrage zur Bundestagswahl • INSA/BILD: CDU/CSU 26 % | AfD 26 % | SPD 15,5 % | GRÜNE 11,5 % | DIE LINKE 10 % | BSW 4 % | FDP 3 % | Sonstige 4 %
➤ Übersicht: wahlrecht.de/umfragen/
➤ Verlauf: wahlrecht.de/umfragen/ins...

2 months ago 10 2 0 0
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Von Minneapolis zu den Midterms : Um illegale Migranten geht es Trump nur vordergründig Was passiert, wenn ICE-Kräfte vor Wahllokalen auftauchen? Wird Trump bei Protesten das Militär einsetzen? Auf solche Szenarien bereiten sich Demokraten in den USA immer intensiver vor.

Trump greift nach den Wählerverzeichnissen. www.tagesspiegel.de/internationa...

2 months ago 11 10 1 0
Säulendiagramm der Sonntagsfrage zur Landtagswahl in Hessen von Infratest dimap für den Hessischen Rundfunk

Säulendiagramm der Sonntagsfrage zur Landtagswahl in Hessen von Infratest dimap für den Hessischen Rundfunk

Sonntagsfrage zur Landtagswahl in Hessen • Infratest dimap / Hessischer Rundfunk: CDU 32 % | AfD 20 % | SPD 16 % | GRÜNE 14 % | DIE LINKE 6 % | FDP 3 % | Sonstige 9 %
➤ Verlauf: wahlrecht.de/umfragen/lan...
🗓️ Nächste Landtagswahl: vsl. Herbst 2028 #ltwhe

2 months ago 17 3 2 0
Dessin architectural détaillé d'un bâtiment néoclassique avec de hautes colonnes et statues. Des escaliers mènent à l'entrée entourée de végétation. À droite, des figures humaines et des arbres complètent la scène.

Dessin architectural détaillé d'un bâtiment néoclassique avec de hautes colonnes et statues. Des escaliers mènent à l'entrée entourée de végétation. À droite, des figures humaines et des arbres complètent la scène.

Un art total • Dessins de la Sécession viennoise
Jusqu'au 17 mai
👉 https://bit.ly/4qItJO0

Focus sur les collections d'Orsay consacré aux dessins de la Sécession viennoise. Les œuvres sélectionnées présentent les principes d'une architecture novatrice, emblématique du modernisme viennois.

2 months ago 9 1 0 0
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Register now European Conference on Politics and Gender, Newcastle University, 15 – 17 June 2026

📣 Registration now open #ECPG26
🌸 European Conference on Politics and Gender @ecprgender.bsky.social
📆 15 – 17 Jun
⏰ Register by 30 Mar

The conference champions methodological diversity and promotes plurality in analytical perspectives.

💰 Funding available. Apply by 30 Jan buff.ly/H52lG74

2 months ago 2 2 0 0

I guess it was inevitable, but sad to see him reduced to this.

2 months ago 6 1 0 0

This would result in a Parliament with 322 right-of-centre MPs and 320 left-of-centre MPs...

2 months ago 66 20 25 10
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My wish for 2026 is that politicians and political analysts realize that public opinion is endogenous to elite behavior, that polling single issues tells us nothing about electorally successful strategies, that politics means shaping public opinion and that popularism is the death of progressivism.

3 months ago 209 47 1 5
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„Keine Frage der Zweckmäßigkeit“ - Demokratiegeschichten Was steckt hinter dem Demokratiezitat „Die Demokratie ist uns keine Frage der Zweckmäßigkeit, sondern der Sittlichkeit“ von Willy Brandt?

#Reminder
„Die Demokratie ist keine Frage der Zweckmäßigkeit, sondern der Sittlichkeit.“

Willy Brandt

"Demokratie ist ein grundsätzlicher moralischer Auftrag, das Bekenntnis zu einer gerechten Gesellschaftsordnung, die die Freiheit und Gleichheit aller Menschen achtet."

3 months ago 493 184 15 14
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Nowcast Update - Green's vote share surpasses Lib Dems, as Labour hits new low.

RFM: 350 (+345), 30.2% (50 Maj.)
LAB: 87 (-324), 18.8%
LDM: 75 (+3), 13.0%
SNP: 44 (+35), 2.7%
CON: 38 (-83), 17.6%
GRN: 23 (+19), 13.5%
PLC: 7 (+3), 1.1%
Oth: 7 (+2), 3.1%

electionmaps.uk/nowcast

4 months ago 57 12 12 15
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#Parteizustimmungsindex (#PZI): CDU/CSU: 28,3%, AfD: 23,4%, SPD: 15%, Grüne: 11,9%, Linke: 9,2%, BSW: 3,6%, FDP: 3,3% ➤ dawum.de#PZI | Der PZI setzt sich zusammen aus den nach Einwohnern gewichteten Umfragewerten für die Länder und aus dem zum Bundestag.

4 months ago 4 1 0 0
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The Eric Schickler essay in Larry Bartel's symposium on "What Trump Has Taught Us About Political Science" is one of the most insightful pieces I've read in 2025.

US institutions turned out to be weak, and we have to rethink conventional wisdom.

open access: academic.oup.com/psq/advance-...

5 months ago 552 215 25 18
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Assessing the House of Commons Backbench Business Committee 15 years on Unit Director Meg Russell and Hannah Kelly argue changes are needed to get back to the Wright Committee’s vision of it helping facilitate a more responsive and independent House of Commons.

ON THE BLOG: Assessing the House of Commons Backbench Business Committee 15 years on

Unit Director Meg Russell and Hannah Kelly argue changes are needed to get back to the Wright Committee’s vision of it helping facilitate a more responsive and independent House of Commons.

5 months ago 0 1 0 0
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The Marist poll out today (Dems +14 in the U.S. House vote) is a huge outlier, but there has been clear movement to the left over the last month. The Democrats are up 4.4 in our average of generic ballot polls today, vs D+2.8 in mid-October.
fiftyplusone.news/polls/generi...

5 months ago 183 41 13 5
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More and more young people are turning to the far right. Why and what can we do about it?

Join our #COVIDEU Workshop on Nov 21 (2–5 PM) to discuss causes and counter-strategies.

🚀 Hosted by @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social
💡 Funded by @volkswagenstiftung.de
👉 Register: tinyurl.com/bdenyfnw

5 months ago 25 11 1 4
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Demokratie: Wenn die Rechte mitregiert, wird sie nicht geschwächt – im Gegenteil Eine Untersuchung von 57 Ländern zeigt: Wenn die Rechte in Verantwortung kommt, gewinnt sie dazu. Daraus lässt sich für Deutschland lernen.

📣 New op-ed in Süddeutsche Zeitung: What the data say about the “Brandmauer”

I summarize key findings from a study with @anninahermes.bsky.social across 57 democracies

➡️ Far-right parties don’t get weaker in government, they get stronger (~6 points by the next election)

tinyurl.com/4j6jaud2

5 months ago 186 78 3 12
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Being Muslim in the EU - Experiences of Muslims

Nearly 1 in 2 Muslims in the EU (47%) report they’ve experienced racism or discrimination in the past 5 years. 

Most victims are women wearing religious clothing, job‑seekers, and those born in the EU.

This report shows a sharp rise since 2016.

Read more: fra.europa.eu/en/publicati...

5 months ago 1 1 0 0
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Who supports Reform UK and why? | Fed Up and rolling the dice Our study of over 11,000 Reform UK voters is the largest and most extensive study into the party undertaken to date. We find that Reform UK is made of a coalition of voters, many with quite different ...

hopenothate.org.uk/reform-reque...

5 months ago 1 0 0 0
Thorsten Reppert Interview - BAMBERG GRADUATE SCHOOL OF SOCIAL SCIENCES

Our doctoral member @reppert-polsci.bsky.social has successfully completed his dissertation. In his Graduation Interview, he gives insights into the topic and findings of his dissertation, talks about his time at the BAGSS, and shares the next step in his career:

www.uni-bamberg.de/en/bagss/mag...

5 months ago 4 2 0 0