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Posts by Danae Shell

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The Bond Market at the 5% Threshold 1: The Border On April 11, 2025, the 30-year Treasury yield crossed 5%. Briefly. Quietly. And then it fell back. Just enough to preserve the illusion that nothing had changed. But something had. Fo...

On April 11, the 30-year Treasury yield crossed 5%.

Briefly.

But that was enough to unsettle the White House, spook global markets, and remind everyone that bond yields are not just numbers.

They’re boundaries.
www.dataandpolitics.net/the-bond-mar...

1 year ago 262 75 13 15
A screenshot from BBC news, copy says 

The assumptions about Trump's tactics are now up for question
published at 10:32

Faisal Islam
Economics editor
These stock market falls are pretty shocking to see.
As a reminder, a stock market is the best guess of what every company in the world is worth and what their future profits will be.
What we’re seeing in the last few hours is the idea that the rules underpinning everything we know about the economy are changing - and those companies around the world are going to make less profit because of Trump’s tariffs.
There were two specific assumptions:
That Trump would react to the markets, and that he’d adjust his policy accordingly
That he was using these tariffs as a form of negotiation - so you start high, and negotiate down
As a result of Trump’s comments over the weekend, and those he made on Air Force One last night, both those assumptions are now up for question.
And the markets are reacting in a really quite violent way.

A screenshot from BBC news, copy says The assumptions about Trump's tactics are now up for question published at 10:32 Faisal Islam Economics editor These stock market falls are pretty shocking to see. As a reminder, a stock market is the best guess of what every company in the world is worth and what their future profits will be. What we’re seeing in the last few hours is the idea that the rules underpinning everything we know about the economy are changing - and those companies around the world are going to make less profit because of Trump’s tariffs. There were two specific assumptions: That Trump would react to the markets, and that he’d adjust his policy accordingly That he was using these tariffs as a form of negotiation - so you start high, and negotiate down As a result of Trump’s comments over the weekend, and those he made on Air Force One last night, both those assumptions are now up for question. And the markets are reacting in a really quite violent way.

How did anyone in the markets actually believe the two assumptions listed here? It mystifies me that people keep rationalising the actions of someone who clearly has no rationality.

1 year ago 5 0 1 0

This is all looking very Liz Truss.

1 year ago 2 0 1 0

slapping a "i bought this before icarus fell" sticker on my pair of wax wings

1 year ago 11371 1277 100 24
A screenshot of the Merlin bird app showing the sound recording waveform and the identified bird, the common chiffchaff, a cute little brown fella with a fluffy whiter tummy

A screenshot of the Merlin bird app showing the sound recording waveform and the identified bird, the common chiffchaff, a cute little brown fella with a fluffy whiter tummy

We are in the woodland today and apparently surrounded by chiffchaffs!

1 year ago 3 0 0 0
Asian women: 94 cents
White women: 80 cents
Black women: 66 cents
Native and Latina women: 58 cents

Asian women: 94 cents White women: 80 cents Black women: 66 cents Native and Latina women: 58 cents

Yesterday was #EqualPayDay and for every $1 white men make:

Asian women: 94 cents
White women: 80 cents
Black women: 66 cents
Native and Latina women: 58 cents

Women get paid less, but across racial lines the pay is even LOWER. This is #TheDoubleTax.

www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/734115...

1 year ago 522 256 6 5
NANCY BY ERNIE BUSHMILLER 

CAN I HAVE THAT PIECE ?---MY BOY FRIEND CARVED IT

( INSCRIPTION ON THE PIECE OF WOOD 
NANCY ❤️ SLUGGO

SURE

I’M MAD AT HIM 

( NANCY IS BURNING THE PIECE OF WOOD IN THE FIREPLACE)

NANCY BY ERNIE BUSHMILLER CAN I HAVE THAT PIECE ?---MY BOY FRIEND CARVED IT ( INSCRIPTION ON THE PIECE OF WOOD NANCY ❤️ SLUGGO SURE I’M MAD AT HIM ( NANCY IS BURNING THE PIECE OF WOOD IN THE FIREPLACE)

Nancy By Ernie Bushmiller
March 23,1960

1 year ago 8935 1556 56 76
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Oh neat, March 28 is national "Smash Your Amazon Echo Devices With A Hammer" day.

1 year ago 3627 1820 101 76

I’m reading it and I thought I was already cynical enough about Meta to not be shocked by the book, but boy was I wrong.

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

Careless People is *juicy*, y’all

1 year ago 1 0 0 0
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Here’s a cheat sheet with all the phone numbers for the US Senate. I have a feeling we’ll be calling them a lot in the near future.

1 year ago 8698 5088 411 314
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Finally some good news.

1 year ago 61 6 9 6
screenshot of a YouTube video embedded in an AJ Bell customer survey; the video has played once and is suggesting other things to watch. The first is a video with a crowd carrying a banner saying ISLAM WILL SUBJUGATE YOU and a chyron reading PREPARE FOR THE WORST AFTER 3 MONTHS. The next video is a blonde white woman and the words DEPP FOCUS; the third is a white man in a black T shirt and black cap, and the words AFTER EVERY UPLOAD

screenshot of a YouTube video embedded in an AJ Bell customer survey; the video has played once and is suggesting other things to watch. The first is a video with a crowd carrying a banner saying ISLAM WILL SUBJUGATE YOU and a chyron reading PREPARE FOR THE WORST AFTER 3 MONTHS. The next video is a blonde white woman and the words DEPP FOCUS; the third is a white man in a black T shirt and black cap, and the words AFTER EVERY UPLOAD

I bet AJ Bell *loves* having this kind of islamophobic video show up in the middle of their customer survey because the YouTube recommendation algorithm is going toxic again

1 year ago 2 1 0 0

Prem might be the most important journalist in America right now, the only person covering this story with the urgency it needs. Absurd that there isn't wall to wall coverage of this.

1 year ago 6077 1355 89 27
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Microplastics Are Messing with Photosynthesis in Plants Microplastics can cut a plant’s ability to photosynthesize by up to 12 percent, new research shows

A good part of my job is to read extremely concerning studies in order to compose cross-sectional view of What's At Stake and work out ways to engage stakeholders

This is, without hyperbole, the most concerning thing I have read in a long time www.scientificamerican.com/article/micr...

1 year ago 567 297 21 65

***Taps the sign again.

1 year ago 5527 1232 89 43

FYI the best part of TikTok right now is confused Ramadan cats. Ramadan Mubarak!

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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'Did you even say thank you?'

1 year ago 19509 3351 215 127
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Brutal.

1 year ago 61130 15845 1023 776
A cloth shopping bag full of 100+ daffodil bulbs. The bulbs are already sprouting and need planted ASAP!

A cloth shopping bag full of 100+ daffodil bulbs. The bulbs are already sprouting and need planted ASAP!

A sprouted daffodil bulb planted in a forest floor, surrounded by a prickly-looking moss, twigs and leaves. The moss and ground look shiny, moist and lush.

A sprouted daffodil bulb planted in a forest floor, surrounded by a prickly-looking moss, twigs and leaves. The moss and ground look shiny, moist and lush.

Today’s stress-relief job: plant 100+ daffodil bulbs in our woodland!

1 year ago 8 0 1 0

Spite is underrated. Bring back spite.

1 year ago 2 0 0 0
A screenshot of the CDC.GOV homepage with the strange 9-star flag on the top of the page with a notice that indicates that this is an official government website.

A screenshot of the CDC.GOV homepage with the strange 9-star flag on the top of the page with a notice that indicates that this is an official government website.

I just looked on the wayback machine and it wasn’t there last summer but it is there in Oct 2024

1 year ago 3 0 1 0
Book cover of what money can’t buy, the moral limit of markets. It’s a plain blue cover with a white cloud. A penguin book.

Book cover of what money can’t buy, the moral limit of markets. It’s a plain blue cover with a white cloud. A penguin book.

Current read on “the moral limits of markets” - this is good.

1 year ago 1 0 0 0
A sheet of red squares painted in acrylic  paint with various combinations of yellow and blue layered on top in a sequential order, each one neatly labelled with a pencil, for example RB, RBY, RBYB, RBYY.

A sheet of red squares painted in acrylic paint with various combinations of yellow and blue layered on top in a sequential order, each one neatly labelled with a pencil, for example RB, RBY, RBYB, RBYY.

I saw a Rednote video about “visual mixing” of paint, also called glazing, and have been using GenAI as a teacher to learn the technique. Such a simple but mind-blowing idea to use thin layers so that the light bounces through each layer and your eye does the mixing!

1 year ago 2 0 0 0
Scene from The Princess Bride where Vizzinni says "You're trying to kidnap what I've rightfully stolen"

Scene from The Princess Bride where Vizzinni says "You're trying to kidnap what I've rightfully stolen"

OpenAI right now

1 year ago 43775 6296 288 176

This is 100% one of the critical things that I think got us here! I think about this all the time.

1 year ago 1 0 0 0

When Musk took over Twitter and started openly ignoring employment law, tech companies didn’t push back, they used it as an excuse to lower their standards too.

Now, Musk is using the exact same playbook to try and dismantle the entire US civil service.

Stand up to assholes, early and often.

1 year ago 1 0 1 0
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Jim Acosta announces on air that he's leaving CNN and says, "it is never a good time to bow down to a tyrant ... don't give in to the lies."

1 year ago 101391 23959 3212 2727