⚡️Our reaction to the latest #LabourMarket data is out now⚡️

Why Is the Graduate Wage Premium Falling in the UK? - NIESR The UK has experienced a significant and sustained decline in the graduate wage premium, that is, the difference in pay between graduates and non-graduates, over the past two decades. The premium…

#WeekendReading 🔖 The UK graduate wage premium is shrinking 🎓📉

In our latest #MondayInterview Principal Economist Larissa Marioni asks Raza Sadain what is driving this decline and what are the consequences on #student loans and skills policy ⬇️

Caution: Stagflation Ahead - NIESR “After a disappointing January, the UK economy grew by a sizeable 0.5 per cent in February, consistent with reports of renewed business sentiment in the New Year. Unfortunately, the latest… To access…

#WeekendReading 🔖 Our latest #GDP Tracker suggesting GDP will grow by 0.4% in the second quarter 📈

But the outlook remains uncertain with the prospect of #stagflation affecting the UK economy in 2026

More here 👇

How Did Brexit and COVID-19 Reshape UK Regional Supply Chains? - NIESR Why do regional production networks matter? Output and trade figures capture the scale of economic activity; production networks describe how that activity is organised across industries and regions. ...

⚡️OUT NOW⚡️NEW innovative data to understand how the overlapping shocks of #Brexit and #Covid19 have actually affected UK regional supply chains 📈

In our latest #MondayInterview, just published, @econstevem.bsky.social talks to @antonioharob.bsky.social to find out⬇️

niesr.ac.uk/blog/how-did...

National Productivity Week Better outcomes for people, firms and places

Productivity & Regional Investment

The University of Warwick is hosting a session on Monday 27 April during #NationalProductivityWeek to explore barriers to productivity growth in the Midlands and how to address them.
Register: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

Supporting Schools to Teach Controversial Issues - NIESR There have been a series of reports over the last 25 years highlighting concerns around social cohesion and connection, across difference, especially religious and ethnic difference. Schools are often...

#WeekendReading 🔖 Amidst concerns about growing political polarisation in the UK, our #report considers the role played by #schools in discussing social and political issues with #children and #youngpeople

Read more here 👇

niesr.ac.uk/publications...

In conversation with Rt Hon James Murray MP, Chief Secretary to the Treasury: How will the government boost public service productivity? | Institute for Government The Chief Secretary to the Treasury sets out the next steps in the government’s public service productivity drive.

Hybrid event | 20 April, 12:30–1:30 | @instituteforgovernment.org.uk

Treasury Chief Secretary James Murray MP on how government will boost public service productivity.

Opening remarks from @andywestwood.bsky.social.

Register now: www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/james-...

Central banking for open economies in a changed world YouTube video by Peterson Institute for International Economics

🌸NOW: We're thrilled to welcome central bank heads Anna Breman of Reserve Bank of New Zealand, José Luis Escrivá of Banco de España, Chang Yong Rhee of Bank of Korea, & Martin Schlegel of Swiss National Bank for a conversation on central banking for open economies.
Watch live:

Spring 2026 Economic Forum - NIESR The global economic landscape continues to be shaped by geopolitical volatility and disruptions to global commodity markets. In this Quarterly Economic Forum, NIESR researchers will focus on the recen...

Coming 🔜

📝Sign up to our online quarterly Economic Forum where we will present our latest Outlook for the UK and Global economy🌍

Our analysis will focus on the recent #energyprice shock and its macroeconomic implications for #inflation, growth, and public finances ⬇️

niesr.ac.uk/event/spring...

State Pension Triple Lock is Unsustainable and Must Go - NIESR The coalition government introduced the triple lock in 2011. It ensures the state pension rises each year by CPI inflation, average earnings growth, or 2.5 per cent, whichever is the highest. On paper...

Questions around the sustainability of the #pensions triple-lock continue to be raised across both sides of the House

In an op-ed for @thetimes.com, Ben Caswell argued that in order for the UK's public finances to be set on a firm footing, the #triplelock must go⬇️

niesr.ac.uk/news/state-p...

Understanding the Effects of Brexit on UK Productivity - NIESR In this article, we use a three-country macroeconomic model of trade, in which we allow for the presence of labour market frictions and heterogeneous firms, to analyse the effects of Brexit on UK prod...

With talks about the UK Government seeking a closer relationship with the #EU read here one of our latest publication on this topic, which tries to understand the effects of #Brexit on UK #productivity ⬇️

@econstevem.bsky.social

niesr.ac.uk/publications...

Decidedly chilly 🥶 at the Oval. Surrey struggling in the field. But it’s still great to be watching county cricket again. Now if only Spring would come along. …

What are the possible effects on UK #inflation in 2026 of the #IranWar ? 📈

In his latest #blog Huw Dixon outlines two different scenarios - Read it here⬇️

@cu-cardiffbusiness.bsky.social
niesr.ac.uk/blog/possibl...

Ask the Expert on Productivity - Daily live breakfast podcast for #NationalProductivityWeek.
27 Apr–1 May, 8:30–9:00am

@bartvanark.bsky.social in conversation with leading experts on place, skills, tech, measurement & health.

Register once to join all sessions: www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/ask-the-ex...

Housing Affordability and Housing Emergency - NIESR What is housing affordability and why is it important? For decades, governments have grappled with housing unaffordability as part of the widely recognised British housing crisis. The current…

#EasterWeekendReading 🐣🔖

Our #blog with Principal Social Researcher Emma Simpson talking to Joanna Fang about the problem of #housing affordability, its conceptual history and development 🏘️⬇️

What Kind Of Energy Shock Are Markets Pricing? - NIESR The financial markets look to be pricing something more persistent and more puzzling than a standard energy supply shock would warrant

#EasterWeekendReading 🐣🔖

In the latest #DirectorView David Aikman looks at the yield curve to gain an understanding of how investors are reading the Middle East conflict. Are markets pricing a higher path for real rates or has the gilt market overshot?

What is Actually Happening to UK Living Standards? - NIESR What are the latest with regard to living standards in the UK? Now that the oil price has passed $100 mark, we have gone from a cost-of-living crisis to a living standards crisis. Unless the war in…

#EasterWeekendReading🐣🔖

In this #blog Deputy Director @adrianpabst.bsky.social reflects on the latest developments for UK households following the #SpringStatement and the ongoing conflict in #Iran ⬇️⬇️

#UKeconomy #Households #EconomicPolicy #IranWar

The Impact of the Middle East Conflict on UK Energy Prices and Fiscal Policy - NIESR How is the Middle East conflict driving UK energy prices? What's its impact on fiscal policy? We explore the oil market, energy price caps & fiscal headroom

#EasterWeekendReading🐣🔖

In our latest #MondayInterview blog @econstevem.bsky.social talks to Nic Crittenden and @adrianpabst.bsky.social about the impact of the #MiddleEast conflict on UK #EnergyPrices and fiscal policy 📈

What can the Govt do to ease the pain? ⬇️

How Will The Energy Shock Hit The UK Economy? - NIESR The US-Israeli strikes on Iran have caused a major shock to global energy markets. How is it affecting the UK. This blog shows that the UK has had a higher inflation beta to oil supply shocks than oth...

The latest #DirectorView is out 📈

The US-Israeli strikes on #Iran have caused a major shock to global #energy markets. In his weekly #blog David Aikman uses historical evidence to assess what it may mean for the UK economy 📊

Read more here⬇️

niesr.ac.uk/blog/how-wil...

4/4 Corporation tax receipts have been relatively stable in recent months. In the 12 months to March 2026, receipts of €32.8 billion were collected. Receipts in the month of March were €2.1 billion, up 7.5% on last year.

3/4 Tax revenue (excluding corporation tax) is up 4.5% so far this year, ahead of Budget 2026 forecast of growth of 3.4%. This is driven primarily by strong VAT receipts, which are up 5.3% so far this year. Higher energy prices are unlikely to have impacted on receipts in March.

2/4 Gross voted current spending is growing by 6.2% so far this year, in line with what was budgeted for. At the end of March, health spending was up 7.2%, compared to a Budget 2026 forecast of growth of 4.8%.

1/4 Today’s fiscal monitor shows two key trends in the public finances: 1) Spending is growing at a fast pace; and 2) Underlying tax revenue is performing well.

How Should Monetary Policy Respond to the Energy Price Shock - NIESR What should monetary policy do in response to the sharp rise in oil and gas prices due to the war in Iran? This blog suggests that 2022 offers five lessons.

#EasterWeekendReading🐣🔖

In this #DirectorView blog David Aikman outlines five lessons for the current #MonetaryPolicy response to the #energyprice shock ⬇️

#UKeconomy #BankOfEngland #InterestRates

How Will The Energy Shock Hit The UK Economy? - NIESR The US-Israeli strikes on Iran have caused a major shock to global energy markets. How is it affecting the UK. This blog shows that the UK has had a higher inflation beta to oil supply shocks than oth...

The US-Israeli strikes on Iran have caused a major shock to global energy markets. In his weekly #DirectorsView blog David Aikman uses historical evidence to assess what it may mean for the UK economy.
niesr.ac.uk/blog/how-wil...

Do you want to know more about current research into how productivity can be accelerated in Northern Ireland? Come along to this #NationalProductivityWeek event in Belfast on 29 April.

The Impact of the Middle East Conflict on UK Energy Prices and Fiscal Policy - NIESR How is the Middle East conflict driving UK energy prices? What's its impact on fiscal policy? We explore the oil market, energy price caps & fiscal headroom

⚡️OUT NOW⚡️ In our latest #MondayInterview our @econstevem.bsky.social talks to Nic Crittenden and @adrianpabst.bsky.social about the impact of the #MiddleEast conflict on UK #EnergyPrices and fiscal policy 📈

What can the Govt do to ease the pain? ⬇️

niesr.ac.uk/blog/the-imp...

The Effects of Higher Energy Prices Respondents to the CfM-NIESR survey believe the Middle East conflict will have larger negative effects on the UK than the Euro Area.

The panel members on the CfM-NIESR survey favour a tighter interest rate path in the UK as a response to higher energy prices. They also believe that that the UK will experience greater negative effects than the Euro Area
www.cfmsurvey.org/listsurveys/...

What Kind Of Energy Shock Are Markets Pricing? - NIESR The financial markets look to be pricing something more persistent and more puzzling than a standard energy supply shock would warrant

This week, the #DirectorsView looks at the yield curve to gain an understanding of how investors are reading the Middle East conflict. Are markets pricing a higher path for real rates or has the gilt market overshot?

niesr.ac.uk/blog/what-ki...

Back at Wembley watching England take on Uruguay. England on top but no goals as yet. ⚽️😀