How much do you know about 5 converging environmental crises?

➡️ Explore the most comprehensive assessment of links between biodiversity, water, food, health & climate.

🌏 For just & sustainable futures!

Watch the IPBES #NexusAssessment video here: https://youtu.be/8H6aW_j2oSA?si=kcnREIc_f2cZmw95

Communities are waiting on billions in disaster funding from the Trump administration States say disaster funding from the Federal Emergency Management Agency has slowed to a trickle under the Trump administration. That's delaying projects to protect communities from wildfires and hurricanes.

States say disaster funding from the Federal Emergency Management Agency has slowed to a trickle under the Trump administration. That's delaying projects to protect communities from wildfires and hurricanes. n.pr/3NVuLIF

🚨New preprint and our results are rather concerning..

We find the "boiling frog" equivalent of AI use. Using large-scale RCTs, we provide *casual* evidence that AI assistance reduces persistence and hurts independent performance.

And these effects emerge after just 10–15 minutes of AI use!

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📢 Content submissions for the 6th SORTEE Conference (13-14 Oct 2026) are now OPEN #SORTEE2026

Submit your proposal for an unconference, hackathon or workshop by June 7th via sortee.org/upcoming

SORTEE members can attend for free. Join us sortee.org/join/

LCAB Postdoctoral recruitment The Leverhulme Centre for Anthropocene Biodiversity (LCAB) is a major research centre funded by the Leverhulme Trust to increase knowledge of how the relationship between humanity and the natural worl...

TEN post-doc openings at the Leverhulme Centre for Anthropocene Biodiversity. Yes, you read that right. TEN.

😍

@aaronclauset.bsky.social

Proposals for our Special Feature with @funecology.bsky.social & @journalofecology.bsky.social are still open 👀

We're looking to further understanding of how climate change affects plant–antagonist interactions, particularly through links to management strategies 🐛

bit.ly/45ZalEf

@tylerlmcintosh.bsky.social @katherinesiegel.bsky.social @kyraclarkwolf.bsky.social @ktmanley.bsky.social

‪
🌳 Do you want to contribute to research on how humans perceive forests? Take this quick, anonymous 10-min survey 🌲

👉 www.biodiful.org#/forest

This will help us explore how people experience forest biodiversity!

Please share on 🦋 & tag @biodiful.bsky.social to reach more participants 🙏💚

🌐🌍🦤🦑🪴🍁🧪

I wish more people knew this. Power analysis should be based on the smallest effect size of interest. Not on a guess, or a hope. You also need to specify that effect to make your claim falsifiable, and to know when the effect is statistically significant, but practically irrelevant.

Happy to share that we have a new paper out based on my PhD research: "Predicting missing links in food webs using stacked models and species traits" with @lauradee.bsky.social, Kate L. Wootton, François Massol, @aaronclauset.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1038/s414... 🧵/1

This looks exciting! Monitoring ecosystem change and attributing the impacts to planned (like forest management) and unplanned disturbances (like fire & drought) has become the primary focus of our team at work.

Disgusting - he should be fired

YIKES!

We need a global assessment of avoidable climate-change risks To understand the urgency of emissions reductions, policymakers and citizens need a full analysis of what is at stake.

We need a global assessment of avoidable climate-change risks. To understand the urgency of emissions reductions, policymakers and citizens need a full analysis of what is at stake. www.nature.com/articles/d41... from @eunicelo.bsky.social @climatedann.bsky.social @bristoluni.bsky.social @nature.com

After learning about collider bias, reading this gave me the second-worst existential crisis about learning anything causal from data *even when you can run experiments*. Really a must-read if you’re not already familiar with this stuff.

Wow thanks! That means a lot coming from you :)

Oh shoot - I was wondering but it didn't say (did it)? I would not have advertised it if I had realized

Let’s DAG in: how directed acyclic graphs can help behavioural ecology be more transparent Abstract. Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) are powerful tools for visualizing assumptions/hypotheses and causal inference. Although their use is becoming mor

Could potentially make some version of it to be more user contributed so I don't miss key studies outside of my subarea(s)! e.g. almost missed this great paper: royalsocietypublishing.org/rspb/article...
We also have several using these approaches in real case studies that I haven't been tracking!

Couldn't agree more - "We need more case studies for ecologists to emulate and for norms to shift so "regression and storytelling" becomes unpublishable." I have a running (yet incomplete) list of applications on my course website to help enable this: github.com/LauraDee/Eco... 1/2

I saw this when it was a preprint? They have a unique version of the estimand-estimator-estimates workflow, will be useful for may biologists, not just ecologists. We need more case studies for ecologists to emulate and for norms to shift so "regression and storytelling" becomes unpublishable.

What Elon Has Done Elon Musk's destruction of USAID has faded from public consciousness in America, despite leaving death and destruction in its wake.

"the largest act of mass murder of this decade, and of this century so far, was not perpetrated by militaries or militias, but by the world's richest man in Washington D.C.'s Eisenhower Executive Office Building."

www.liberalcurrents.com/what-elon-ha...

Yay! Thanks!

Cool! Many of us in my lab too! Feel free to reach out to connect!

New #causalinference paper just dropped! As an ecologist, I was trained to ask: "What do the data tell me?"

This paper: there are only specific instances when this question is appropriate—when you lack domain knowledge, which we often have!

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

And a nice accessible write up of the paper scienmag.com/from-correla...

NSF NCAR Stories As part of its coverage of, and response to, federal plans to break up the NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (NSF NCAR), the American Meteorological Society is collecting testimonials from ...

If you have personal testimonials about how @ncar-ucar.bsky.social has benefited your career, submit your story to @ametsoc.org via this web form. #SaveNCAR docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

Best practices for moving from correlation to causation in ecological research
🧪 #Macroecology

The workflow illustrates a step-by-step process for conducting causal analyses. Arrows indicate the typical flow of an analysis. Two possible pathways are shown: causal discovery approaches (blue), which aim to identify the existence of causal relationships when pre-existing knowledge is low, and causal inference approaches (yellow), which aim to quantify the direction and magnitude of causal effects when pre-existing knowledge is high. The gray feedback loop on the right highlights the iterative refinement of causal analyses based on assessments of the plausibility of causal assumptions.

So, y'all have heard me going on about #causalinference in #ecology a lot. Now our big synthetic guide "Best practices for moving from correlation to causation in ecological research" is out! Led by Hannah Correia & Paul Ferraro, it's a great walk-through for all! 🌍🧪 www.nature.com/articles/s41...